BMIE Market 46216

Marion County, Indiana · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	2,767 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±337 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,498 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±216 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	1,697 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,065 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$53,161 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,473 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,301 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±131 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$272,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±25,112 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	3.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	14 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 46216
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	64.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+16.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+27.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+133.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+600.0% DERIVED: 1996 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	15 (range 14–17) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.64) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	49 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	39 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	41 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	76 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 46216. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.64, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Indiana and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 606, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	39.2	39	40%	+15.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	40.5	41	35%	+14.2
Market Momentum Score	75.5	76	25%	+18.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 39 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	2,767	51	40%	+20.3
Median household income (ACS)	53,161	19	40%	+7.6
Households (ACS)	1,498	56	20%	+11.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	27.3	69	35%	+24.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	50.6	9	25%	+2.4
Population (ACS)	2,767	51	20%	+10.2
Median household income (ACS)	53,161	19	20%	+3.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	16.7	75	50%	+37.3
10-year restaurant growth	27.3	69	30%	+20.8
20-year restaurant growth	133.3	88	20%	+17.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (30)

By cuisine

Sandwiches 5 · Coffee 4 · American 3 · Breakfast 3 · Dessert 2 · Pizza 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Burgers 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 17 · Bar 5 · Café 4 · Quick service 4 · Bakery 2 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Dessert 2 · Other 2 · Casual dining 1 · Coffee shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	9055 E 56th St	open
Beer Barron Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5764 Wheeler Rd	open
Cafe Audrey at Fort Ben	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Breakfast	9134 Otis Ave	open
Culver's Culver's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	5525 N. Post Road	open
Eddy's Sports Pub	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	9105 E 56th St	open
Fort Ben Pub	Bar · Casual dining		5645 N Post Rd	open
Garrison	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	6002 N Post Rd	open
Ice Bar and Lounge	Bar		9105 E 56th St	open
IHOP IHOP	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	9115 E 56th St	open
Jacks Donuts Lawrence	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	9105 E 56th St	open
Jockamo Upper Crust Pizza Jockamo Upper Crust Pizza Irvington	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	9165 Otis Ave	open
KG Schmidt's First Premium	Brewery / taproom		5674 Lawton Loop West Dr	open
Klop's Speakeasy Lounge	Bar		5674 Lawton Loop West Drive	open
La Hacienda Mexican Restaurant La Hacienda #11 Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	5625 Lawton Loop East Dr	open
Luca Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	9301 E 59th St	open
Moo & Lou Frozen Treats	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	5645 N Post Rd Ste. B	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee	9145 E 56th St	open
Pardon My Cheesesteak	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	9115 E 56th St	open
Phaya Thai Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5645 N Post Rd	open
Phaya Thai Street Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	5645 N Post Rd	open
Porter Books And Bread	Café	Coffee	5719 Lawton Loop East Dr	open
Quiznos	Other	Sandwiches	5645 N Post Rd Ste A	open
Rail Splitter IPA	Brewery / taproom · Bar		5764 Wheeler Rd	open
Sandy's On The Run	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other			open
Sherwood Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	5645 North Post Road, Suite D	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	9055 E 56th St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	9155 E 56th St	open
Tenderfix By Noah Schnapp	Quick service		9115 E 56th St	open
The Parched Panda, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5719 Lawton Loop East Dr Ste 101	open
Whimsical Whisk	Bakery	Bakery	9130 Otis Ave Ste B	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1996	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	1	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	2	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	2	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	2	1	—	—	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	6	5	2	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	7	6	3	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	10	9	4	3	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	10	9	4	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	9	8	3	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	13	11	2	7	2	1	NAICS2002
2008	13	10	2	6	2	1	NAICS2007
2009	12	11	2	7	2	1	NAICS2007
2010	12	11	3	7	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	13	12	3	7	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	14	12	4	7	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	14	11	6	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	15	12	7	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	13	10	5	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	14	11	7	2	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	14	13	8	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	12	6	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	13	6	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	15	14	7	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	15	13	6	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	17	13	5	7	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	16	14	6	6	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 46216. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
46235	2.7 mi	4	2023
46226	2.8 mi	61	2023
46256	2.9 mi	29	2023
46236	3.0 mi	48	2023
46250	3.7 mi	119	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.