BMIE Market 44270

Wayne County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,071 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±416 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,295 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±249 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,890 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,674 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$63,650 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,920 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$786 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±101 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$170,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,743 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	19.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	8 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 44270
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+14.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+14.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-33.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	9 (range 7–11) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.67) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	55 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	65 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	67 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 44270. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.67, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	55.2	55	40%	+22.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	64.7	65	35%	+22.6
Market Momentum Score	66.6	67	25%	+16.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,071	68	40%	+27.0
Median household income (ACS)	63,650	36	40%	+14.6
Households (ACS)	3,295	68	20%	+13.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	33.3	73	35%	+25.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	9.9	73	25%	+18.2
Population (ACS)	8,071	68	20%	+13.5
Median household income (ACS)	63,650	36	20%	+7.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	14.3	72	50%	+36.2
10-year restaurant growth	33.3	73	30%	+22.0
20-year restaurant growth	14.3	42	20%	+8.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (19)

By cuisine

Pizza 5 · American 4 · Bakery 2 · Coffee 2 · Italian 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Mexican 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 10 · Bar 4 · Casual dining 4 · Quick service 3 · Bakery 2 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
BG's Main Event	Bar · Casual dining		124 S Main St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	200 N Main St	open
C&J Best Sips & Bakes	Bakery · Coffee shop · Café	Bakery · Coffee	8 N Main St Suite 1	open
County Line Bar & Grill	Bar		15580 Wadsworth Rittman Rd	open
Depot	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	80 Grant St	open
Doms Bar	Bar		191 S Main St	open
East of Chicago Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	94 N Main St	open
Gionino's Pizza of Rittman	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	20 E Ohio Ave	open
Godfather's Pizza Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	10 E Sunset Dr	open
Greenhouse Bakery Co.	Bakery	Bakery	15 S 1st St	open
Margarita's Rittman Diner	Casual dining	American	28 E Ohio Ave	open
Nuestra Casa Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Mexican	1005 E Ohio Ave	open
Panda	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	208 N Main St	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	206 N Main St Wayne	open
Pop's Shake Shack	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	8 N Main St	open
Real Estate Equation Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		31 N Main St	open
Rittman, OH - Fox's Pizza Fox's Pizza Den	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	18 North Main Street, Rittman, OH 44270	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	31 N Main St	open
The Server	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	51 N Main St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	14	12	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	12	10	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	10	8	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	12	11	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	13	9	4	5	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	15	11	4	7	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	13	10	3	7	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	10	7	2	5	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	10	8	3	5	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	10	7	3	4	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	9	6	3	3	—	3	NAICS2002
2005	9	7	4	3	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	12	9	4	5	—	3	NAICS2002
2007	10	7	2	5	—	3	NAICS2002
2008	11	8	3	5	—	3	NAICS2007
2009	11	8	3	5	—	3	NAICS2007
2010	10	7	2	5	—	3	NAICS2007
2011	11	8	3	5	—	3	NAICS2007
2012	9	6	3	3	—	3	NAICS2012
2013	9	6	3	3	—	3	NAICS2012
2014	10	7	3	4	—	3	NAICS2012
2015	9	6	3	3	—	3	NAICS2012
2016	10	7	3	4	—	3	NAICS2012
2017	10	7	3	4	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	10	7	—	5	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	11	8	3	5	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	11	9	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	10	8	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	10	8	3	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	10	8	3	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 44270. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
44276	3.5 mi	2	2016
44230	4.4 mi	9	2023
44645	4.6 mi	1	2012

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.