BMIE Market 49053

Kalamazoo County, Michigan · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,805 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±691 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,926 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±216 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,028 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,775 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$85,909 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,630 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$918 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±127 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$242,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20,320 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	24.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	4 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 49053
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-33.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-33.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+33.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	7 (range 5–9) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.32) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	76 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	28 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 49053. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.32, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Michigan and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 887, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	67.8	68	40%	+27.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	75.8	76	35%	+26.5
Market Momentum Score	28.0	28	25%	+7.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,805	67	40%	+26.8
Median household income (ACS)	85,909	69	40%	+27.6
Households (ACS)	2,926	67	20%	+13.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	33.3	73	35%	+25.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	5.1	91	25%	+22.8
Population (ACS)	7,805	67	20%	+13.4
Median household income (ACS)	85,909	69	20%	+13.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 28 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-33.3	8	50%	+4.1
10-year restaurant growth	33.3	73	30%	+22.0
20-year restaurant growth	-33.3	9	20%	+1.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (15)

By cuisine

American 2 · Coffee 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Dessert 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Pizza 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 7 · Bar 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Café 2 · Casual dining 2 · Quick service 2 · Coffee shop 1 · Dessert 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bell's Comstock Brewery Bell's Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		8938 Krum Ave	open
Burger King	Quick service		10305 Miller Dr	open
Coffee Klutch	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Sandwiches	2 W Michigan Ave	open
Gull Lake Distilling Company	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		92 E Michigan Ave	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	10230 East Michigan Avenue	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	10280 Miller Dr	open
Pizza King- Galesburg	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	125 W Michigan Ave	open
Prospector's Cook House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	47 W Michigan Ave	open
Soil Friends Hard Cider Co	Brewery / taproom		1701 N 33rd St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	10305 Miller Dr	open
The Cozy Clover	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	10 E Michigan Ave	open
The Front Porch	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	55 E Battle Creek St	open
Time Out Lounge	Casual dining · Bar	American	400 E Michigan Ave	open
Voss Media Board Game Cafe	Café	Coffee	180 W Michigan Ave Suite D	open
Wobbly Wagon Ice Cream & More	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	55 E Battle Creek St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	4	3	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	4	3	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	10	8	4	4	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	10	8	3	5	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	8	6	2	4	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	9	6	2	4	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	8	5	1	4	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	9	6	2	4	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	10	8	3	4	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	9	7	2	4	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	9	7	2	4	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	9	7	2	4	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	6	4	2	2	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	8	4	2	2	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	9	5	1	4	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	9	5	1	3	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	6	3	1	2	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	5	3	1	2	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	6	4	2	2	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	6	3	1	2	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	8	5	2	3	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	7	4	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	9	6	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	9	6	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	8	5	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	9	5	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	10	6	—	6	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	7	4	—	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 49053. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
49048	4.3 mi	41	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.