BMIE Market 44481

Trumbull County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,206 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±929 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,368 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±457 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10,408 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,601 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$63,654 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,356 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	46.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$799 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±93 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$161,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,152 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	57.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 44481
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	16.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-31.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+18.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-31.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-27.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	18 (range 12–24) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.07) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	50 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	57 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	25 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 44481. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.07, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	57.5	57	40%	+23.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58.4	58	35%	+20.4
Market Momentum Score	24.9	25	25%	+6.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,206	71	40%	+28.4
Median household income (ACS)	63,654	36	40%	+14.6
Households (ACS)	4,368	72	20%	+14.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	18.2	62	35%	+21.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	12.7	61	25%	+15.3
Population (ACS)	10,206	71	20%	+14.2
Median household income (ACS)	63,654	36	20%	+7.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 25 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-31.6	9	50%	+4.5
10-year restaurant growth	18.2	62	30%	+18.5
20-year restaurant growth	-31.6	10	20%	+1.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (40)

By cuisine

American 9 · Coffee 8 · Pizza 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Breakfast 2 · Dessert 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Bakery 1 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Mexican 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 18 · Bar 14 · Casual dining 8 · Café 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Quick service 4 · Catering 3 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Food truck 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
305 Grill and Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		375 Wilson Sharpsville Rd	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1001 W Market St	open
Artisan Cafe	Café	Coffee	410 Main Ave SW	open
Beautiful Whirld	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Juice / smoothies · Dessert	141 W Market St	open
Blue Magoos	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1318 Center St W	open
Brother's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	760 E Market St	open
CharBenay's Wine on the River	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		220 W Market St	open
Coffee Cup Cafe aka O'Callaghan's	Casual dining · Café	American · Coffee	631 E Market St	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill- Lordstown Dairy Queen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Dessert	American · Ice cream / frozen desserts	6780 Tod Ave SW	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	759 W Market St	open
Gordo's Authentic Street Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	161 Main Ave SW	open
Horse Shoe Bar	Bar		206 E Market St	open
Jacked Bar and Grill	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	124 N Park Ave	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	855 W Market St	open
Lordstown Comeback	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2660 Salt Springs Rd	open
Modern Methods Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		125 David Grohl Alley	open
Nese's Country Café	Café	Coffee	1500 Salt Springs Rd	open
Nova Coffee Co	Coffee shop	Coffee	112 N Park Ave	open
Our Place Bistro LLC	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	6493 Tod Ave SW	open
Parker Family Concessions	Food truck · Catering		7986 Highland Ave SW	open
Piazza Italia	Restaurant (service type not stated)		187 W Market St	open
Pizza Joe's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6100 Tod Ave Sw Ste 5	open
Quiggley's Bar & Grill	Bar	American	5325 Parkman Rd NW	open
Raptis Coffee, Inc.	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	341 Main Ave SW	open
Ross' Eatery & Pub	Casual dining · Catering · Bar		8421 Tod Ave	open
Saratoga Restaurant & Catering	Catering	American	129 E Market St	open
Speakeasy Lounge	Casual dining · Bar		136 N Park Ave	open
Steve’s Backroad bar & grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	2855 Highland Ave SW	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	6100 Tod Ave Sw Ste 1a	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	231 Main Ave SW	open
Sunrise Inn of Warren	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	510 E Market St	open
The BreakRoom	Bar		1024 W Market St	open
The Funky Skunk	Bar		143 E Market St	open
The Hot Dog Shoppe Hot Dog Shoppe East Liverpool	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs · Burgers · American	740 W Market St	open
The Lime Tree Sandwich Gallery	Other	Sandwiches	187 W Market St	open
The Mocha House The Mocha House - Warren	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	467 High St NE	open
The Underground Lounge	Bar		136 N Park Ave	open
West and Main	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	187 W Market St	open
Wired Rooster Coffee Shop	Coffee shop · Bar · Casual dining · Bakery	Coffee · Breakfast · Bakery	439 E Market St	open
Southtown Smokehouse & Saloon Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	375 State Route 305 Rd NW	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	27	18	—	—	—	9	SIC1987
1995	26	18	—	—	—	8	SIC1987
1996	27	19	—	—	—	8	SIC1987
1997	31	20	—	—	—	11	SIC1987
1998	27	20	6	11	2	7	NAICS1997
1999	31	22	7	12	2	9	NAICS1997
2000	29	21	6	11	3	8	NAICS1997
2001	26	19	6	9	3	7	NAICS1997
2002	25	15	4	8	3	10	NAICS1997
2003	28	19	4	13	2	9	NAICS2002
2004	29	23	6	15	1	6	NAICS2002
2005	30	22	7	14	—	8	NAICS2002
2006	27	20	5	14	—	7	NAICS2002
2007	26	17	5	12	—	9	NAICS2002
2008	28	19	7	12	—	9	NAICS2007
2009	23	17	6	11	—	6	NAICS2007
2010	24	17	6	11	—	7	NAICS2007
2011	18	13	6	7	—	5	NAICS2007
2012	16	10	4	6	—	6	NAICS2012
2013	16	11	5	6	—	5	NAICS2012
2014	18	15	9	5	1	3	NAICS2012
2015	17	14	8	5	1	3	NAICS2012
2016	21	17	8	7	2	4	NAICS2012
2017	23	19	9	7	3	4	NAICS2017
2018	23	19	10	7	—	4	NAICS2017
2019	23	19	10	7	—	4	NAICS2017
2020	21	18	10	7	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	20	18	9	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	18	15	6	8	—	3	NAICS2022
2023	16	13	5	7	—	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 44481. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
44444	3.9 mi	14	2023
44430	4.3 mi	2	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.