BMIE Market 44657

Carroll County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,620 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±628 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,324 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±371 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10,334 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,464 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$62,941 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,059 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	47.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$905 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±235 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$165,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,807 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	63.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	16 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 44657
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+6.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+6.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+33.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	19 (range 16–23) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.47) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	58 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	57 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	61 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 44657. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.47, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	56.6	57	40%	+22.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58.5	59	35%	+20.5
Market Momentum Score	61.3	61	25%	+15.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,620	70	40%	+28.1
Median household income (ACS)	62,941	35	40%	+14.1
Households (ACS)	4,324	72	20%	+14.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	33.3	73	35%	+25.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	16.6	47	25%	+11.8
Population (ACS)	9,620	70	20%	+14.0
Median household income (ACS)	62,941	35	20%	+7.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	6.7	63	50%	+31.7
10-year restaurant growth	33.3	73	30%	+22.0
20-year restaurant growth	6.7	38	20%	+7.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (37)

By cuisine

American 8 · Coffee 4 · Pizza 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Bakery 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Dessert 2 · Italian 2 · Mexican 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · Greek 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Indian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 22 · Quick service 11 · Bar 4 · Dessert 4 · Bakery 3 · Casual dining 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Café 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Abigail Interiors	Restaurant (service type not stated)		805 E Lincolnway	open
China House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	509 E Lincolnway	open
Corner Restaurant & Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean · European	701 Murray Ave	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	613 E Lincolnway 613 E Lincolnway	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	620 East Lincoln Way	open
DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill	Quick service		613 E Lincolnway	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	1041 E Lincolnway	open
Gioninos Pizzeria Gionino's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1145 Alliance Rd NW	open
Grinders Above and Beyond Grinders	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other	Sandwiches · American	404 E Lincolnway	open
Hardee’s	Quick service		709 E Lincolnway	open
Hart Mansion Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Steakhouse	411 N Main St	open
Heritage at Great Trail	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	10154 Great Trail Dr	open
Indian Summers Border Collie	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	2550 Fox Ave SE	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1000 Valley Street	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	601 East Lincoln Way	open
Mezzaluna's Italian Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	301 W Lincolnway	open
Minerva Classic Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		317 E Lincolnway	open
Minerva Perk	Coffee shop	Coffee	100 W High St	open
Minerva's Classic 57 Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bakery	Bakery · American · Sandwiches	317 E Lincolnway	open
Nanco Restaurant Mangement Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		101 N Market St	open
Norma's ROADHOUSE	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	301 W Lincolnway	open
Normandy Inn	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		114 S Market St	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	311 E Lincolnway	open
Que Pasa	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	101 N Market St	open
Railroad Cafe	Casual dining · Bar		216 Arbor Rd NW	open
Sandy Springs Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		232 N Market St	open
Stoney Inn Saloon Patio	Bar		W Line St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1162 Alliance Rd NW	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1000 Valley Street	open
Tee House Social	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	10154 Great Trail Dr	open
The Clever Cookie & Creamery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	101 E Line St	open
The Komfort Zone	Café · Dessert · Coffee shop	Coffee · Ice cream / frozen desserts	204 N Market St	open
The Shake Shack	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls · Juice / smoothies	W Lincolnway	open
Tipsy Teller Urban Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		123 N Main St	open
Walker's Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Breakfast	121 N Market St	open
Yoder's Country Market and Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	820 E Lincolnway	open
Your Pizza Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Chicken / wings	301 N Market St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	14	12	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	14	12	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	16	11	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1997	18	13	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1998	22	14	4	9	1	8	NAICS1997
1999	24	17	6	10	1	7	NAICS1997
2000	24	17	4	12	1	7	NAICS1997
2001	26	19	8	11	—	7	NAICS1997
2002	18	13	4	9	—	5	NAICS1997
2003	19	15	7	8	—	4	NAICS2002
2004	17	13	6	6	1	4	NAICS2002
2005	17	13	5	7	1	4	NAICS2002
2006	17	13	6	6	1	4	NAICS2002
2007	19	16	7	8	1	3	NAICS2002
2008	18	15	8	7	—	3	NAICS2007
2009	16	14	7	7	—	2	NAICS2007
2010	15	12	5	7	—	3	NAICS2007
2011	15	12	5	7	—	3	NAICS2007
2012	15	12	6	6	—	3	NAICS2012
2013	16	12	6	6	—	4	NAICS2012
2014	16	11	6	5	—	4	NAICS2012
2015	14	10	5	5	—	4	NAICS2012
2016	17	13	7	6	—	4	NAICS2012
2017	21	17	9	8	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	19	15	8	7	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	21	17	9	8	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	18	14	7	7	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	17	14	7	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	19	16	7	9	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	20	16	7	9	—	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 44657. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
44669	4.2 mi	—
44625	4.3 mi	1	2016
44607	4.9 mi	1	2009

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.