BMIE Market 48138

Wayne County, Michigan · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,344 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±361 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,140 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±183 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10,371 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,465 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$126,582 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,922 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	50.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,414 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±167 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$355,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,030 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	8.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 48138
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+8.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+18.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+44.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+116.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	14 (range 11–18) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.02) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	80 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	70 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	63 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 48138. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.02, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Michigan and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 887, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	79.7	80	40%	+31.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69.8	70	35%	+24.4
Market Momentum Score	63.4	63	25%	+15.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,344	71	40%	+28.5
Median household income (ACS)	126,582	92	40%	+36.9
Households (ACS)	4,140	72	20%	+14.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	18.2	62	35%	+21.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	12.6	62	25%	+15.5
Population (ACS)	10,344	71	20%	+14.3
Median household income (ACS)	126,582	92	20%	+18.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	8.3	66	50%	+32.8
10-year restaurant growth	18.2	62	30%	+18.5
20-year restaurant growth	44.4	61	20%	+12.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (22)

By cuisine

American 5 · Coffee 4 · Pizza 4 · Italian 2 · Mexican 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Seafood 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 16 · Bar 5 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Casual dining 2 · Dessert 2 · Bakery 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Airport Inn	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	9264 Groh Rd	open
Carmella's Italian Ice & Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	8825 Macomb St	open
Galindo's A Taste of Mexico	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	8756 Macomb St	open
Grosse Ile Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	7767 Macomb St	open
Hoy Pan	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	7599 Macomb St	open
Hungry Howie's Pizza Hungry Howie's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	8535 Macomb St	open
Island Coney	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	8200 Macomb St	open
Kathy's Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	9105 Macomb St #2	open
La Isla Tabitita Vino	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		9505 Groh Rd	open
Lloyd's Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		8961 Macomb St	open
Perdino's of Grosse Ile	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	8575 Macomb St	open
Sharkey's Riverfront Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	25215 W River Rd	open
Smokies On The Water	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		25555 W River Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	8999 Macomb St	open
Sully's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	8537 Macomb St	open
The Duffett Castle	Bar		Red Light District	open
The East End Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	7599 Macomb St	open
The Hummingbird Cafe	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	7968 Macomb Rd	open
Three Senoritas	Food truck	Mexican	9505 Groh Rd	open
Ume Asian Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	9105 Macomb St	open
Upper Crust	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8205 Macomb St	open
Vitara's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	8535 Macomb St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	13	11	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	12	9	8	1	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	14	11	8	3	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	14	10	7	3	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	16	9	7	1	1	3	NAICS1997
2002	15	10	6	2	2	1	NAICS1997
2003	12	9	8	—	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	12	9	8	—	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	15	11	7	2	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	13	10	6	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	13	9	8	1	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	12	11	8	1	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	10	9	6	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	8	7	6	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	9	8	7	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	11	11	9	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	11	11	9	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	13	12	9	2	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	15	14	9	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	18	17	11	5	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	13	12	11	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	12	10	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	13	12	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	15	14	13	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	15	15	12	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	12	12	11	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	13	13	11	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 48138. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
48183	3.2 mi	99	2023
48193	4.1 mi	19	2023
48173	4.9 mi	16	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.