BMIE Market 46107

Marion County, Indiana · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	13,020 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±433 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,530 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±428 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	12,774 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,792 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$56,799 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,476 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	36.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,120 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±42 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$181,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,510 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	3.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 46107
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+71.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-20.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	17 (range 12–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.53) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	66 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	55 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	81 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 46107. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.53, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Indiana and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 606, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	54.7	55	40%	+21.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67.4	67	35%	+23.6
Market Momentum Score	80.6	81	25%	+20.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	13,020	75	40%	+29.8
Median household income (ACS)	56,799	24	40%	+9.8
Households (ACS)	5,530	76	20%	+15.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	35%	+28.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	9.2	75	25%	+18.8
Population (ACS)	13,020	75	20%	+14.9
Median household income (ACS)	56,799	24	20%	+4.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	71.4	94	50%	+46.8
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	30%	+24.7
20-year restaurant growth	20	46	20%	+9.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (36)

By cuisine

Pizza 5 · Italian 3 · Mexican 3 · Bakery 2 · Coffee 2 · Dessert 2 · Sandwiches 2 · American 1 · BBQ 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Burgers 1 · European 1 · Filipino 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 19 · Bar 10 · Quick service 5 · Casual dining 4 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Food truck 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Café 1 · Delivery-focused 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
1949 Tavern	Bar		614 Main St	open
410 Main Street Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar		410 Main St	open
5th Ave. Grill and Bar	Bar · Casual dining		423 Main St	open
Ball Park Pizza And Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	607 Main St	open
Beech Bank Brewing Company Llc	Brewery / taproom		301 Main St	open
El Mariachi Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3535 S Emerson Ave	open
El Morral	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2519 Albany St	open
Foodgod Truffle Fries	Restaurant (service type not stated)		403 Main St	open
Greek's Pizzeria & Tap Room Beech Grove	Bar	Pizza · Italian	Store GP1047, 702 Main St	open
Gwendolyn Lee Cakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	7 N 5th Ave	open
Holy Grounds Coffee	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	229 S 3rd Ave	open
Long John Silver's Long John Silver's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	3615 S Emerson Ave	open
Main Street Beech Grove	Bar			open
Napoli Villa	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	758 Main St	open
Nascar Refuel	Restaurant (service type not stated)		403 Main St	open
Ninas Places	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1 Melody Ct	open
Nite Owls Saloon and Grill	Casual dining · Bar		3535 S Emerson Ave	open
O'Gara's Irish Pub	Bar	British / Irish pub food	522 Main St	open
Pastelillo Paradise	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Delivery-focused		403 Main St	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2509 Albany St Marion	open
Pronto Taco	Food truck	Mexican	403 Main St	open
RMY'S Soul/Comfort Food Mobile Kitchen And Catering	Food truck		403 Main St	open
Rustic Root	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	626 Main St	open
Scarlet Lane Brewing Beech Grove	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Brewery / taproom	Pizza	704 Main St	open
Silver Linings Coffeehouse	Coffee shop	Coffee	700 Main St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3535 South Emerson Ave Suite #10	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	42 North 17th Avenue	open
Sweet Bakes by Meg	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	224 N 7th Ave	open
texas boys BBQ LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	3425 S Emerson Ave	open
The Grove Sports Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		3206 S Emerson Ave	open
The Thirsty Turtle 2	Bar		104 N 2nd Ave	open
WALA!	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		614 Main St	open
Wendy's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	3625 S Emerson Ave	open
Wild Card Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	403 Main St	open
Yollie's Oriental Market	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Filipino	528 Main St	open
Lucky's Pub	Bar		104 N 2nd Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	21	15	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1995	22	14	—	—	—	8	SIC1987
1996	23	13	—	—	—	10	SIC1987
1997	24	16	—	—	—	8	SIC1987
1998	20	13	5	8	—	6	NAICS1997
1999	18	14	5	9	—	4	NAICS1997
2000	15	11	5	6	—	3	NAICS1997
2001	17	12	6	6	—	4	NAICS1997
2002	15	10	4	6	—	4	NAICS1997
2003	14	10	4	6	—	3	NAICS2002
2004	21	14	5	7	1	6	NAICS2002
2005	18	12	4	6	1	5	NAICS2002
2006	15	11	4	6	1	3	NAICS2002
2007	14	10	3	6	1	3	NAICS2002
2008	16	11	5	5	1	4	NAICS2007
2009	15	11	6	4	1	3	NAICS2007
2010	13	9	5	4	—	3	NAICS2007
2011	12	9	5	4	—	3	NAICS2007
2012	12	7	3	4	—	4	NAICS2012
2013	12	8	4	4	—	3	NAICS2012
2014	12	7	2	4	1	4	NAICS2012
2015	16	11	5	4	2	4	NAICS2012
2016	11	7	3	4	—	3	NAICS2012
2017	12	7	3	4	—	4	NAICS2017
2018	12	7	3	4	—	4	NAICS2017
2019	14	9	4	5	—	4	NAICS2017
2020	17	12	7	5	—	4	NAICS2017
2021	18	14	8	5	—	3	NAICS2017
2022	21	16	9	5	—	3	NAICS2022
2023	17	12	7	4	—	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 46107. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
46203	1.4 mi	80	2023
46237	3.2 mi	76	2023
46227	3.6 mi	139	2023
46201	4.1 mi	35	2023
46225	4.1 mi	35	2023
46206	4.8 mi	1	2011
46239	4.9 mi	18	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.