BMIE Market 45243

Hamilton County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	16,103 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±582 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,217 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±372 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	14,891 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,954 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$171,172 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,938 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,828 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±281 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$627,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±61,147 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	19.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 45243
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-5.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+6.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+30.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+21.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	20 (range 18–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.31) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	86 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	70 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	37 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 45243. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.31, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	85.7	86	40%	+34.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	70.4	70	35%	+24.6
Market Momentum Score	36.8	37	25%	+9.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	16,103	78	40%	+31.1
Median household income (ACS)	171,172	98	40%	+39.1
Households (ACS)	6,217	78	20%	+15.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	6.3	51	35%	+17.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.6	70	25%	+17.5
Population (ACS)	16,103	78	20%	+15.6
Median household income (ACS)	171,172	98	20%	+19.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 37 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-5.6	22	50%	+11.1
10-year restaurant growth	6.3	51	30%	+15.2
20-year restaurant growth	30.8	52	20%	+10.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (32)

By cuisine

American 5 · Bakery 4 · Coffee 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Burgers 2 · Italian 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Dessert 1 · French 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Japanese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 18 · Bar 6 · Casual dining 6 · Bakery 5 · Quick service 4 · Café 3 · Dessert 2 · Coffee shop 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A Lice In Wonderland	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	8575 Sleepy Hollow Dr	open
A Tavola Bar + Trattoria	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Italian	7022 Miami Ave	open
Ali's Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	7820 Camargo Rd	open
Amarin	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	7022 Miami Ave	open
Bruegger's Bagels	Bakery	Bakery	7005 Miami Ave	open
Camargo Club	Bar		8600 Camargo Club Dr	open
Cheese -N- Chong	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Chi-nnatis Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7980 Hosbrook Rd	open
Chuy's Chuy's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · Latin American (other)	7980 Hosbrook Rd	open
Coffee Please	Café	Coffee	6930 Miami Ave	open
Daveed’s Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	7896 Camargo Rd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	7720 Laurel Ave	open
Einstein Bros. Bagels Einstein Bros. Bagels	Quick service		7005 Miami Avenue	open
Ferrari's Little Italy and Bakery	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Bakery	7677 Goff Terrace	open
Frieda's Desserts	Bakery	Bakery	6927 Miami Ave	open
Gigi's Cupcakes of Kenwood	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	7940 Hosbrook Road	open
Jalapeno's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	7980 Hosbrook Rd	open
La Grassa	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	7014 Miami Ave	open
La Petite Pierre	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	French	7800 Camargo Rd	open
MADEIRA CAFE-	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · Coffee · American	7718 Laurel Ave	open
Madeira Inn	Casual dining · Bar	German / Eastern European	7717 Laurel Ave	open
Masala Theory Indian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	7800 Camargo Rd	open
Megan's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	7718 Laurel Ave	open
Penn Station East Coast Subs Penn Station East Coast Subs	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	7950 Hosbrook Rd	open
Playa Bowls Playa Bowls	Quick service		7940 Hosbrook Rd	open
Pub 81	Bar · Casual dining	American	7840 Camargo Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	7011 Miami Ave	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	7013 Miami Ave	open
SwingLine Madeira	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	7710 Railroad Ave	open
The Brewhaus Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	6927 Miami Ave	open
The Cooks Creations Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7896 Camargo Rd	open
Wthree Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7022 Miami Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	17	14	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	17	13	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	15	12	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	16	13	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	15	10	6	1	3	4	NAICS1997
1999	19	13	7	2	4	3	NAICS1997
2000	20	14	9	1	4	3	NAICS1997
2001	20	13	8	1	4	3	NAICS1997
2002	19	13	7	2	4	2	NAICS1997
2003	20	13	8	2	3	2	NAICS2002
2004	22	14	7	4	3	2	NAICS2002
2005	19	12	5	3	4	2	NAICS2002
2006	19	12	5	3	4	2	NAICS2002
2007	20	12	5	3	4	2	NAICS2002
2008	19	10	5	2	3	3	NAICS2007
2009	19	11	4	3	4	2	NAICS2007
2010	18	10	4	3	3	2	NAICS2007
2011	18	11	4	4	3	2	NAICS2007
2012	21	16	6	6	4	1	NAICS2012
2013	23	16	7	5	4	1	NAICS2012
2014	25	17	9	3	5	1	NAICS2012
2015	24	17	10	3	4	1	NAICS2012
2016	24	17	9	4	4	1	NAICS2012
2017	24	17	9	5	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	23	18	8	6	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	23	18	8	6	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	24	20	9	6	5	—	NAICS2017
2021	21	18	9	6	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	22	18	9	6	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	22	17	9	4	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 45243. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
45147	2.4 mi	1	2005
45174	2.4 mi	2	2016
45111	2.8 mi	2	2016
45236	3.6 mi	72	2023
45227	3.6 mi	55	2023
45242	3.9 mi	85	2023
45213	4.5 mi	18	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.