BMIE Market 44485

Trumbull County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	14,930 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,079 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,506 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±530 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	16,498 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,304 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$35,195 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,722 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$804 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±61 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$74,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,158 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	7.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 44485
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	4.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+85.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+30.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-7.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	14 (range 11–17) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.42) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	59 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	48 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	74 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 44485. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.42, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	47.8	48	40%	+19.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60.2	60	35%	+21.1
Market Momentum Score	74.0	74	25%	+18.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	14,930	77	40%	+30.6
Median household income (ACS)	35,195	4	40%	+1.5
Households (ACS)	6,506	78	20%	+15.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	30	71	35%	+24.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.7	77	25%	+19.3
Population (ACS)	14,930	77	20%	+15.3
Median household income (ACS)	35,195	4	20%	+0.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	85.7	94	50%	+47.1
10-year restaurant growth	30	71	30%	+21.3
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (27)

By cuisine

American 5 · BBQ 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Pizza 2 · African 1 · Bakery 1 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Coffee 1 · Italian 1 · Mexican 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 16 · Bar 8 · Casual dining 6 · Quick service 6 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 1 · Café 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Big Dipper Food Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		235 Nevada Ave SW	open
Burger King	Quick service		2880 W Market St	open
Caesar's Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	2801 W Market St	open
Central Social Club	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		1171 W Market St	open
Chat-n-Chew	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	American · Coffee	2600 W Market St	open
Cockeye BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1805 Parkman Rd NW	open
Cockeye Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1805 Parkman Rd NW	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1628 W Market St 1628 W Market St	open
Dority's Pub	Bar · Casual dining		1438 W Market St	open
Eli rib	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	2611 Parkman Rd NW	open
Happy Dragon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	2573 Parkman Rd NW	open
Ianazone's Homemade Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza		open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	3120 Parkman Road Nw	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2567 Parkman Rd NW	open
Maggie's Macs & More Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	3320 Dunstan Dr NW	open
Margarita King Tacos & Tequila	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2940 Parkman Rd NW	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2841 W Market St	open
Parkplace 24 Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		2185 Parkman Rd NW	open
Peace Pub	Bar · Casual dining		1129 Parkman Rd NW	open
RBG Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1958 Palmyra Rd SW	open
Subcity	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2611 Parkman Rd NW	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1604 Parkman Rd NW	open
Summit Lounge	Casual dining · Bar		1010 Tod Ave NW	open
The Break w/Jac & Ju	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	African	759 Parkman Rd SW	open
The Pour House of Warren	Bar		2152 W Market St	open
Tipsy Bull	Bar		1931 W Market St	open
Visions Lounge	Bar		2382 W Market St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	20	14	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1995	18	12	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1996	19	12	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1997	16	10	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1998	17	11	6	4	1	6	NAICS1997
1999	21	14	7	5	2	7	NAICS1997
2000	21	13	8	3	2	7	NAICS1997
2001	17	10	5	3	2	7	NAICS1997
2002	17	12	6	4	2	5	NAICS1997
2003	19	13	5	4	4	6	NAICS2002
2004	19	14	5	7	2	5	NAICS2002
2005	19	17	7	7	2	2	NAICS2002
2006	18	16	6	8	2	2	NAICS2002
2007	14	12	4	8	—	2	NAICS2002
2008	14	11	6	5	—	3	NAICS2007
2009	13	10	6	4	—	3	NAICS2007
2010	10	7	3	4	—	3	NAICS2007
2011	11	8	3	5	—	3	NAICS2007
2012	12	9	3	6	—	3	NAICS2012
2013	14	10	4	6	—	3	NAICS2012
2014	11	8	3	5	—	2	NAICS2012
2015	12	10	5	5	—	2	NAICS2012
2016	10	8	4	4	—	2	NAICS2012
2017	10	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	9	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	12	9	3	4	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	12	10	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	15	12	6	5	—	3	NAICS2017
2022	15	12	6	5	—	3	NAICS2022
2023	16	13	6	6	—	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 44485. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
44483	2.3 mi	40	2023
44430	3.3 mi	2	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.