BMIE Market 48316

Macomb County, Michigan · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	28,784 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,379 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	11,616 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±576 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	25,404 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	10,331 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$107,776 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,854 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,378 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±60 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$383,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,854 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	11.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	63 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 48316
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	18.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+8.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+18.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+70.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+320.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	65 (range 58–71) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.9 per year, r² 0.47) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	87 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	65 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	66 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 48316. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.47, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Michigan and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 887, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	87.1	87	40%	+34.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	64.6	65	35%	+22.6
Market Momentum Score	66.5	66	25%	+16.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 87 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	28,784	88	40%	+35.2
Median household income (ACS)	107,776	85	40%	+34.2
Households (ACS)	11,616	88	20%	+17.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	18.9	62	35%	+21.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	21.9	33	25%	+8.2
Population (ACS)	28,784	88	20%	+17.6
Median household income (ACS)	107,776	85	20%	+17.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	8.6	66	50%	+33.0
10-year restaurant growth	18.9	62	30%	+18.6
20-year restaurant growth	70.3	75	20%	+14.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (109)

By cuisine

American 23 · Pizza 16 · Coffee 12 · Sandwiches 11 · Italian 9 · Bakery 7 · Burgers 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Asian 4 · Chinese 4 · Hot dogs 3 · Mexican 3 · Dessert 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Middle Eastern 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Thai 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Greek 1 · Indian 1 · Japanese 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 73 · Quick service 21 · Casual dining 14 · Bar 10 · Bakery 7 · Café 7 · Coffee shop 7 · Dessert 5 · Specialty food shop 4 · Fast casual 2 · Buffet 1 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A & G Restaurant Group Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		55208 Van Dyke Ave	open
Bad Brads BBQ Bad Brads BBQ - New Baltimore	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	6525 23 Mile Rd	open
Big Apple Bagels Big Apple Bagels	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	8226 23 Mile Rd	open
Big Apple Bagels Big Apple Bagels	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Sandwiches · Bakery	1911 25 Mile Rd	open
Biggby Coffee Biggby Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	51185 Van Dyke Ave	open
Biggby Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	54806 Dequindre Rd	open
Bread & Roses	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	American · Coffee	56258 Van Dyke Ave	open
Brian Goodwin D P M Pc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4737 24 Mile Rd Ste 2	open
Chili's Grill & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8296 26 Mile Rd	open
Christopher B. Kroll, P.c. Dba Elder Law Solutions	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4461 24 Mile Rd	open
City Smoke Holdings Shelby Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6525 23 Mile Rd	open
Cottage Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1935 25 Mile Rd	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Burgers	Dairy Queen Ltd Brazier 54804 Shelby Rd	open
Detroit Grille House	Casual dining · Bar		55161 Shelby Rd	open
Dolce Gelato Cafe'	Café · Dessert	Coffee · Ice cream / frozen desserts		open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	55025 Van Dyke	open
Don Christo's Cigar Room	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		51748 Van Dyke Ave	open
Dunkin'	Coffee shop	Coffee	56265 Van Dyke Ave	open
Eataliana Homemade Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	52901 Shelby Rd	open
Five Guys Five Guys	Quick service	Burgers · American	8284 26 Mile Road	open
Franks Again - Shelby Twp	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs · Sandwiches · American	8760 26 Mile Rd	open
G's Kitchen & Cocktails	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	56129 Van Dyke Ave	open
Guido's Premium Pizza - Shelby/Rochester	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1935 25 Mile Rd	open
Guido's Premium Pizza - Shelby/Washington	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	56744 Van Dyke Ave	open
Hamlin Pub Hamlin Pub	Bar · Casual dining		55076 Van Dyke Ave	open
Hong Kong Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	54808 Shelby Rd	open
Hot Diggity Dog	Quick service	Hot dogs · American	8760 26 Mile Rd	open
Hungry Howie's Pizza Hungry Howie's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	54734 Shelby Rd	open
Ice Cream & Custard Shops	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	56752 Van Dyke Ave	open
It's Just Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	8296 26 Mile Rd	open
J. A. Penzien P.c	Restaurant (service type not stated)		55191 Shelby Rd	open
Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service		56269 Van Dyke Ave	open
Jet's Pizza Jet's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	55125 Shelby Rd	open
Jim Charrette Insurance Agency Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		53700 Van Dyke Ave	open
Kabob Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern · Mediterranean · American	51079 Mound Rd	open
Kerby's Koney Island Kerby's Koney Island	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1968 25 Mile Rd	open
Kerby's Koney Island Kerby's Koney Island	Casual dining	American · Hot dogs	56728 Van Dyke Ave	open
Kwong Tung Chop Suey	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	8160 23 Mile Rd	open
La Cucina del Vino	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		52963 Van Dyke Ave	open
Lc Of Manatee Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		53101 Shelby Rd	open
Lee's Kwong Tung Chinese Restaurant Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8160 23 Mile Rd	open
Leo's Coney Island Leo's Coney Island- Clio	Casual dining	American · Greek	55250 Van Dyke Ave	open
Lettuce	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	52957 Van Dyke Ave	open
Lil Mike's Takeout	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	52300 Van Dyke Ave	open
Lino's To-Go	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	1989 25 Mile Rd	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	53101 Shelby Rd	open
Lochirco Maintenance	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2001 Crystal Lake Dr	open
Louie's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	54786 Dequindre Rd	open
Lush Frutical Smoothie Cafe Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		54997 Shelby Rd # A	open
Marcus Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · German / Eastern European	55690 Van Dyke Ave	open
McClenaghan's Pub	Bar · Casual dining	British / Irish pub food	52500 Van Dyke Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	7495 23 Mile Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	56915 Van Dyke Ave	open
Menchie's Frozen Yogurt Menchie's Frozen Yogurt	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	55124 Van Dyke Ave	open
Militello's Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	52950 Van Dyke Ave	open
MOD Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	56619 Van Dyke	open
Momma B's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	56744 Van Dyke Ave	open
Momma's Dessert Bar	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Bakery	56752 Van Dyke Ave	open
Moo Moo Bubble Tea House	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	55118 Van Dyke Ave	open
New Little India	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	8194 23 Mile Rd	open
Nick's Country Oven	Casual dining	American	51990 Van Dyke Ave	open
Noori Chicken Shelby Township	Restaurant (service type not stated)		56760 Van Dyke Ave	open
Ocean Breeze	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	56129 Van Dyke Ave	open
Ocean Breeze Family Dining	Casual dining	American	51748 Van Dyke Ave	open
Orient Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Chinese · Asian	55101 Shelby Rd	open
Original Buscemi's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	5915 25 Mile Rd	open
Our Family Pizzeria	Catering	Pizza · Italian	54997 Shelby Rd	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Bakery · Fast casual	Bakery · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	8492 26 Mile Road	open
Panera Bread	Café	Coffee	8492 26 Mile Rd	open
Patty & Press Smashburgers	Quick service	Burgers	52300 Van Dyke Ave	open
Penn Station East Coast Subs Penn Station East Coast Subs	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	56545 Van Dyke Ave	open
Piada - Italian Street Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	15089 Hall Rd	open
Piccirilli Ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	52830 Van Dyke Ave	open
Pita Pit	Other	Sandwiches	55118 Van Dyke Ave	open
Pizza By Romano	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	52155 Van Dyke Ave	open
Qdoba Mexican Grill Qdoba	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	56653 Van Dyke Ave Shelby Charter Township	open
Sahara Restaurant & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern	55208 Van Dyke Ave	open
Salerno Pizza Oven	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	51079 Mound Rd	open
Savvy Sliders	Quick service		56619 Van Dyke Ave	open
Shelby Coney Island	Restaurant (service type not stated)		55100 Shelby Rd	open
Shikha Sood Dmd Pllc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		56732 Van Dyke Ave	open
Sorrento's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	52988 Van Dyke Ave	open
Spicy Thai Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	56760 Van Dyke Ave	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	26 Van Dyke Ave	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	8200 26 Mile Rd	open
Stony Creek Roadhouse	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	3000 26 Mile Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	8178 23 Mile Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1953 25 Mile Rd	open
Sunny's Breakfast Lunch	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · American	8238 23 Mile Rd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	56331 Van Dyke Avenue	open
Taco Loco Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	52899 Van Dyke Ave	open
The Bakehouse	Bakery	Bakery	52588 Van Dyke Ave Ste A	open
The Combat Mix Whiskey Bar	Bar		6421 Glenbrooke Dr	open
The Corner House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	55100 Shelby Rd	open
The Garden Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	56129 Van Dyke Ave	open
The Latin Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Caribbean	8480 26 Mile Rd	open
Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake Shop	Coffee shop · Quick service · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	51111 Van Dyke Ave	open
Tubby's Sub Shop Tubby's Sub Shops	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	56756 Van Dyke Ave	open
Ultimate King Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		51177 Van Dyke Ave	open
Uncle Peter's Pasties	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	52155 Van Dyke Ave	open
Up Town Hookah Lounge	Bar		56105 Van Dyke Ave	open
Utica Coney Island	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	51067 Mound Rd	open
Vandyke24 Entertainment, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		51748 Van Dyke Ave	open
Vast Kitchen & Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	52969 Van Dyke Ave	open
Vendetti's Spanky House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	56105 Van Dyke Ave	open
Willow	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	8480 26 Mile Rd	open
Wing On Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1921 25 Mile Rd	open
Xerophyte Top	Coffee shop	Coffee	321 Charles Pl	open
Sabrosa Sangria	Winery / distillery / taproom		52588 Van Dyke Ace	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	17	15	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	14	11	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	20	17	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	25	23	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	25	22	7	14	1	2	NAICS1997
1999	30	27	7	18	2	2	NAICS1997
2000	27	24	7	15	2	2	NAICS1997
2001	32	28	11	14	3	2	NAICS1997
2002	37	33	13	14	6	1	NAICS1997
2003	44	37	13	19	5	1	NAICS2002
2004	40	35	13	16	6	1	NAICS2002
2005	41	37	14	17	6	1	NAICS2002
2006	44	41	18	16	7	1	NAICS2002
2007	48	44	15	22	7	2	NAICS2002
2008	51	49	15	25	9	—	NAICS2007
2009	50	49	20	20	9	—	NAICS2007
2010	49	46	18	20	8	1	NAICS2007
2011	50	48	22	18	8	1	NAICS2007
2012	49	46	20	17	9	1	NAICS2012
2013	57	53	24	20	9	2	NAICS2012
2014	55	51	21	20	10	2	NAICS2012
2015	56	51	20	23	8	2	NAICS2012
2016	56	51	24	21	6	2	NAICS2012
2017	63	56	23	29	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	65	58	22	32	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	70	63	25	33	5	3	NAICS2017
2020	60	53	22	27	4	3	NAICS2017
2021	62	56	23	28	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	62	57	24	30	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	69	63	27	33	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 48316. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
48094	3.1 mi	28	2023
48317	3.2 mi	59	2023
48315	3.3 mi	102	2023
48307	3.9 mi	122	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.