BMIE Market 44705

Stark County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	16,872 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,613 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,905 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±608 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	18,772 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,145 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$43,439 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,823 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	36.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$905 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±55 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$81,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,299 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	8.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	20 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 44705
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+11.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-13.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-31.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	18 (range 14–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.02) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	48 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	51 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	46 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	48 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 44705. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.02, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	50.6	51	40%	+20.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	45.9	46	35%	+16.1
Market Momentum Score	48.2	48	25%	+12.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	16,872	78	40%	+31.4
Median household income (ACS)	43,439	8	40%	+3.4
Households (ACS)	6,905	79	20%	+15.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.9	65	25%	+16.3
Population (ACS)	16,872	78	20%	+15.7
Median household income (ACS)	43,439	8	20%	+1.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	11.1	69	50%	+34.5
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	-13.0	16	20%	+3.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (51)

By cuisine

American 12 · Pizza 6 · Burgers 5 · Italian 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Bakery 3 · Coffee 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Mexican 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Caribbean 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Latin American (other) 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 24 · Bar 11 · Quick service 11 · Casual dining 10 · Bakery 3 · Café 3 · Dessert 3 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
All American Battle Bar	Bar · Casual dining		4125 Mahoning Rd NE	open
All Day Cafe	Café	Coffee	1836 Maple Ave NE	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3030 Atlantic Blvd NE	open
B&D's Banquet Room	Bar		2360 Mahoning Rd NE	open
Bob Evans Bob Evans	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3400 Lesh St Ne	open
Bullseyes Bar Canton	Bar		4125 Mahoning Rd NE	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	3200 Atlantic Blvd NE	open
Canton Food Truck Park	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		2616 Taft Ave NE	open
Canton, Oh. Aerie 141 Canton Regional Chamber of Commerce	Bar		2800 Atlantic Blvd NE	open
Canton, Ohio Canton Police Department (Ohio)	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Cantonian Llc	Casual dining · Bar		1076 Ojays Pkwy NE	open
Chirumbolo's	Bar · Casual dining · Café	Coffee	2454 Mahoning Rd NE	open
Country Cones	Dessert · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	4219 Middlebranch Ave NE	open
Crystal Park Diner	Casual dining	American	1237 Harrisburg Rd NE	open
Denny's	Casual dining	American	3600 Regent Ave NE	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Quick service		3200 Atlantic Boulevard Northeast	open
Eds Smoke House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2600 25th St NE	open
El Jaripeo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3319 Harmont Ave NE	open
Hhp Pizza Store #872, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2555 34th St NE	open
Hide-A-Way	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers · American	4021 Mahoning Rd NE	open
Hob Nob Tavern	Bar		1604 Harrisburg Rd NE	open
Hungry Howie's Hungry Howie's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2121 Columbus Rd NE	open
Irie Island Jamaican	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	3407 Mahoning Rd NE	open
Italo's Pizza Shop Middlebranch Italo's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3560 Middlebranch Ave NE	open
KFC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2348 Columbus Rd NE	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	3614 Harmont Avenue N.E	open
Lala's Pizza	Quick service	Pizza	2549 16th St NE	open
Long John Silver's Long John Silver's	Quick service		2633 Maret Street	open
Lorentz's Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3711 Middlebranch Ave NE	open
Mary Ann Donuts Shop Mary Ann Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	2131 Columbus Rd NE	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	3251 Mahoning Rd Ne	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	3700 Harmont Ave	open
Mr. Hero Mr Hero Mansfield Ohio	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Sandwiches · American	2801 Maret St NE	open
Mr. Hero	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3319 Harmont Ave NE	open
Napoli's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1076 The O'Jays Pkwy NE	open
O's Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3711 Middlebranch Ave NE	open
Orioles Nest	Casual dining · Bar	BBQ	3151 Mahoning Rd NE	open
Papa Bears Pizza Oven Rest	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3700 Columbus Rd NE	open
Paw Paw's Country Mart	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	4235 Middlebranch Ave NE	open
Pizza Oven The Pizza Oven	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3314 Lesh St NE	open
Ricardo's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2542 Mahoning Rd NE	open
Route 62 Butts & Brews	Bar		2348 Columbus Rd NE	open
Ruby Bar N Grill	Casual dining · Bar		2546 Winfield Way NE	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3200 Atlantic Blvd NE	open
Sunrise Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	3020 Harrisburg Rd NE	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	2625 Maret St NE	open
Taqueria JIREH LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3302 Mahoning Rd NE	open
Tienda y Panadería Santay	Bakery	Bakery	2542 Mahoning Rd NE	open
Tropicalsno 2.0	Dessert		3437 Middlebranch Ave NE	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	3200 Atlantic Blvd NE	open
Walther's Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	1836 Maple Ave NE	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	37	29	—	—	—	8	SIC1987
1995	34	25	—	—	—	9	SIC1987
1996	32	25	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1997	32	25	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1998	31	27	10	15	2	4	NAICS1997
1999	31	26	9	15	2	5	NAICS1997
2000	33	26	10	15	1	7	NAICS1997
2001	31	24	9	15	—	7	NAICS1997
2002	28	23	6	17	—	5	NAICS1997
2003	28	23	6	16	—	5	NAICS2002
2004	27	21	6	14	—	6	NAICS2002
2005	28	23	8	15	—	5	NAICS2002
2006	30	27	8	19	—	3	NAICS2002
2007	27	23	6	17	—	3	NAICS2002
2008	28	22	6	15	1	5	NAICS2007
2009	29	21	6	14	1	5	NAICS2007
2010	29	23	7	15	1	3	NAICS2007
2011	31	25	9	14	2	3	NAICS2007
2012	26	21	5	14	2	2	NAICS2012
2013	23	20	3	15	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	26	21	4	15	2	3	NAICS2012
2015	23	18	3	13	2	3	NAICS2012
2016	26	20	3	14	3	4	NAICS2012
2017	27	21	3	17	—	4	NAICS2017
2018	22	18	—	15	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	19	16	—	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	19	17	—	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	19	17	3	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	24	22	5	16	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	23	20	3	16	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 44705. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
44714	1.4 mi	3	2021
44704	2.4 mi	3	2023
44709	2.9 mi	39	2023
44703	3.0 mi	5	2023
44702	3.3 mi	19	2023
44721	4.2 mi	18	2023
44652	4.7 mi	—
44641	4.8 mi	23	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.