BMIE Market 48036
Macomb County, Michigan · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 22,538 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,146 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 9,595 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±520 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 20,980 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 9,942 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $70,071 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,170 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 39.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,102 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±51 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $203,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,440 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 8.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 29 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 48036 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 9.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +16.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +20.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +3.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +123.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 33 (range 30–37) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.61) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 66 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 69 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 64 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 63 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 48036. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.61, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Michigan and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 887, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 66 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 69.1 | 69 | 40% | +27.7 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 63.7 | 64 | 35% | +22.3 |
| Market Momentum Score | 63.5 | 63 | 25% | +15.9 |
Consumer Market Score: 69 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 22,538 | 83 | 40% | +33.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 70,071 | 47 | 40% | +18.8 |
| Households (ACS) | 9,595 | 85 | 20% | +17.0 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 64 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 20.8 | 64 | 35% | +22.4 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 12.9 | 61 | 25% | +15.2 |
| Population (ACS) | 22,538 | 83 | 20% | +16.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 70,071 | 47 | 20% | +9.4 |
Market Momentum Score: 63 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 16 | 74 | 50% | +37.0 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 20.8 | 64 | 30% | +19.2 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 3.6 | 37 | 20% | +7.3 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (65)
By cuisine
American 12 · Sandwiches 11 · Coffee 10 · Dessert 6 · Pizza 6 · Bakery 4 · Mexican 4 · Burgers 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Breakfast 2 · Italian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Middle Eastern 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Asian 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Latin American (other) 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 34 · Quick service 20 · Bar 8 · Coffee shop 8 · Bakery 7 · Casual dining 7 · Dessert 7 · Café 6 · Specialty food shop 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aunt Millies Bakery Thrift Shop | Bakery | Bakery | 38283 S Groesbeck Hwy | open |
| Biggby Coffee | Coffee shop | Coffee | 40027 S Groesbeck Hwy | open |
| Boston Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 37105 S Gratiot Ave | open |
| Burger King | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 37746 S Gratiot Ave | open |
| Che Cosa | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 24394 Crocker Blvd | open |
| Chimera Tavern & Banquet Hall | Bar · Casual dining | 43785 N Gratiot Ave | open | |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 40287 S Groesbeck Hwy | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 24280 Hall Rd | open |
| Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen | Quick service · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 20515 N Nunneley Rd | open |
| Di Fragolina Dba Penne Lane | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 44905 Morley Dr | open | |
| Dolce Desserts | Dessert | Dessert | 24394 Crocker Blvd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 4 S Groesbeck Hwy | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 44975 N Gratiot Ave | open |
| Emerson's on the Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 43390 Elizabeth Rd | open |
| Fire House Restaurant & Bar | Bar | 37208 Harper Ave | open | |
| Gratiot Ps Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 44629 N Gratiot Ave | open | |
| Healthy Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Healthy / salads / bowls | 1187 Southbound Gratiot Ave | open |
| Hungry Howie's Hungry Howie's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 37265 Groesbeck | open |
| Imperial Palace | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 37507 Harper Ave | open |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 24830 William P. Rosso Highway | open |
| Jet's Pizza Jet's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 37525 Harper Ave | open |
| Jimmy Dee's Restaurant Lounge | Casual dining | Sandwiches · American | 43820 N Groesbeck Hwy | open |
| Jimmy John's Jimmy John's | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 40067 S Groesbeck Hwy | open |
| Jimmy John's Jimmy John's | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 37119 S Gratiot Ave | open |
| Jon's Coney Island | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hot dogs | 20485 N Nunneley Rd | open |
| Kelly's place bar and grill | Bar · Casual dining | 136 S River Rd | open | |
| KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 37710 S. Gratiot Ave | open |
| La Mia Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern · Mediterranean · Italian | 43998 N Gratiot Ave | open |
| Lefty's Cheesesteaks, Burgers, & Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 40459 S Groesbeck Highway | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1617 S Gratiot Ave | open |
| Mi Pueblo Express Mi Pueblo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 26 S Groesbeck Hwy | open |
| Moceri Industries Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 44945 Morley Dr | open | |
| Morley's Candy Factory | Dessert | Dessert | 23770 Hall Rd | open |
| Numa Coffee Co. | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 22789 Macomb Industrial Dr | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 24910 William P Rosso Hwy | open |
| Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 37115 gratiot avenue | open |
| Papa Romano's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 37111 S Gratiot Ave | open |
| Penn Station East Coast Subs Penn Station East Coast Subs | Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 44629 N Gratiot Ave | open |
| Pizza Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1180 S Gratiot Ave | open |
| Pizza Ram | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 37237 S Groesbeck Hwy # 480 | open |
| Pizza stop & Burek | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | 37237 S Groesbeck Hwy | open | |
| Polskis Pub And Grub | Bar | 38730 Harper Ave | open | |
| Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 37930 Southbound Gratiot Ave | open |
| Pub 1281 | Bar · Casual dining | 1281 S Gratiot Ave | open | |
| Rivercrest Family Dining | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 37531 Harper Ave | open |
| Sanders Chocolate & Ice Cream Shoppe | Dessert | 23770 Hall Rd | open | |
| Schafer Bakeries Inc | Bakery | Bakery | 38283 S Groesbeck Hwy | open |
| Shish Kabob Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Middle Eastern | 37111 Gratiot Ave | open |
| Smokin' BarBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 37310 S Gratiot Ave | open |
| Smoothie Heaven | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 21404 Cass Ave | open | |
| Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | American | 40257 Groesbeck Highway | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 24798 Rosso Hwy | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 40451 S Groesbeck Hwy | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 1219 S Gratiot Ave | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 20485 Nunneley Road N. | open |
| Taco Bell | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 37510 S Gratiot Ave | open |
| The Pantry Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 44945 Morley Dr | open |
| The Rubber Duck | Casual dining · Bar | 136 S River Rd | open | |
| Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake Shop | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 39847 S Groesbeck Hwy | open |
| Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Quick service · Café | Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 40027 S. Groesbeck Highway | open |
| Tubby's | Other | Sandwiches | 37594 S Gratiot Ave | open |
| Tubby's Sub Shop Tubby's Sub Shops | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 43561 N Groesbeck Hwy | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 37794 S Gratiot Ave | open |
| Wiseguys Bar and Grill | Casual dining · Bar | 37208 Harper Ave | open | |
| Zorbas Family Dining | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Breakfast | 37116 S Groesbeck Hwy | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 14 | 13 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 24 | 21 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 30 | 26 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 31 | 29 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 33 | 31 | 13 | 14 | 4 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 35 | 30 | 12 | 14 | 4 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 33 | 28 | 10 | 15 | 3 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 33 | 27 | 10 | 13 | 4 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 30 | 24 | 9 | 12 | 3 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 32 | 28 | 12 | 13 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 31 | 27 | 9 | 15 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 29 | 24 | 7 | 14 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 33 | 28 | 9 | 16 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 29 | 23 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 28 | 22 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 24 | 18 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 32 | 27 | 9 | 13 | 5 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 29 | 24 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 28 | 25 | 7 | 14 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 28 | 25 | 7 | 13 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 28 | 24 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 28 | 24 | 6 | 13 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 28 | 25 | 7 | 14 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 30 | 28 | 6 | 18 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 27 | 25 | 5 | 16 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 32 | 30 | 6 | 20 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 36 | 33 | 7 | 21 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 33 | 29 | 7 | 16 | 6 | — | NAICS2022 |