BMIE Market 53044

Sheboygan County, Wisconsin · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	2,326 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±382 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	885 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±143 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	2,297 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	946 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$131,250 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,253 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,180 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±898 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$386,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,894 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	5.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	Not published for this ZIP 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 53044
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2014 → 2019, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-25.0% DERIVED: 2009 → 2019, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 1999 → 2019, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2024	2 (range 1–3) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2009–2019 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.30) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	52 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	66 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	37 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 53044. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2009–2019, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.30, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Wisconsin and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 685, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	65.8	66	40%	+26.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47.4	47	35%	+16.6
Market Momentum Score	37.3	37	25%	+9.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	2,326	48	40%	+19.0
Median household income (ACS)	131,250	93	40%	+37.3
Households (ACS)	885	47	20%	+9.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-25	12	35%	+4.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	12.9	61	25%	+15.2
Population (ACS)	2,326	48	20%	+9.5
Median household income (ACS)	131,250	93	20%	+18.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 37 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	-25	12	30%	+3.5
20-year restaurant growth	50	65	20%	+13.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (17)

By cuisine

Coffee 6 · American 5 · Dessert 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Bakery 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Seafood 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Café 6 · Bar 4 · Dessert 3 · Casual dining 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Bakery 1 · Other 1 · Quick service 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	4003 State Hwy 28	open
Blackwolf Run Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	1111 W Riverside Dr	open
Brewed Awakening	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	795 Woodlake Rd	open
Kohler Chocolates	Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee	725 Woodlake Rd	open
Kohler Hospitality	Restaurant (service type not stated)		419 Highland Dr	open
Lettuce Eat	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other	Sandwiches	725 Woodlake Rd	open
Olive N' Ash	Bar		765 Woodlake Rd # B	open
Sheboygan Crumbl Cookies	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	4065 WI State Hwy 28, Kohler, Wisconsin 53044	open
Take 5 Cafe	Café	Coffee	100 Willow Creek Dr	open
Taverne on Woodlake	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Café · Bar	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American · Coffee	725E Woodlake Rd	open
The Blind Horse Restaurant & Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	6018 Superior Ave	open
The Greenhouse at The American Club, Kohler, Wi	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	The American Club	open
The Horse & Plow	Bar · Casual dining	American	419 Highland Dr	open
The Immigrant Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		419 Highland Dr	open
The Winery Bar	Café · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Spanish / tapas · Coffee · American	419 Highland Dr	open
The Wisconsin Room	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	419 Highland Dr	open
Whistling Straits Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	444 Highland Dr	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	5	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	6	4	2	1	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	5	4	1	1	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	7	5	1	2	2	1	NAICS2002
2005	6	4	1	2	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	7	5	1	2	2	1	NAICS2002
2007	6	4	1	2	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	6	4	1	2	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	6	4	1	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	5	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	6	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	6	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	5	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	5	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	4	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	5	3	1	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	5	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	5	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	5	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	4	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	3	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	3	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 53044. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
53081	3.2 mi	96	2023
53085	3.6 mi	19	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.