BMIE Market 55070

Anoka County, Minnesota · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,441 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±239 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,999 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±155 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,541 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,772 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$108,750 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,982 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	35.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,204 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±127 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$328,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,287 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	25.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	8 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 55070
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-11.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+166.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	9 (range 7–10) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.02) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	60 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	43 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 55070. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.02, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Minnesota and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 715, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	75.1	75	40%	+30.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55.6	56	35%	+19.5
Market Momentum Score	42.6	43	25%	+10.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,441	68	40%	+27.3
Median household income (ACS)	108,750	86	40%	+34.4
Households (ACS)	2,999	67	20%	+13.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-11.1	18	35%	+6.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	9.5	74	25%	+18.6
Population (ACS)	8,441	68	20%	+13.7
Median household income (ACS)	108,750	86	20%	+17.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 43 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	-11.1	18	30%	+5.3
20-year restaurant growth	100	82	20%	+16.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (19)

By cuisine

Pizza 4 · American 3 · Burgers 3 · Mexican 2 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Coffee 1 · Dessert 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 11 · Bar 5 · Casual dining 4 · Quick service 4 · Dessert 2 · Bakery 1 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Café 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Beef 'O' Brady's Beef 'O' Brady's Fern Creek	Bar · Casual dining	American	23212 St Francis Blvd NW	open
Burro Loco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	23212 Saint Francis Blvd NW	open
Casey's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3480 Bridge St NW	open
Checkers	Restaurant (service type not stated)		22945 Lake George Blvd NW	open
Chester's Small Town Tavern & Eatery	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	3220 Bridge St NW	open
County Line Bar	Bar · Brewery / taproom		26219 Variolite St NW	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	23168 St Francis Blvd NW	open
Healthy Hangout	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Healthy / salads / bowls · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	3220 Bridge St NW	open
Killer Cakes	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	23440 Guarani St NW	open
Mansetti's Pizza & Pasta Mansetti's Pizza & Pasta - Anoka	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	23042 Saint Francis Blvd NW	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	23100 Saint Francis Blvd Nw	open
Mulligans	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers · American	2881 229th Ave NW	open
Northern Boy BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	BBQ	3722 227th Ave NW	open
St. Francis DQ/Orange Julius Dairy Queen	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Burgers · Ice cream / frozen desserts	23212 St Francis Blvd NW	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3739 Bridge St NW	open
Taco John's Taco John's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	22945 Lake George Blvd NW	open
Tasty Pizza Bar & Bowl	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Pizza	3085 Bridge St NW	open
Murray Enterprises Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		22590 Rum River Blvd NW	closed
Rum River Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3631 Bridge St NW	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	5	3	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	3	2	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	5	3	2	1	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	6	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	5	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	6	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	6	5	3	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	5	4	2	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	7	6	3	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	10	9	4	3	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	9	8	5	2	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	12	11	6	3	2	1	NAICS2002
2008	11	10	5	5	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	8	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	9	9	4	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	8	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	10	10	5	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	9	9	4	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	9	9	4	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	8	8	4	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	8	8	4	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	8	8	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	8	8	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	8	8	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	8	8	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	10	10	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	8	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	9	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 55070. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
55005	4.2 mi	1	2014
55040	4.5 mi	11	2023
55011	4.9 mi	3	2022

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.