BMIE Market 48094

Macomb County, Michigan · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	20,736 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±709 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,044 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±382 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	18,028 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,012 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$98,017 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,978 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,295 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±208 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$418,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,381 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	17.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	28 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 48094
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	16.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+12.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+21.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+86.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+250.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	25 (range 21–30) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.08) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	81 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	70 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	70 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 48094. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.08, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Michigan and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 887, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	81.0	81	40%	+32.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69.5	70	35%	+24.3
Market Momentum Score	70.0	70	25%	+17.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	20,736	82	40%	+32.8
Median household income (ACS)	98,017	80	40%	+31.9
Households (ACS)	8,044	82	20%	+16.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	21.7	65	35%	+22.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.5	58	25%	+14.6
Population (ACS)	20,736	82	20%	+16.4
Median household income (ACS)	98,017	80	20%	+15.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	12	70	50%	+35.0
10-year restaurant growth	21.7	65	30%	+19.4
20-year restaurant growth	86.7	78	20%	+15.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (33)

By cuisine

American 9 · Pizza 7 · Italian 5 · Asian 2 · Bakery 2 · Breakfast 2 · Coffee 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Sandwiches 2 · BBQ 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · European 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 21 · Bar 7 · Casual dining 5 · Quick service 5 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · Café 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
2941 Mediterranean Street Food - Washington Township	Restaurant (service type not stated)		57336 Van Dyke Ave	open
Andiamo Presto	Restaurant (service type not stated)		57336 Van Dyke Rd	open
Bangkok Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	8583 26 Mile Rd	open
Bar Verona	Bar	Italian	59145 Van Dyke Ave	open
Brown Iron Brewhouse Washington Township	Casual dining · Bar	BBQ · American	57695 Van Dyke Ave	open
Brunch and Brew	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	57336 Van Dyke Rd	open
Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings	Bar · Casual dining	American	8669 26 Mile Road	open
Buscemi's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop · Quick service	Pizza · Italian · Sandwiches	58880 Van Dyke Rd	open
China Town	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	11549 26 Mile Rd	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill - Coming Soon Chipotle	Quick service		7863 26 Mile Rd	open
Detroit Wing Company Detroit Wing Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	7845 26 Mile Rd	open
El Pueblo Mexican Carry out El Pueblo Mexican Restaurant, LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	59390 Van Dyke Ave	open
Georgio's Apple Orchard Inn Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop	American	62840 Van Dyke Ave	open
Golden Toast Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Breakfast · Coffee · American	58884 Van Dyke Ave	open
Jake O'Malley's Irish Pub	Bar	British / Irish pub food	11417 26 Mile Rd	open
Jam'rs Frozen Custard	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	58060 Van Dyke Ave	open
Krissy's Cakes & Confections	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert		open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service	Pizza · American	7793 26 Mile Rd	open
Louie's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11515 26 Mile Rd	open
Nostalgia Wood Fired Oven	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	57889 Van Dyke Rd	open
Old Stone Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American · Steakhouse	60730 Van Dyke Ave	open
Passport Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	58884 Van Dyke Rd	open
Red Brick Bar	Bar	Pizza	60301 Apache Ln	open
Sam's Sorrento Pizza #41 Sorrento Pizza - SCS	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	59900 Campground Rd	open
Sapori Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	6067 26 Mile Rd	open
Sapori Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6067 26 Mile Rd	open
Sherman stick shack	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining			open
Speakeasy Family Dining	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7704 West Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	7767 26 Mile Road	open
Subway	Quick service		7767 26 Mile Rd	open
Trailside Dairy	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	60000 Campground Rd	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	57290 Van Dyke	open
Vito’s Bakery - Washington	Bakery	Bakery	7839 26 Mile Road	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	12	10	5	4	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	12	10	6	3	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	16	13	8	4	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	17	14	7	6	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	14	12	6	6	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	16	15	9	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	20	18	11	7	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	26	25	13	9	3	—	NAICS2002
2006	27	26	11	11	4	—	NAICS2002
2007	28	26	15	10	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	36	34	15	14	4	—	NAICS2007
2009	31	30	14	13	3	—	NAICS2007
2010	32	30	12	14	4	1	NAICS2007
2011	28	27	14	10	3	—	NAICS2007
2012	24	23	14	8	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	24	23	13	9	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	27	26	15	10	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	24	22	12	9	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	22	20	11	8	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	24	22	10	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	27	25	12	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	26	22	9	10	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	25	22	9	10	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	26	22	10	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	28	24	11	11	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	32	28	12	14	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 48094. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
48095	3.1 mi	19	2023
48316	3.1 mi	63	2023
48306	4.9 mi	21	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.