BMIE Market 44707

Stark County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,048 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,182 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,674 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±367 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,208 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,374 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$44,943 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,108 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	35.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$765 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±42 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$109,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,489 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	15.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 44707
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	16.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-13.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-13.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-13.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	13 (range 11–15) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.18) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	38 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	46 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	42 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	22 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 44707. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.18, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 38 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	45.5	46	40%	+18.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	41.8	42	35%	+14.6
Market Momentum Score	21.9	22	25%	+5.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,048	69	40%	+27.7
Median household income (ACS)	44,943	10	40%	+3.9
Households (ACS)	3,674	70	20%	+14.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 42 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	14.4	55	25%	+13.8
Population (ACS)	9,048	69	20%	+13.9
Median household income (ACS)	44,943	10	20%	+1.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 22 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-13.3	16	50%	+8.2
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	-13.3	16	20%	+3.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (38)

By cuisine

Pizza 7 · American 5 · Coffee 5 · Chicken / wings 4 · Bakery 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Burgers 2 · Dessert 2 · Italian 2 · Mexican 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chinese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 19 · Bar 8 · Quick service 6 · Casual dining 5 · Bakery 4 · Café 4 · Dessert 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
43 Diesel Repair Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1520 Waynesburg Dr SE	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2543 Cleveland Ave SW	open
Aunt Mary Ann Donuts Cafe Mary Ann Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	2909 Cleveland Ave SW	open
Auntie Anne's	Bakery	Bakery	4230 Belden Ave Se	open
Casanova's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Pizza	4103 Cleveland Ave SW	open
Club	Bar		1757 Cleveland Ave SW	open
Club Flamingo	Bar		1201 4th St SE	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	2536 Cleveland Ave SW	open
El Campero	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	3021 Cleveland Ave S	open
El Campesino	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	4048 Lincoln St E	open
EuroGyro Canton South Euro Gyro	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Mediterranean	2734 Cleveland Ave SW	open
Gionino's Pizzeria Gionino's Pizzeria Huffman	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2929 Cleveland Ave S	open
Gioninos Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4103 Cleveland Ave SW	open
Hoochs Pub	Bar · Casual dining	American	1533 Cleveland Ave SW	open
Italo's Pizza Canton South Italo's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3026 Cleveland Ave S	open
Jipendé Afrikan	Bar · Café	Coffee	1957 Tuscarawas St E	open
Joe's Chicken & More	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	1836 Tuscarawas St E	open
Lighthouse Family Center Limited	Restaurant (service type not stated)		408 9th St SW	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	4025 Lincoln St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	3109 Cleveland Ave S	open
Old Landmark Tavern	Bar · Casual dining	American	5224 Ridge Ave SE	open
Peking	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	2815 Cleveland Ave SW	open
Pizza Pan	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2720 Cleveland Ave SW	open
Republic Services - Canton	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2232 Central Ave SE	open
Rocsiz Chicken and Waffles	Casual dining · Bar	Chicken / wings	1153 McKinley Ave SW	open
Shale Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom		715 2nd St SE	open
Smith's Waco Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Chicken / wings	1660 Waynesburg Dr SE	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2612 Cleveland Ave SW	open
Subway	Quick service		4272 Belden Ave SE	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	2644 Cleveland Avenue SW	open
The Rustic Rack Bakery and Eatery	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee	4311 Cleveland Ave SW	open
Thirsty Cattle	Bar		2521 Waynesburg Dr SE	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	2512 Cleveland Ave SW	open
Wildcat Cafe	Café	Coffee · American	613 Faircrest St SE	open
Zavarelli's Pizza Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2817 Lincoln St E	open
Decktec, Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		825 Navarre Rd SW	closed
Roadside Tavern	Bar		2521 Waynesburg Dr SE	closed
The Pizza Oven The Pizza Oven	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	3655 Cleveland Ave S	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	24	15	—	—	—	9	SIC1987
1995	22	15	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1996	20	12	—	—	—	8	SIC1987
1997	19	13	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1998	25	16	4	11	1	7	NAICS1997
1999	25	16	5	10	1	8	NAICS1997
2000	22	15	4	10	1	6	NAICS1997
2001	19	12	1	10	1	5	NAICS1997
2002	23	18	3	13	2	4	NAICS1997
2003	21	15	3	11	1	5	NAICS2002
2004	20	14	4	9	1	5	NAICS2002
2005	20	13	2	10	1	6	NAICS2002
2006	21	14	1	12	1	6	NAICS2002
2007	24	16	4	10	2	6	NAICS2002
2008	24	16	4	10	2	6	NAICS2007
2009	20	15	5	8	2	4	NAICS2007
2010	20	15	5	7	3	4	NAICS2007
2011	17	14	5	7	2	3	NAICS2007
2012	14	10	3	6	1	4	NAICS2012
2013	17	13	4	8	1	4	NAICS2012
2014	19	15	4	8	3	4	NAICS2012
2015	18	13	4	6	3	4	NAICS2012
2016	19	14	4	7	3	4	NAICS2012
2017	19	14	4	9	—	4	NAICS2017
2018	20	15	4	10	—	4	NAICS2017
2019	20	14	4	9	—	5	NAICS2017
2020	19	13	4	8	—	5	NAICS2017
2021	16	12	4	8	—	3	NAICS2017
2022	17	13	4	9	—	3	NAICS2022
2023	17	13	4	8	—	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 44707. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
44704	2.8 mi	3	2023
44702	3.1 mi	19	2023
44706	3.8 mi	20	2023
44703	3.9 mi	5	2023
44730	4.3 mi	5	2023
44710	4.6 mi	3	2018

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.