BMIE Market 44483

Trumbull County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	25,805 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,537 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	11,549 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±579 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	26,006 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	12,771 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$49,017 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,115 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$815 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±76 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$108,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,124 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	18.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	40 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 44483
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	19.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-2.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-7.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-24.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-7.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	36 (range 31–40) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.4 per year, r² 0.26) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	42 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	57 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	40 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	21 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 44483. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.26, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 42 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	57.5	57	40%	+23.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	39.6	40	35%	+13.9
Market Momentum Score	20.9	21	25%	+5.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	25,805	86	40%	+34.3
Median household income (ACS)	49,017	14	40%	+5.5
Households (ACS)	11,549	88	20%	+17.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 40 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-7.0	20	35%	+7.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	15.5	51	25%	+12.7
Population (ACS)	25,805	86	20%	+17.2
Median household income (ACS)	49,017	14	20%	+2.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 21 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-2.4	25	50%	+12.4
10-year restaurant growth	-7.0	20	30%	+6.0
20-year restaurant growth	-24.5	12	20%	+2.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (100)

By cuisine

American 20 · Coffee 10 · Bakery 9 · Pizza 9 · Dessert 8 · Mexican 6 · Sandwiches 6 · Burgers 5 · Chicken / wings 5 · Italian 5 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Chinese 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Seafood 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · British / Irish pub food 2 · Japanese 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Sushi 2 · Breakfast 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 42 · Bar 25 · Quick service 25 · Casual dining 13 · Bakery 10 · Dessert 10 · Café 7 · Coffee shop 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Food truck 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Buffet 1 · Delivery-focused 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Aptiv	Bar		1265 N River Rd NE	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	4321 Mahoning Ave NW	open
B-Sweet Treats	Bakery	Bakery	Sweets & Eats Home of Karamels, 163 Folsom St	open
Big Mike's Club	Bar		2357 N Park Ave	open
Brothers Pizza Champion Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	187 Folsom St NW	open
Buena Vista Cafe	Café	American · Coffee · Chicken / wings	1305 Buena Vista Ave NE	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	4359 Mahoning Ave NW	open
Burger King	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3410 Elm Rd NE	open
Cafe 83	Bar		1522 N River Rd Ne # 2414	open
Callahans Irish Pubs	Bar	British / Irish pub food	1061 Mahoning Ave NW	open
Captains Sports bar & Lounge	Bar	Seafood · British / Irish pub food	2077 Pine Ave SE	open
Carmen's Pizza & Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Chicken / wings	1960 Elm Rd NE	open
Champion Beach House Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		4551 Mahoning Ave NW	open
Champion Chicken And Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)		830 State Rd NW	open
Champion Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	4520 Mahoning Ave NW	open
Chef Chen Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Chinese · American	2743 Elm Rd NE	open
China Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1556 N River Rd NE	open
Cleats	Bar		3701 Elm Rd NE	open
Clubhouse Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom		668 N River Rd NW	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Dessert · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	Dairy Queen Limited Brazier 119 W State Rd	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service		2123 Elm Rd NE	open
David Joseph Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4903 Mahoning Ave NW	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	4602 E Mahoning Ave	open
Doughlicious Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1040 E Market St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	4429 Mahoning Ave NW	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert · Bakery	3481 Elm Rd NE	open
Eat'n Park	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2057 Wal Mart Dr NE	open
El Torero Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	3701 Elm Rd NE	open
Elm Rd DQ	Quick service · Dessert	American · Ice cream / frozen desserts	2123 Elm Rd NE	open
Elm Road Ianazone's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1813 Elm Rd NE	open
Elm Road Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		1875 Elm Rd NE	open
Enzo's Restaurant and Banquet	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	2918 Elm Rd NE	open
Fatboyz Crawfish Company - Ohio	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	301 Cleveland Ave E	open
Franky's Pizza and Delicatessen	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian	125 Scott St NE	open
Ginger's Gluten Free Cupcakes LLC	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	633 Perkinswood Blvd NE	open
Great Wall Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	2662 Mahoning Ave NW	open
Hibachi Sushi Supreme Buffet	Buffet	Japanese · Sushi	4379 Mahoning Ave NW	open
Hibachi Sushi Supreme Buffet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	4379 Mahoning Ave NW	open
Holiday Bar	Bar · Casual dining		2124 Elm Rd NE	open
Italian River Authentic Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian		open
Itam 29	Bar	American · Chicken / wings	625 High St NE	open
Jack's Nestegg Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	1697 Larchmont Ave NE	open
Jacksons Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar			open
JD's Post House on the Avenue	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	5201 Mahoning Ave NW	open
Jim Goetz Ins Agency Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4435 Mahoning Ave NW	open
Jo For The Road	Coffee shop	Coffee	2059 Wal Mart Dr NE	open
Katie's Korner Homemade Ice Cream	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	4713 Mahoning Ave NW	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	3445 Elm Road	open
Kozy Kitchen Family Restaurant Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2723 Elm Rd NE	open
Little Red Food Truck Champion	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea · Food truck	Juice / smoothies	4806 Mahoning Ave NW	open
Little Wing Cafe	Casual dining · Bar	Chicken / wings · American	2750 Mahoning Ave NW #3	open
Long John Silver's	Quick service		3180 Elm Rd NE	open
Longboyz Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		200 Cleveland Ave W	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	4291 Mahoning Ave NW	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	595 South St Se	open
McDonald's	Quick service		2891 Elm Road NE	open
Modern Methods	Bar		197 Washington St NW	open
Naus Club	Bar		1203 Mahoning Ave NW #5	open
New Era Development, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2077 Elm Rd NE	open
Nickles	Bakery	Bakery	2502 Mahoning Ave NW	open
Ohio Inn	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	1321 N Park Ave	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee	3641 Elm Rd NE	open
Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	1960 Elm Rd NE	open
Paradise Bar	Bar		2261 N Park Ave	open
Paris Cafe	Café · Quick service · Bar	Coffee		open
Perkins at 3870 Elm Road NE Warren, OH Perkins	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3870 Elm Road NE	open
Perkins Restaurant & Bakery Perkins American Food Co.	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery · American	3870 Elm Rd NE	open
Pete’s	Bar		1125 N Park Ave	open
Pick Me Up Coffee Company	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	5037 Mahoning Ave NW	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2790 Mahoning Ave NW	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3401 Elm Rd NE	open
Pizza Joe's Pizza Joe's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	4437 Mahoning Ave NW	open
Ponderosa Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	3581 Elm Rd NE	open
Powerhouse Bar & Grill	Bar		999 Mahoning Ave NW	open
Pueblo Viejo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	4447 Mahoning Ave NW	open
Rally's Checkers and Rally's	Quick service	Burgers · American	519 South Street Warren, OH	open
Rock Bottom Aka Alex's Cafe	Café · Casual dining · Bar	Coffee · American	1580 N Park Ave	open
Sarver Sweets	Dessert	Dessert	295 Elm Rd NE	open
Schwebel's Bakery Outlet Stores Schwebel's Bakery Outlet Stores	Bakery	Bakery	1158 E Market St	open
Seafood Lamongan Tri Tunggal	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Seafood	Jalan Raya Palur	open
Soi 2850 Nick Rizzi Lounge	Bar		155 Chestnut Ave SE	open
Sons of Italy #2744	Casual dining · Bar		890 Harrison St NE	open
South Street Tacos	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	446 South St SE	open
Sr Jalapeno Warren	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	1556 N River Rd NE	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	4602 Mahoning Ave NW	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3001 Elm Rd NE	open
Sugar Love Studios	Dessert	Dessert	1795 Elm Rd NE	open
Suzieq's Cookies	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	223 Kenmore Ave NE	open
Sweets and Eats Home of Karamels	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Coffee · Sandwiches	163 Folsom St NW	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	4419 Mahoning Ave NW	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	473 South St SE	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	2752 Elm Rd NE	open
Tc Grillmasters	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5037 Mahoning Ave NW	open
Tonic Café	Coffee shop · Café	Vegetarian · Coffee	2159 N River Rd NE	open
Truth Restaurant & Lounge	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	825 N. River Rd	open
University At Larchmont	Bar		1706 Larchmont Ave NE	open
Wayside Restaurant	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	825 State Rd NW	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2033 Walmart Drive Ne	open
Yard Badazz Jamaican Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		444 Belmont Ave NE	open
Victory Lane Lounge	Bar		200 Cleveland Ave W	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	61	43	—	—	—	18	SIC1987
1995	60	43	—	—	—	17	SIC1987
1996	64	44	—	—	—	20	SIC1987
1997	67	51	—	—	—	16	SIC1987
1998	67	51	20	28	3	15	NAICS1997
1999	63	49	20	26	3	13	NAICS1997
2000	59	44	20	21	3	14	NAICS1997
2001	58	43	18	20	5	13	NAICS1997
2002	67	52	28	20	3	12	NAICS1997
2003	67	53	28	21	4	13	NAICS2002
2004	64	51	24	23	4	12	NAICS2002
2005	66	53	23	25	4	12	NAICS2002
2006	61	50	19	26	4	10	NAICS2002
2007	61	49	20	22	6	10	NAICS2002
2008	60	48	20	22	6	9	NAICS2007
2009	61	48	16	24	5	10	NAICS2007
2010	62	51	19	23	5	8	NAICS2007
2011	62	52	19	23	6	7	NAICS2007
2012	63	48	18	23	6	9	NAICS2012
2013	57	43	13	23	6	8	NAICS2012
2014	54	41	11	24	5	8	NAICS2012
2015	53	43	13	24	5	8	NAICS2012
2016	50	40	13	21	5	8	NAICS2012
2017	48	38	10	23	4	7	NAICS2017
2018	51	41	9	26	4	7	NAICS2017
2019	53	44	13	26	5	6	NAICS2017
2020	48	38	12	22	4	7	NAICS2017
2021	46	37	12	22	3	7	NAICS2017
2022	47	39	12	24	3	6	NAICS2022
2023	48	40	12	25	3	5	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 44483. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
44485	2.3 mi	13	2023
44484	4.0 mi	51	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.