BMIE Market 45174

Hamilton County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	2,321 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±242 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	745 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±72 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	2,258 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	812 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$193,750 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±27,039 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$3,125 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,996 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$603,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±60,360 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	1.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	2 2016 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2016 detail (NAICS2012) · by USPS ZIP 45174
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	Not yet derived
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2006 → 2016, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 1995 → 2015, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2021	1 (range 0–3) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 1995–2016 (7 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.75) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	67 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	81 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	88 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 45174. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 1995–2016, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.75, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	67.3	67	40%	+26.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	80.9	81	35%	+28.3
Market Momentum Score	88.1	88	25%	+22.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	2,321	48	40%	+19.0
Median household income (ACS)	193,750	99	40%	+39.5
Households (ACS)	745	44	20%	+8.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	35%	+32.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.6	78	25%	+19.4
Population (ACS)	2,321	48	20%	+9.5
Median household income (ACS)	193,750	99	20%	+19.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 88 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	30%	+55.2
20-year restaurant growth	100	82	20%	+32.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (5)

By cuisine

American 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Mexican 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 3 · Bar 2 · Casual dining 1 · Dessert 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Golden State	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	704 Wooster Pike	open
Subway (Terrace Park)	Other	Sandwiches	704 Wooster Pike	open
The Birch in Terrace Park	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	702 Indian Hill Rd	open
Tillie's Garage	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		704 Wooster Pike	open
United Dairy Farmers United Dairy Farmers	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	701 Wooster Pike	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1995	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
2003	1	1	—	—	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	1	1	—	—	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	1	1	—	—	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	1	1	—	—	1	—	NAICS2002
2015	2	2	1	—	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	2	2	1	—	1	—	NAICS2012

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 45174. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
45243	2.4 mi	17	2023
45244	3.2 mi	18	2023
45111	3.2 mi	2	2016
45147	3.6 mi	1	2005
45227	4.0 mi	55	2023
45150	4.4 mi	98	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.