BMIE Market 44641

Stark County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	20,031 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±784 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,003 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±450 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	20,349 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,357 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$80,303 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,976 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$901 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±139 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$205,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,885 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	54.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	23 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 44641
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	9.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+35.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+35.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+27.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+27.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	23 (range 20–27) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.52) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	72 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	76 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 44641. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.52, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	73.9	74	40%	+29.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	71.6	72	35%	+25.1
Market Momentum Score	75.8	76	25%	+18.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	20,031	81	40%	+32.6
Median household income (ACS)	80,303	62	40%	+25.0
Households (ACS)	8,003	81	20%	+16.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	35.3	75	35%	+26.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.5	66	25%	+16.6
Population (ACS)	20,031	81	20%	+16.3
Median household income (ACS)	80,303	62	20%	+12.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	35.3	86	50%	+43.2
10-year restaurant growth	35.3	75	30%	+22.5
20-year restaurant growth	27.8	51	20%	+10.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (52)

By cuisine

Coffee 9 · Pizza 9 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · American 4 · Asian 3 · Burgers 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Bakery 2 · BBQ 2 · Italian 2 · Japanese 2 · Mexican 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Sushi 2 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 28 · Bar 11 · Quick service 11 · Café 7 · Dessert 7 · Casual dining 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Bakery 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
52 Group Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5750 Columbus Rd NE	open
A1 Japan Hibachi & Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	704 W Main St	open
Aj Restaurants, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1909 W Main St	open
Bud's Corner	Casual dining · Bar		5750 Columbus Rd NE	open
China Garden Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	405 W Main St	open
Coria Restaurant Management Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1408 N Chapel St	open
Da Bar	Bar		2815 Broadway Ave NE	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Burgers	1015 W Main St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	520 West Main Street	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	6573 Reno Dr	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Quick service		6573 Reno Dr	open
East of Chicago Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	520 W Main St	open
Ermanno's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	6322 Louisville St NE	open
Gionino's Pizza Gionino's Pizzeria Huffman	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2112 E Main St	open
Grinders Above and Beyond Grinders	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · Coffee	500 W Main St	open
Haus of Pops	Bakery	Bakery	Haus Of Pop	open
Healthy Star	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		528 W Main St	open
Jimmy's Backyard BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	1338 N Chapel St	open
Lil T's Ice Cream & a bite more	Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Hot dogs	1525 W Main St	open
Long John Silver's Long John Silver's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Mexican	223 W Main St	open
Louisville Eagles #2374 Ladies Auxiliary	Bar		306 Main St W	open
Louisville Restaurant, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		500 W Main St	open
Louisville Town Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		101 E Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	219 N Chapel St	open
Motts Old Mill Bulk Foods	Dessert		11555 Louisville St	open
Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	508 W Main St	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1408 N Chapel St Stark	open
Poagies Bbq, Pizza, Ice Cream And More!	Dessert	BBQ · Pizza · Ice cream / frozen desserts	4055 Beck Ave	open
Pub 44	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1408 N Chapel St	open
Romeo's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1338 N Chapel Unit 7	open
Samanthas Grill Samantha's Grill in Louisville	Casual dining · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	1909 W Main St	open
Scratch Steakhouse and Lounge	Bar	Steakhouse · American	108 E Main St	open
Señor Pancho's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1408 N Chapel St	open
Shooter’s Sports Bar & Billiards	Bar		7512 Columbus Rd NE	open
Skeeles Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American		open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	536-540 W Main St	open
The Alley- Cafe' and Bakery	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Bakery · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	204 Main St E	open
The Cut Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	8050 Edison St NE	open
The Kozy Kabin Coffee Shop	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	2110 E Main St	open
The Main Street Pizza Company, Louisville Ohio	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1711 Main St W	open
Thompson's Dairyland & Restaurant Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7519 Columbus Rd NE	open
Tomi Hibachi Japanese Grill & Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	1338 N Chapel St #1	open
tracy's treats and cafe	Coffee shop	Coffee	4055 Beck Ave	open
UnHitched Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		115 S Mill St	open
Uptown Joe Coffee Shop	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	117 E Main St	open
Virgil's Coffee House & Creamery	Coffee shop · Dessert · Café	Coffee · Ice cream / frozen desserts	523 E Main St	open
Water's Edge	Winery / distillery / taproom		7805 Georgetown St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	915 N Chapel St	open
West Main Drive Thru	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		1616 W Main St	open
Whiskey Stop Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		6509 Columbus Rd NE	open
Zealous Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	528 W Main St	open
Comunidad De Vida	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6140 Louisville St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	25	18	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1995	19	15	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	24	20	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	20	16	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	21	17	6	10	1	4	NAICS1997
1999	23	17	5	10	2	5	NAICS1997
2000	21	16	4	11	1	3	NAICS1997
2001	26	20	7	11	2	5	NAICS1997
2002	27	19	6	12	1	8	NAICS1997
2003	26	18	5	13	—	8	NAICS2002
2004	25	18	3	14	1	7	NAICS2002
2005	24	16	5	11	—	8	NAICS2002
2006	20	15	5	10	—	5	NAICS2002
2007	23	18	5	12	1	5	NAICS2002
2008	26	21	8	12	1	5	NAICS2007
2009	23	20	8	10	1	3	NAICS2007
2010	22	19	8	9	1	3	NAICS2007
2011	18	15	6	8	—	3	NAICS2007
2012	21	18	8	10	—	2	NAICS2012
2013	20	17	7	10	—	2	NAICS2012
2014	22	17	6	10	1	5	NAICS2012
2015	23	18	4	12	2	5	NAICS2012
2016	23	17	4	11	2	6	NAICS2012
2017	22	15	4	10	—	6	NAICS2017
2018	23	17	6	10	—	4	NAICS2017
2019	23	17	6	11	—	4	NAICS2017
2020	24	18	6	11	—	4	NAICS2017
2021	26	20	5	14	—	5	NAICS2017
2022	26	20	5	14	—	5	NAICS2022
2023	30	23	6	16	—	5	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 44641. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
44721	4.5 mi	18	2023
44705	4.8 mi	20	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.