BMIE Market 48173

Wayne County, Michigan · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	12,931 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±565 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,225 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±349 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	12,700 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,311 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$94,094 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,721 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,164 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±66 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$244,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,147 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	11.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	16 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 48173
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+6.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+77.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	14 (range 12–17) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.06) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	60 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	39 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 48173. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.06, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Michigan and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 887, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	75.5	76	40%	+30.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58.3	58	35%	+20.4
Market Momentum Score	39.0	39	25%	+9.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	12,931	74	40%	+29.8
Median household income (ACS)	94,094	77	40%	+30.7
Households (ACS)	5,225	75	20%	+15.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	12.4	63	25%	+15.7
Population (ACS)	12,931	74	20%	+14.9
Median household income (ACS)	94,094	77	20%	+15.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 39 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	6.7	38	20%	+7.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (31)

By cuisine

Pizza 6 · American 4 · Italian 4 · Sandwiches 3 · Breakfast 2 · Burgers 2 · Mexican 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Chinese 1 · Coffee 1 · Greek 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 17 · Bar 12 · Casual dining 7 · Quick service 3 · Coffee shop 1 · Dessert 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
3 Hermano's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex	33019 W Jefferson Ave	open
A&W Restaurants A&W Singapore	Quick service	American · Burgers	31930 W Jefferson	open
Angela's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	32149 Fort Rd	open
Benito's Pizza Benito's Pizza - Sumpter	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	22428 Huron River Dr	open
Beverly’s Brunch House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Breakfast · Coffee	29010 N Gibraltar Rd	open
Bottom Dollar Bar-B-Q	Bar			open
Busters 2.0	Bar		29829 S Gibraltar Rd	open
Cottage Inn Pizza Gibraltar Cottage Inn Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	29110 N Gibraltar Rd	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service		30030 S Gibraltar Rd	open
Gibraltar DQ Dairy Queen	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	30030 S Gibraltar Rd	open
Glenda's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	13938 Middle Gibraltar Rd	open
Griff’s Pub	Bar		32072 Liparoto Dr	open
Howsa Bouta Old Tyme Burger	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Burgers	32149 Fort Rd	open
Huron River Inn	Casual dining · Bar	American	22401 Huron River Dr	open
Jim's Galley	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	29110 N Gibraltar Rd	open
Joe's Prime Time Pub	Bar		27845 Fort St	open
JP's Waterfront	Casual dining · Bar		13200 Middle Gibraltar Rd	open
La Frontera Tortillas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	32845 Cleveland St	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	32835 Fort Rd	open
Maxhari’s Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	31966 W Jefferson Ave	open
Ocean Duck Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	22430 Huron River Dr	open
Pranks On The Marsh	Bar		28635 W Jefferson Ave	open
Redskins Lounge	Bar		32665 W Jefferson Ave	open
River Village Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Sandwiches · Greek	22825 Huron River Dr	open
RiverBillies	Casual dining · Bar		28635 W Jefferson Ave	open
Shore Liquor	Casual dining · Bar		29104 N Gibraltar Rd	open
Si Senor Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	33019 W Jefferson Ave	open
Street BBQ Smokehouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)		29010 N Gibraltar Rd	open
Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	32831 Fort Street	open
Tubby's Sub Shop	Other	Sandwiches	28975 W Jefferson Ave	open
West Jefferson Bar & Grille	Casual dining · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	34961 W Jefferson Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	13	9	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	12	9	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	14	11	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	18	16	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	17	11	7	1	3	3	NAICS1997
1999	18	13	7	1	5	3	NAICS1997
2000	18	13	7	2	4	3	NAICS1997
2001	19	13	7	2	4	3	NAICS1997
2002	18	14	8	2	4	3	NAICS1997
2003	20	15	8	2	5	3	NAICS2002
2004	17	12	7	2	3	3	NAICS2002
2005	18	13	8	4	1	3	NAICS2002
2006	19	12	9	1	2	4	NAICS2002
2007	19	14	9	3	2	2	NAICS2002
2008	20	13	5	6	2	4	NAICS2007
2009	22	14	6	5	3	4	NAICS2007
2010	17	11	5	4	2	4	NAICS2007
2011	18	13	6	4	3	4	NAICS2007
2012	17	13	5	6	2	3	NAICS2012
2013	22	16	8	6	2	4	NAICS2012
2014	21	16	6	7	3	4	NAICS2012
2015	21	14	6	6	2	4	NAICS2012
2016	23	17	8	7	2	4	NAICS2012
2017	19	15	6	6	3	3	NAICS2017
2018	19	16	7	6	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	20	17	8	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	18	14	7	5	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	19	15	8	5	—	3	NAICS2017
2022	18	14	6	5	3	3	NAICS2022
2023	18	16	7	5	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 48173. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
48179	3.4 mi	3	2023
48183	4.0 mi	99	2023
48134	4.8 mi	35	2023
48138	4.9 mi	13	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.