BMIE Market 44230

Wayne County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,107 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±344 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,297 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±224 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,252 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,357 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$79,526 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,025 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$894 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±72 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$229,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,547 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	18.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	9 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 44230
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+12.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+28.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+28.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	11 (range 9–13) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.49) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	67 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	69 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 44230. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.49, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	65.3	65	40%	+26.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67.3	67	35%	+23.6
Market Momentum Score	69.3	69	25%	+17.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,107	68	40%	+27.1
Median household income (ACS)	79,526	62	40%	+24.6
Households (ACS)	3,297	68	20%	+13.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	28.6	70	35%	+24.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.1	68	25%	+17.0
Population (ACS)	8,107	68	20%	+13.5
Median household income (ACS)	79,526	62	20%	+12.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	12.5	71	50%	+35.3
10-year restaurant growth	28.6	70	30%	+21.0
20-year restaurant growth	50	65	20%	+13.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (17)

By cuisine

Pizza 3 · Bakery 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · American 1 · BBQ 1 · Coffee 1 · Italian 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Bar 7 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 4 · Dessert 3 · Winery / distillery / taproom 3 · Bakery 2 · Casual dining 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Barnstone Berry Farm	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		15375 Calaboone Rd	open
Bent Ladder Cider and Wine	Winery / distillery / taproom · Brewery / taproom		13550 Mt Eaton Rd N	open
Bonneville Bar	Bar		13237 S Portage St	open
Bumble Bee's Sweet Shop	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	14740 Oak Grove Dr #206	open
Cranston's Pub	Bar · Casual dining		13108 S Portage St	open
Doc's Sweet Shop LLC	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	168 Portage St	open
Doughboy Dipped Ice Cream	Food truck · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	15004 Portage St	open
Doylestown Coffee House	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	25 W Clinton St	open
E & S Marketing	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	285 Vineyard Way	open
Hill-Top Tavern	Bar		69 Portage St	open
Jake's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	73 N Portage St	open
Kirks Place	Bar		13237 S Portage St	open
Pizzazio's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	88 N Portage St	open
Sam's Pizza & Heroes	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	88 N Portage St	open
Shelly’s Uptown Grill - Doylestown, OH	Bar · Casual dining	American	68 Portage St	open
Silver Run Vineyard and Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		376 Eastern Rd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	60 N Portage St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	7	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	8	6	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	8	6	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	7	5	2	3	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	6	4	2	2	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	6	4	2	2	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	8	6	4	2	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	9	6	4	2	—	3	NAICS1997
2003	8	6	3	3	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	8	6	3	2	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	8	6	2	3	1	2	NAICS2002
2006	7	5	1	3	1	2	NAICS2002
2007	9	7	3	3	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	8	8	4	3	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	7	7	3	3	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	7	7	3	3	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	7	7	3	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	8	8	3	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	7	7	2	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	7	7	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	8	8	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	10	10	3	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	9	9	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	9	9	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	9	8	—	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	10	9	—	5	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 44230. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
44645	3.9 mi	1	2012
44270	4.4 mi	8	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.