BMIE Market 44706

Stark County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	16,496 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,291 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,206 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±499 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	18,246 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,804 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$58,228 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,291 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$943 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±68 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$143,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,895 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	18.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	20 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 44706
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+11.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+5.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	19 (range 17–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	55 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	58 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	47 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 44706. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	57.9	58	40%	+23.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56.2	56	35%	+19.7
Market Momentum Score	47.1	47	25%	+11.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	16,496	78	40%	+31.3
Median household income (ACS)	58,228	27	40%	+10.6
Households (ACS)	7,206	80	20%	+16.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	11.1	55	35%	+19.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	12.1	64	25%	+16.0
Population (ACS)	16,496	78	20%	+15.6
Median household income (ACS)	58,228	27	20%	+5.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	11.1	55	30%	+16.5
20-year restaurant growth	25	49	20%	+9.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (43)

By cuisine

American 12 · Burgers 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Dessert 3 · Pizza 3 · Bakery 2 · Coffee 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Greek 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 21 · Bar 13 · Casual dining 11 · Quick service 9 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · Café 2 · Catering 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Fast casual 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Antonio's South Philly Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1711 Perry Dr SW	open
Athens Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek	816 Harrison Ave SW	open
Aunt Alyee's Berd-house Deli And Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2103 Gambrinus Ave SW	open
Baker's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	1927 Stark Ave SW	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	3716 17th St SW	open
Burgess Grills Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	1802 Navarre Rd SW	open
Cinnabon Cinnabon	Coffee shop · Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery · Juice / smoothies	2320 Faircrest St SW	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	138 Faircrest St SW	open
Donato's Bar & Grille	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		2821 17th St SW	open
El Sabor Latino Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Latin American (other) · American	1800 Navarre Rd SW	open
Family Hall Of Fame Pizza & Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	900 Harrison Ave SW	open
Fast Times Pub	Casual dining · Bar		1537 Harrison Ave SW	open
Ferraro's Family Restaurant	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery	3822 Navarre Rd SW	open
Flanagans Pub	Bar · Casual dining		1316 Navarre Rd SW	open
Frame's Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		1600 Bryan Ave SW	open
Grotto Hall Rental, home of the Nazir Grotto	Bar		1717 6th St SW	open
Heather's Place	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	816 Harrison Ave SW	open
Ida's Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	1715 Bryan Ave SW	open
Laredo Taco Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2215 Faircrest St	open
Marks Tavern	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1652 Bryan Ave SW	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	3713 17th St SW	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2331 Faircrest St Sw	open
Miixers Lounge	Bar		3908 Navarre Rd SW	open
Nuthouse Saloon	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		5990 Navarre Rd SW	open
Olde Fashioned Coney Express	Casual dining	American	1352 Dueber Ave SW	open
Richville Roadhouse	Casual dining · Bar	Pizza	6195 Navarre Rd SW	open
Sister's Soul Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	900 Harrison Ave SW	open
Slovak Home Club	Bar		1814 Henry Ave SW	open
Speedy Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3825 Southway Street Southwest	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	4005 Southway St SW	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	164 Dueber Ave SW	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2320 Faircrest Street	open
T Bird Bar & Grill Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		1425 15th St SW	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	3823 Navarre Road	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service		2233 Faircrest Street SW	open
Tasti Creme	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · American	4767 Navarre Rd SW	open
The Canton Rib Cage Inc.	Catering	BBQ · American	5285 Doloris St SW	open
The Musical Inn	Bar		4001 Navarre Rd SW	open
Tommy T's Tommy T's Comedy Club in Pleasanton	Bar	American	1423 15th St SW	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	4040 Greentree Avenue S.W.	open
Your Pizza Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls	6195 Navarre Rd SW	open
El Dorado Lanes & Lounge	Bar		3908 Navarre Rd SW	closed
Freeway Tavern	Bar		1316 Navarre Rd SW	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	30	19	—	—	—	11	SIC1987
1995	26	16	—	—	—	10	SIC1987
1996	29	18	—	—	—	11	SIC1987
1997	28	18	—	—	—	10	SIC1987
1998	27	16	7	6	3	10	NAICS1997
1999	29	20	7	9	4	8	NAICS1997
2000	28	19	7	7	4	9	NAICS1997
2001	27	19	7	9	3	8	NAICS1997
2002	27	17	6	9	2	10	NAICS1997
2003	29	16	6	8	2	13	NAICS2002
2004	33	19	8	9	2	13	NAICS2002
2005	36	21	9	10	2	14	NAICS2002
2006	29	19	7	10	2	9	NAICS2002
2007	28	19	7	10	2	9	NAICS2002
2008	27	20	9	10	1	7	NAICS2007
2009	28	21	10	10	1	6	NAICS2007
2010	29	21	9	11	1	7	NAICS2007
2011	28	21	9	11	1	7	NAICS2007
2012	24	18	7	10	1	6	NAICS2012
2013	24	18	6	10	2	6	NAICS2012
2014	27	21	7	12	2	6	NAICS2012
2015	26	19	8	9	2	6	NAICS2012
2016	24	20	9	10	1	4	NAICS2012
2017	21	18	7	10	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	25	20	9	11	—	4	NAICS2017
2019	23	19	9	10	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	25	19	7	12	—	5	NAICS2017
2021	25	18	7	11	—	6	NAICS2017
2022	25	19	7	12	—	5	NAICS2022
2023	25	20	7	13	—	4	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 44706. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
44710	2.5 mi	3	2018
44707	3.8 mi	13	2023
44702	3.9 mi	19	2023
44708	4.4 mi	54	2023
44703	4.4 mi	5	2023
44626	4.4 mi	1	2014

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.