BMIE Market 48182

Monroe County, Michigan · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	20,179 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,084 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,318 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±482 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	21,708 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,725 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$84,375 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,427 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	46.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,328 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±63 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$254,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,985 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	39.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	19 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 48182
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+11.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+18.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+90.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+137.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	20 (range 17–23) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.39) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	70 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	69 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 48182. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.39, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Michigan and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 887, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	76.0	76	40%	+30.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	70.1	70	35%	+24.5
Market Momentum Score	69.2	69	25%	+17.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	20,179	82	40%	+32.6
Median household income (ACS)	84,375	67	40%	+27.0
Households (ACS)	8,318	82	20%	+16.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	18.8	62	35%	+21.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	9.4	74	25%	+18.6
Population (ACS)	20,179	82	20%	+16.3
Median household income (ACS)	84,375	67	20%	+13.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	11.8	70	50%	+34.8
10-year restaurant growth	18.8	62	30%	+18.6
20-year restaurant growth	90	79	20%	+15.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (39)

By cuisine

Pizza 9 · American 6 · Italian 5 · Coffee 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Bakery 3 · Dessert 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Chinese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Mexican 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 20 · Bar 8 · Casual dining 6 · Café 4 · Bakery 3 · Dessert 3 · Quick service 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Buffet 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
32 Below Neveria y Postres	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	6648 Lewis Ave	open
Arca	Bar		8117 Lewis Ave	open
Bailey's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8955 Lewis Ave	open
Bedford Diner	Casual dining	American	6660 Lewis Ave	open
Brenda's Family Dining	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	10597 Lewis Ave	open
Carnales Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	7400 Lewis Ave E	open
CD’s Griddle	Quick service · Juice, smoothie, tea · Food truck	Juice / smoothies	12200 Lewis Ave	open
Chee’s Cakes	Bakery	Bakery	Temperance	open
China House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	7400 Lewis Ave	open
Cocoa House Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Chinese · Asian	7400 Lewis Ave	open
DaCapo Coffee	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	7370 Lewis Ave B	open
Fox's Pizza Den	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7321 Lewis Ave	open
Gerth's Beef and Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Bakery	Sandwiches · Bakery	6925 Lewis Ave	open
Hindsight Pizza - Temperance	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Pizza · Burgers	7311 Lewis Ave	open
It's A Lifestyle Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1671 W Sterns Rd	open
Java Jeff's Sandwiches and More	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9020 Lewis Ave	open
Lil Shack Ice Cream Parlor	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	7003 Lewis Ave	open
Little Me Tavern	Bar		9793 S Telegraph Rd	open
Lula's Place Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	7350 Jackman Rd	open
Maggie's Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	8970 Lewis Ave	open
Mancino's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	7200 Lewis Ave	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	7400 Lewis Ave	open
Mi Ranchito Taco Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	7350 Jackman Rd	open
Michigan Tavern	Bar		1680 Smith Rd	open
Pavlov's Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		7548 Lewis Ave	open
Pizza Primo Pizza Primo	Buffet	Pizza · Italian	7350 Jackman Rd	open
Ranch House Lounge	Bar		7511 Lewis Ave	open
Red Star Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	7327 Lewis Ave	open
Rivalry's Saloon	Bar		7403 S Telegraph Rd	open
Sand Shack Eats & Treats at Forest View	Bar · Casual dining		2345 W Dean Rd	open
Scoop's Soft Serve	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	8750 Lewis Ave	open
Smokehouse 734	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Steakhouse · American	7309 Lewis Ave	open
Solomon’s Grounds	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1623 W Sterns Rd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	7400 Lewis Ave # D-1	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	7400 Lewis Ave Ste D-1	open
The Wings Spot	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	7400 Lewis Ave	open
Village Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	714 W Temperance Rd	open
Vito's Pizza and Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	7321 Lewis Ave	open
Vitos Pizza And Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7321 Lewis Ave, Temperance, MI 48182	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	10	8	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	11	9	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	12	10	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	11	7	3	3	1	3	NAICS1997
1999	11	7	3	3	1	3	NAICS1997
2000	11	9	4	3	2	1	NAICS1997
2001	12	9	3	4	2	1	NAICS1997
2002	12	8	4	3	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	16	10	5	4	1	3	NAICS2002
2004	17	11	5	5	1	3	NAICS2002
2005	19	12	6	5	1	4	NAICS2002
2006	22	16	6	9	1	3	NAICS2002
2007	27	18	8	8	2	5	NAICS2002
2008	27	18	9	7	2	5	NAICS2007
2009	27	17	7	7	3	5	NAICS2007
2010	24	15	8	5	2	5	NAICS2007
2011	22	14	8	4	2	4	NAICS2007
2012	24	15	7	6	2	5	NAICS2012
2013	25	16	8	6	2	5	NAICS2012
2014	22	15	7	6	2	3	NAICS2012
2015	22	16	8	6	2	2	NAICS2012
2016	23	17	8	7	2	2	NAICS2012
2017	23	15	7	6	—	4	NAICS2017
2018	24	17	8	6	—	4	NAICS2017
2019	27	19	9	6	3	5	NAICS2017
2020	25	17	8	6	3	5	NAICS2017
2021	27	18	7	7	3	6	NAICS2017
2022	22	16	6	7	3	4	NAICS2022
2023	24	19	9	7	3	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 48182. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
48177	1.0 mi	—
48144	3.5 mi	29	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.