BMIE Market 44408

Columbiana County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	11,159 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±748 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,079 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±425 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10,331 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,650 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$74,028 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,255 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	48.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$712 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±39 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$208,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,598 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	35.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	28 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 44408
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	18.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+16.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+47.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+47.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+64.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	31 (range 27–35) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.8 per year, r² 0.64) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	73 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 44408. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.64, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	65.3	65	40%	+26.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59.7	60	35%	+20.9
Market Momentum Score	73.5	73	25%	+18.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	11,159	72	40%	+29.0
Median household income (ACS)	74,028	54	40%	+21.4
Households (ACS)	5,079	75	20%	+14.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	47.4	80	35%	+27.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	25.1	27	25%	+6.6
Population (ACS)	11,159	72	20%	+14.5
Median household income (ACS)	74,028	54	20%	+10.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	16.7	75	50%	+37.3
10-year restaurant growth	47.4	80	30%	+23.9
20-year restaurant growth	47.4	62	20%	+12.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (61)

By cuisine

American 10 · Coffee 7 · Dessert 7 · Bakery 6 · Pizza 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Italian 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Burgers 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · BBQ 2 · Mexican 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Middle Eastern 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 33 · Bar 12 · Quick service 10 · Dessert 9 · Bakery 7 · Casual dining 7 · Café 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Food truck 3 · Winery / distillery / taproom 3 · Specialty food shop 2

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
26Three Coffee House	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	150 OH-14	open
7 & 14 Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	44952 State Route 14	open
Antone's Kitchen Columbiana	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	901 Columbiana Canfield Rd	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	320 State Route 14	open
B&B’s Garden of Eatin’	Food truck	American	15 S Main St	open
Belleria Pizza & Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	258 OH-14	open
Big B & Ruby A Sweets and Neats	Bakery	Bakery	3849 Kirk Rd	open
Birdfish Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom		140 E Park Ave	open
BrewLounge Beer Company	Bar · Brewery / taproom		115 Town Center Ave	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	1100 Village Plaza	open
C & M Concessions LLC	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	5357 Fairfield School Rd	open
Carla's Corner Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	103 S Main St	open
Chang Tai Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	113 S Main St A	open
Columbiana Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	157 S Main St	open
Columbiana Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	18 S Main St	open
columbianacoffeecompany	Coffee shop	Coffee		open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts	44844 OH-14	open
Das Dutch Haus Restaurant	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	14895 South Ave	open
Das Dutch Village I - 哥倫比亞納	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	44985 State Route 14	open
El Pasa Mexican Grille Of Columbiana Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		901 Columbiana Canfield Rd	open
Factory 46 Tavern	Bar		1118 Village Plz	open
Fantastic Games	Café	Coffee	104 S Main St	open
Fox's Pizza Den Fox's Pizza Den & Arcade	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	144 N Main St	open
Generations Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	31 S Main St	open
Golden Chopsticks	Restaurant (service type not stated)		903 Columbiana Canfield Rd	open
Handel's Homemade Ice Cream Handel's Homemade Ice Cream - York, PA	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	310 State Route 14	open
Heck's Restaurant & Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	610 E Park Ave	open
Hogan's Baking Co	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	113 S Main St	open
Homestead Kitchen & Cocktails	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		163 Town Center Ave	open
Humble Donut Co. Humble Donut Co.	Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Bakery	Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Bakery	133 Town Center Ave	open
Ill Will Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		45417 OH-14	open
J A Benedict Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1116 Village Plz	open
Jib's Smoke Wagon	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		44280 Heck Rd	open
Josie's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	241 E Park Ave	open
Lovie's Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	601 N Main St	open
Marie's Pizza Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	11 E Park Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	151 Rt 14	open
McKim’s Honeyvine Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		20 1/2 S Main St	open
Mexico City Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Latin American (other)	121 Town Center Ave	open
Orange Leaf at Firestone Farms	Restaurant (service type not stated)		133 Town Center Ave	open
Paul's Italian Grille	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Italian	36 S Main St	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	300 OH-14	open
Pizza Joe's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1109 State Route 14	open
Pulp Juice and Smoothie Bar Columbiana Pulp Juice and Smoothie Bar - Zanesville	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	95 Town Center Ave Ste D	open
R' Pizza Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	104 S Main St	open
Riser Tavern on the Links	Casual dining · Bar		105 1/2 St Andrews Dr	open
Rutana Concessions, The "Original" Hot Apple Dumpling with Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	225 Homestead Dr	open
Sabi's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	85 Town Center Ave	open
Shellabella's Wine & Whiskey Lounge	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	108 S Main St	open
Smoke Worx Village Table 4.1	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	BBQ · American	45417 OH-14	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	15 N Main St	open
Sugar & Sass Baking Co.	Bakery	Bakery	My House (Please Contact Me)	open
Sundog Ciderhouse & Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		145 Town Center Ave	open
Sweet Melissa's Good Eats	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	American · Bakery	85 Town Center Ave	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1104 Village Plz	open
The ConfectionMary	Dessert	Dessert	11 E Park Ave	open
The Sandwich Factory	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches · Middle Eastern	1116 Village Plz	open
The Vineyards at Pine Lake	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		14101 Market St	open
Wendy's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	2290 County Line Rd	open
What's Grandpa Smokin	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	46486 State Route 14	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	17	17	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	17	16	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	19	18	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	18	18	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	21	19	9	9	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	22	20	8	11	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	21	19	8	10	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	17	15	6	8	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	18	17	6	10	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	21	19	7	10	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	21	19	7	9	3	—	NAICS2002
2005	22	20	8	9	3	—	NAICS2002
2006	22	19	8	9	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	23	20	7	10	3	—	NAICS2002
2008	23	21	8	10	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	22	20	7	11	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	21	19	7	10	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	22	20	9	9	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	20	18	4	11	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	20	19	5	12	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	21	20	5	13	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	21	19	5	12	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	20	19	6	9	4	—	NAICS2012
2017	26	24	8	10	6	—	NAICS2017
2018	27	24	9	10	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	27	23	9	9	5	—	NAICS2017
2020	27	22	8	10	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	26	21	7	11	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	32	27	11	13	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	33	28	10	13	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 44408. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
44490	4.3 mi	3	2019
44452	4.5 mi	10	2023
44445	4.5 mi	1	2016
44431	4.6 mi	2	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.