BMIE Market 49321

Kent County, Michigan · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	15,970 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±862 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,431 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±387 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	16,241 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,949 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$77,870 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,355 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,191 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±48 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$274,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,952 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	26.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	33 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 49321
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	18.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+10.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+22.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+135.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	35 (range 33–38) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.83) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	66 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 49321. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.83, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Michigan and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 887, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	70.3	70	40%	+28.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59.0	59	35%	+20.7
Market Momentum Score	66.3	66	25%	+16.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	15,970	78	40%	+31.1
Median household income (ACS)	77,870	59	40%	+23.7
Households (ACS)	6,431	78	20%	+15.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	22.2	65	35%	+22.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	20.7	36	25%	+8.9
Population (ACS)	15,970	78	20%	+15.5
Median household income (ACS)	77,870	59	20%	+11.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	10	68	50%	+33.8
10-year restaurant growth	22.2	65	30%	+19.5
20-year restaurant growth	50	65	20%	+13.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (76)

By cuisine

American 14 · Pizza 10 · Burgers 8 · Dessert 8 · Coffee 7 · Sandwiches 7 · Bakery 6 · Italian 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Asian 3 · Chinese 3 · Mediterranean 2 · Mexican 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Greek 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Indian 1 · Japanese 1 · Korean 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 35 · Quick service 20 · Dessert 11 · Bar 8 · Bakery 7 · Casual dining 6 · Café 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Specialty food shop 4 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Other 3 · Buffet 1 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Alpine Buffet Llc Dba Empire Chinese	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4255 Alpine Ave NW	open
Alpine Nutrition	Café	Coffee	5301 Alpine Ave NW	open
Amore Trattoria Italiana	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	5080 Alpine Ave NW	open
Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	3851 Alpine Ave NW	open
Aseltine Cider Co Inc	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		533 Lamoreaux Dr NW	open
Babylon Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mediterranean · American	4255 Alpine Ave NW Ste D	open
Bier Distillery & Brewery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Brewery / taproom · Bar		5295 W River Dr NE	open
BIGGBY COFFEE Biggby	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	4575 W River Dr NE	open
Bostwick Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	4615 West River Dr NE	open
Checkers	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	4201 Alpine Ave NW	open
Cielito Lindo Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4255 Alpine Ave NW suite d	open
Cook's Cakery and Specialty Desserts	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	3979 W River Dr NE	open
Cookie Chicks	Dessert · Café · Bakery	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	3979 W River Dr NE	open
Cottage Inn Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4255 Alpine Ave NW	open
CP Pizza & More	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	4438 Westshire Dr NW	open
Culver's Culver's	Quick service	Burgers · American	4280 Alpine Ave NW	open
Dairy Delite	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	3950 W River Dr NE	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4038 Alpine Ave Nw	open
Dr. John's Healthy Sweets	Dessert		5320 West River Dr NE	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	4201 Alpine Ave NW	open
El Burrito Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Mexican	4174 Alpine Ave NW	open
Empire Buffet II	Buffet	Chinese · Asian	4255 Alpine Ave NW	open
Filling Station Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4750 Alpine Ave NW	open
Firehouse Subs Alpine Firehouse Subs	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	3850 Alpine Ave NW	open
Five Guys	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	3850 Alpine Ave NW	open
Freddy's Frozen Custard & Steakburgers	Quick service		4076 Alpine Ave NW	open
Fresh Coast Kitchen	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	4255 Alpine Ave NW Ste D	open
Fricano's Pizza Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	5808 Alpine Ave NW	open
Grillin' Wings N More	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	4022 Alpine NW	open
Hungry Howie's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4669 Alpine Ave NW	open
IHOP IHOP	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	3796 Alpine Ave NW	open
Jet's Pizza Jet's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	4575 W River Dr NE	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	4064 Alpine Ave NW Ste 1	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	4089 Alpine Ave NW	open
Mad Dogz	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs · American	3916 W River Dr NE	open
Mason Creations, Inc. Dba Pentalutions	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4040 West River Dr NE	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	4133 W River Dr NE	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	3917 Alpine Ave NW	open
Midwest Dippin' Dots	Dessert · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	4500 W River Dr NE	open
Mill Creek Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		3874 W River Dr NE	open
Mochinut Comstock Park	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	4024 Alpine Ave NW	open
Mr Burger Mr.Burger	Quick service	Burgers · American	4750 Alpine Ave NW	open
Munchy Llama	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	3917 Leland Ave NE	open
Nick Fink's	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		3965 W River Dr NE	open
No.1 Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	4640 W River Dr NE	open
Olga's Fresh Grille Olga's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Mediterranean · Greek	4064 Alpine Ave NW	open
Oppa Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean · Sushi · Japanese	3772 Alpine Ave NW	open
Otter’s Pub South	Bar		8360 Krupp Ave NE	open
Palermo Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	4669 Alpine Ave NW	open
Panda Express	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	3715 Alpine Ave NW	open
Peppino's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3772 Alpine Ave NW	open
Perrin Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		5910 Comstock Park Dr NW	open
Prime Casual Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	3874 W River Dr NE Suite B	open
Recreation America Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4050 West River Dr NE	open
Rockin' Bake Shop	Bakery	Bakery		open
Smoothie King Smoothie King	Quick service		4036 Alpine Avenue NW	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	3955 Alpine Ave NW	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	5301 Alpine Ave NW	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	4615 West River Dr NE	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	3999 Alpine Ave NW	open
Sugar Free Specialties	Dessert		5320 West River Dr NE	open
Swan Inn Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5182 Alpine Ave NW	open
Swiss Mountain Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	4028 West River Dr NE	open
Tandoori hut Gr	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	5182 Alpine Ave NW	open
The Coffee Crew	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	3979 W River Dr NE	open
The Grilling Company	Catering · Delivery-focused	BBQ	4640 W River Dr NE	open
The Pizza Box	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5315 Alpine Ave NW	open
Tsitsiki Ice Cream & Snacks Alpine	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	4089 Alpine Ave NW	open
Vestal Inn	Bar		828 Scottview Dr NE	open
Vitale’s Sports Bar Lounge - Comstock Park	Bar		3868 W River Dr NE	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	3999 Alpine Ave NW	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	5960 Alpine Ave NW	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	4694 West River Road	open
Whitecaps Dippin' Dots	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	4500 W River Dr NE	open
Zoup	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3770 Alpine Ave NW	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	3770 Alpine Ave NW	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	17	14	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	16	13	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	15	12	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	18	15	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	15	12	5	5	1	3	NAICS1997
1999	18	15	6	9	—	3	NAICS1997
2000	18	15	6	9	—	3	NAICS1997
2001	20	15	6	9	—	4	NAICS1997
2002	23	18	7	10	1	4	NAICS1997
2003	27	22	9	12	1	2	NAICS2002
2004	29	24	10	12	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	29	24	8	14	1	2	NAICS2002
2006	24	21	8	11	1	2	NAICS2002
2007	31	27	8	15	2	3	NAICS2002
2008	35	30	11	13	4	4	NAICS2007
2009	33	29	10	14	3	3	NAICS2007
2010	33	30	10	15	3	2	NAICS2007
2011	31	27	8	14	3	3	NAICS2007
2012	29	27	8	14	3	2	NAICS2012
2013	28	27	9	13	3	1	NAICS2012
2014	27	26	10	12	3	1	NAICS2012
2015	30	29	10	14	4	1	NAICS2012
2016	30	28	9	14	4	1	NAICS2012
2017	34	29	9	16	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	35	30	10	17	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	37	31	10	18	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	35	29	10	16	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	36	31	12	16	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	39	33	12	19	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	38	33	10	20	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 49321. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
49544	4.1 mi	39	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.