BMIE Market 45244

Hamilton County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	28,511 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,346 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	10,961 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±551 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	28,565 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	11,096 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$109,287 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,606 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,145 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±59 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$382,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,046 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	21.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	18 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 45244
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-5.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+12.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+28.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	17 (range 13–20) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	87 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	76 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	34 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 45244. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	87.1	87	40%	+34.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	76.3	76	35%	+26.7
Market Momentum Score	33.7	34	25%	+8.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 87 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	28,511	88	40%	+35.1
Median household income (ACS)	109,287	86	40%	+34.5
Households (ACS)	10,961	87	20%	+17.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	12.5	56	35%	+19.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.3	87	25%	+21.8
Population (ACS)	28,511	88	20%	+17.6
Median household income (ACS)	109,287	86	20%	+17.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 34 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-5.3	22	50%	+11.2
10-year restaurant growth	12.5	56	30%	+16.9
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (58)

By cuisine

Pizza 8 · Bakery 7 · Coffee 7 · American 5 · Burgers 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Dessert 3 · Italian 3 · BBQ 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Mexican 2 · Seafood 2 · Asian 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · French 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 31 · Bar 16 · Casual dining 8 · Quick service 8 · Bakery 7 · Dessert 7 · Café 6 · Coffee shop 4 · Food truck 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Other 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Anderson Township Pub	Quick service · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Burgers	6694 Clough Pike	open
BG's Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	American	4766 Sandra Lee Ln	open
BOBA HOUSE Milford, OHIO	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Tea / bubble tea · Asian		open
Brylan's Cafe	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee · Vegetarian · Sandwiches	6926 Main St	open
Burger Environmntl	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	7945 Main St	open
Burger Farm Pumpkin Patch	Bar	Burgers		open
Bway	Bar · Quick service		8200 Broadwell Rd	open
Casey's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	539 Old State Route 74	open
Ciudad de Mexico	Food truck	Mexican · Latin American (other)	8345 Clough Pike	open
Clough Crossings	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	6892 Clough Pike	open
Cotton Candy Sky LLC	Dessert · Café	Coffee	7017 Lawyer Rd	open
Dairy Corner	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	3501 Church St	open
Deep Dish Sweets & Treats	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	4985 Cinnamon Ct	open
Dexter Bourbon Company	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		3849 Edwards Rd	open
Dipped by Bobby	Dessert · Bakery	Bakery	830 Blackcomb Dr	open
Doscher's Candies	Dessert	Dessert	6926 Main St	open
Eastgate Shakes (Everyday Nutrition)	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	545 Clough Pike	open
Ethel's Tavern Marlow's Tavern	Bar		4095 Round Bottom Rd	open
Feel Good Food Stop	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee	6836 Main St	open
Grammas Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	618 Old State Route 74	open
Hank's Mt. Carmel Pub	Bar · Casual dining		4501 Mt Carmel Tobasco Rd	open
Happy 2 Brewing Company	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Brewery / taproom · Bar	Pizza · Italian	8298 Clough Pike	open
Ivy Hills Cigar Bar	Bar		7400 Spyglass Ct	open
Jean Paul's Paradiso	Bakery	Bakery	6732 Clough Pike	open
Jones Fish Hatchery & Pond Stocking	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	3433 Church St	open
Just Q'in Barbeque Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	6901 Valley Ln	open
La Soupe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French	4150 Round Bottom	open
LaRosa's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	485 Old State Route 74	open
Lee's Famous Recipe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	3638 Round Bottom Rd	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4256 Mt Carmel Tobasco Rd	open
Lobsta Bakes of Maine	Specialty food shop · Coffee shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Coffee · Seafood	3533 Church St	open
Luckman Coffee Luckman Coffee Castle Rock	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	8298 Clough Pike	open
Lucy Blue Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	6732 Clough Pike	open
Magic Moves Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6809 Main St	open
Main Street Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	American · Coffee	6903 Main St	open
Marcella's Doughnuts & Bakery Marcella's Doughnuts & Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	545 Clough Pike	open
Mary’s Clubhouse	Bar		6520 Batavia Pike	open
McDonald's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	4642 Aicholtz Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service		4642 Aicholtz Road	open
Mercer Social House	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	6623 Main St	open
Mt. Carmel Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		4362 Mt Carmel Tobasco Rd	open
Newport Brau, Llc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		485 Old State Route 74	open
Newtown Village Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Pizza	6778 Main St	open
Noble Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	4600 Beechwood Rd #900	open
Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	545 Clough Pike	open
Pigskins Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar		455 Old State Rte 74	open
Robert James Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar	BBQ	3804 Church St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	4256 Mt Carmel Tobasco Rd	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	SR 125	open
Taco Jared 12	Food truck		8345 Clough Pike	open
Taqueria El Pastor Dorado	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3251 Mount Carmel Rd	open
The Fork and Pie Bakery	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Bakery	6836 Main St	open
The Growler Stop	Bar		3804 Church St	open
The LB Lodge	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3525 Church St	open
Urban Grill On Main	Casual dining · Bar		6623 Main St	open
Village Coffee Shop	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	7397 Main St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	3478 River Hills Drive	open
Coffee Underground	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	3442 Church St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	18	14	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	18	14	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	23	15	—	—	—	8	SIC1987
1997	23	19	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	22	16	11	5	—	5	NAICS1997
1999	19	14	9	5	—	4	NAICS1997
2000	17	13	8	5	—	3	NAICS1997
2001	19	14	8	5	1	4	NAICS1997
2002	22	17	10	7	—	4	NAICS1997
2003	23	18	10	7	1	4	NAICS2002
2004	25	18	10	7	1	6	NAICS2002
2005	25	19	9	9	1	5	NAICS2002
2006	23	17	9	7	1	5	NAICS2002
2007	25	19	9	8	2	5	NAICS2002
2008	23	17	8	8	1	4	NAICS2007
2009	24	18	8	8	2	4	NAICS2007
2010	27	20	10	10	—	5	NAICS2007
2011	25	19	8	11	—	5	NAICS2007
2012	22	16	6	10	—	5	NAICS2012
2013	21	16	7	9	—	3	NAICS2012
2014	21	18	8	10	—	2	NAICS2012
2015	22	18	8	10	—	3	NAICS2012
2016	24	20	8	11	1	3	NAICS2012
2017	25	20	9	11	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	24	19	9	9	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	23	18	7	9	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	23	19	8	9	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	22	18	8	9	—	3	NAICS2017
2022	19	15	7	7	—	3	NAICS2022
2023	22	18	9	8	—	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 45244. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
45174	3.2 mi	2	2016
45255	3.8 mi	72	2023
45227	4.2 mi	55	2023
45230	4.4 mi	25	2023
45245	4.5 mi	68	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.