BMIE Market 48229

Wayne County, Michigan · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,061 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±32 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,611 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±344 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,556 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,570 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$40,264 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,814 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	34.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$840 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±90 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$65,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,662 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	2.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	4 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 48229
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-42.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-73.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-75.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	2 (range 0–3) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.67) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	38 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	44 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	41 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	23 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 48229. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.67, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Michigan and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 887, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 38 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	44.1	44	40%	+17.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	41.1	41	35%	+14.4
Market Momentum Score	23.2	23	25%	+5.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,061	69	40%	+27.7
Median household income (ACS)	40,264	6	40%	+2.5
Households (ACS)	3,611	70	20%	+13.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-42.9	7	35%	+2.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	4.4	94	25%	+23.4
Population (ACS)	9,061	69	20%	+13.9
Median household income (ACS)	40,264	6	20%	+1.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 23 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	-42.9	7	30%	+2.2
20-year restaurant growth	-73.3	1	20%	+0.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (30)

By cuisine

American 6 · Mexican 6 · Latin American (other) 3 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Coffee 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Greek 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Pizza 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 13 · Bar 10 · Casual dining 4 · Food truck 3 · Quick service 2 · Café 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Auburn Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean · German / Eastern European	3520 W Jefferson Ave	open
Big-O-Cafe	Bar		277 Southfield Rd	open
Billy's Fish and Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Chicken / wings	3964 W Jefferson Ave	open
Burger King	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3863 W Jefferson Ave	open
Dabrewski's Liquor Emporium	Bar · Casual dining		220 Southfield Rd	open
Dale Jr's Happy Hour Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern · BBQ	4424 W Jefferson Ave	open
Domino's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3810 W Jefferson Ave	open
El Agave Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3824 W Jefferson Ave	open
El Paisa Taco Truck	Food truck		3855 W Jefferson Ave	open
Fat Boyz Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American		open
Grand Port Cafe	Café	Coffee	4453 W Jefferson Ave	open
Hurry Back Bar	Bar		3764 W Jefferson Ave	open
Johnnie's Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		3904 W Jefferson Ave	open
Joker's M/C Downriver	Bar		4029 W Jefferson Ave	open
La Original Jackie's Pinchos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Caribbean	4506 W Jefferson Ave	open
Lighthouse	Bar		4474 W Jefferson Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	10995 W Jefferson Ave	open
McDonald's	Quick service		3928 W Jefferson Ave	open
Mexico Way Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	275 Southfield Rd	open
Mr. Munchy	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	505 Salliotte Rd	open
One Eyed Jacks	Bar		Southfield Rd	open
Paco's Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4002 W Jefferson Ave	open
Paisas Taco Truck	Food truck	Mexican	205 Southfield Rd	open
Straight Out The Kitchen Catering & Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	Seventh Street Market, 270 Southfield Rd	open
Super Sports Bar	Bar		Southfield Rd	open
Taco Especial	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	278 Southfield Rd	open
Tacos La Pachanga	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3824 W Jefferson Ave	open
Tammy's Patties	Food truck		3764 W Jefferson Ave	open
Trophies Bar And Grill	Bar		337 Southfield Rd	open
Entree Moore	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4446 W Jefferson Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	25	16	—	—	—	9	SIC1987
1995	21	13	—	—	—	8	SIC1987
1996	23	14	—	—	—	9	SIC1987
1997	23	14	—	—	—	9	SIC1987
1998	22	14	7	7	—	7	NAICS1997
1999	21	14	7	7	—	6	NAICS1997
2000	19	13	6	7	—	5	NAICS1997
2001	18	13	6	7	—	4	NAICS1997
2002	18	13	6	7	—	4	NAICS1997
2003	21	15	7	8	—	4	NAICS2002
2004	16	11	6	5	—	4	NAICS2002
2005	15	11	6	5	—	3	NAICS2002
2006	16	13	8	5	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	13	11	7	4	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	13	11	7	4	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	14	12	8	4	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	14	12	8	4	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	13	12	8	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	10	8	7	1	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	9	7	7	—	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	10	7	7	—	—	2	NAICS2012
2015	8	5	5	—	—	2	NAICS2012
2016	8	6	5	1	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	7	5	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	6	4	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	6	4	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	6	4	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	6	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	5	4	3	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	5	4	3	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 48229. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
48218	1.5 mi	4	2023
48217	2.1 mi	4	2022
48146	2.1 mi	68	2023
48192	2.8 mi	54	2023
48122	2.9 mi	15	2023
48101	3.6 mi	69	2023
48120	3.9 mi	13	2023
48209	4.1 mi	36	2023
48195	4.6 mi	79	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.