BMIE Market 45205

Hamilton County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	18,651 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,845 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,009 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±632 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	19,389 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,350 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$43,682 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,639 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	30.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$895 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±59 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$127,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23,951 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	2.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	10 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 45205
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	5.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-16.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+11.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-37.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-58.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	14 (range 9–18) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.39) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	48 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	51 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	25 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 45205. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.39, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	51.4	51	40%	+20.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59.6	60	35%	+20.9
Market Momentum Score	25.4	25	25%	+6.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	18,651	80	40%	+32.1
Median household income (ACS)	43,682	9	40%	+3.4
Households (ACS)	7,009	79	20%	+15.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	11.1	55	35%	+19.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	5.4	90	25%	+22.6
Population (ACS)	18,651	80	20%	+16.0
Median household income (ACS)	43,682	9	20%	+1.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 25 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-16.7	15	50%	+7.3
10-year restaurant growth	11.1	55	30%	+16.5
20-year restaurant growth	-37.5	8	20%	+1.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (30)

By cuisine

American 7 · Mexican 6 · Latin American (other) 5 · Pizza 4 · Bakery 3 · Burgers 3 · British / Irish pub food 2 · Greek 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Chicken / wings 1 · Coffee 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 20 · Quick service 7 · Casual dining 5 · Bakery 3 · Bar 3 · Catering 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
52 Bar	Bar		4016 Glenway Ave	open
Antojitos Del Rey	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	977 Hawthorne Ave	open
Aunt Flora's Cobbler House	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery · American	3618 Warsaw Ave	open
common roots	Bar		3642 W 8th St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	3725 Warsaw Ave	open
El Sabor De Mi Tierra LLP	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American · Mexican	3665 Warsaw Ave	open
El Trancazo Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Latin American (other) · American	975 Hawthorne Ave	open
El Valle Verde Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3642 Warsaw Ave	open
Hook Fish & Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	British / Irish pub food · Sandwiches	3801 Glenway Ave	open
LaRosa's Pizza LaRosa's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	4008 Glenway Ave	open
Maka Mia Pizza Maka Mia Pizza	Quick service	Pizza	8th St, Cincinnati, OH	open
Maya's Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3793 Warsaw Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	3738 Warsaw Ave	open
Mike's Chili and Gyro Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek	979 Hawthorne Ave	open
Mother Heart Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	4205 Glenway Ave	open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	3725 Warsaw Ave	open
Price Hill LaRosa's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4008 Glenway Avenue	open
Rally's Checkers and Rally's	Quick service	Burgers · American	4115 Glenway Ave	open
Rosemont Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	4205 Glenway Ave	open
Sabor San Marcos	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea · Food truck	Juice / smoothies	1210 Gilsey Ave	open
Sam's Fish & Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · British / Irish pub food	3900 Glenway Ave	open
Sergio’s panaderia	Bakery	Bakery	1044 Gilsey Ave	open
Skyline Chili Skyline Chili	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3714 Warsaw Ave	open
Sunshine Treat's To Eat	Bakery · Catering	Bakery	501 Rosemont Ave	open
Taqueria Doña Maria	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	3908 Glenway Ave	open
Taqueria El Rey Del Sabor	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3411 Warsaw Ave	open
Urbana Cafe	Coffee shop	Coffee	3114 Warsaw Ave	open
Veracruz Mexican Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3108 Price Ave	open
White Castle	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	3411 Warsaw Ave	open
Tastees’	Quick service		3900 Glenway Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	35	24	—	—	—	11	SIC1987
1995	30	21	—	—	—	9	SIC1987
1996	27	20	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1997	28	19	—	—	—	9	SIC1987
1998	28	19	6	13	—	7	NAICS1997
1999	26	16	4	12	—	8	NAICS1997
2000	23	15	4	11	—	6	NAICS1997
2001	22	14	4	10	—	6	NAICS1997
2002	26	16	4	12	—	7	NAICS1997
2003	24	16	7	9	—	6	NAICS2002
2004	26	17	8	8	1	7	NAICS2002
2005	26	17	6	10	1	7	NAICS2002
2006	21	12	4	8	—	7	NAICS2002
2007	19	11	4	7	—	6	NAICS2002
2008	18	11	2	8	1	6	NAICS2007
2009	14	9	2	6	1	4	NAICS2007
2010	17	11	2	7	2	4	NAICS2007
2011	15	10	2	6	2	4	NAICS2007
2012	16	10	3	6	1	4	NAICS2012
2013	12	9	2	6	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	9	6	1	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	9	6	1	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	12	9	1	7	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	14	11	—	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	14	12	—	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	12	—	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	14	12	—	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	14	13	—	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	10	—	7	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	12	10	—	7	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 45205. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
45204	1.5 mi	5	2023
45238	1.8 mi	60	2023
41016	2.1 mi	9	2023
45214	2.2 mi	7	2023
45203	2.3 mi	5	2023
45225	2.5 mi	9	2023
45219	3.6 mi	71	2023
45211	3.6 mi	54	2023
41011	3.8 mi	72	2023
45202	3.8 mi	190	2023
45220	3.9 mi	21	2023
45267	4.3 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.