BMIE Market 55121
Dakota County, Minnesota · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 9,198 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±669 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 4,199 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±324 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 7,861 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 3,816 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $87,152 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,411 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 37.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,723 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±55 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $301,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±49,670 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 9.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 43 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 55121 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 43.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -4.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +7.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +65.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +152.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 45 (range 40–50) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.09) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 56 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 70 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 49 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 42 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 55121. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.09, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Minnesota and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 715, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 56 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 70.3 | 70 | 40% | +28.1 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 48.8 | 49 | 35% | +17.1 |
| Market Momentum Score | 41.6 | 42 | 25% | +10.4 |
Consumer Market Score: 70 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 9,198 | 70 | 40% | +27.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 87,152 | 70 | 40% | +28.2 |
| Households (ACS) | 4,199 | 72 | 20% | +14.4 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 49 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 7.5 | 52 | 35% | +18.1 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 46.8 | 11 | 25% | +2.7 |
| Population (ACS) | 9,198 | 70 | 20% | +13.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 87,152 | 70 | 20% | +14.1 |
Market Momentum Score: 42 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -4.4 | 23 | 50% | +11.6 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 7.5 | 52 | 30% | +15.5 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 65.4 | 73 | 20% | +14.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (92)
By cuisine
American 16 · Coffee 14 · Sandwiches 12 · Mexican 10 · Bakery 8 · Italian 7 · Pizza 7 · Burgers 5 · Japanese 4 · Asian 3 · BBQ 3 · Dessert 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Sushi 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Middle Eastern 2 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Indian 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Seafood 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 53 · Quick service 15 · Bar 13 · Café 10 · Coffee shop 10 · Bakery 9 · Casual dining 8 · Dessert 5 · Specialty food shop 4 · Other 4 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19th Hole At Lost Spur | Bar | 2750 Sibley Memorial Hwy | open | |
| Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 1420 Yankee Doodle Rd | open |
| Blitzen's at Keras Bar | Coffee shop · Bar | Coffee | 2611 Nordic Wy | open |
| Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings | Bar · Casual dining | American | 1280 Promenade Pl | open |
| Cafe Zupas Cafe Zupas | Café · Fast casual | Coffee · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls | 3340 Central Park Village Dr | open |
| Carbone's Pizzeria - Eagan Carbone's Minneapolis | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1665 Yankee Doodle Rd | open |
| Caribou Coffee Caribou Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 3405 Promenade Ave Suite 400 | open |
| Caribou Coffee Caribou Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 1299 Promenade Pl | open |
| Caribou Coffee Caribou Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 2900 Ames Crossing Rd | open |
| Caribou Coffee Caribou Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee · Breakfast | 845 Vikings Pkwy | open |
| Caribou Coffee | Coffee shop | Coffee | 2864 Highway 55 Ste 100 | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Quick service | Mexican | 3324 Promenade Ave Ste 107 | open |
| Coffee Time Cafe | Coffee shop | Coffee | 1278 Lone Oak Rd | open |
| Copper & Rye | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 730 Vikings Pkwy Ste 100 | open |
| Cousins Subs | Other | Sandwiches | 3090 Courthouse Ln | open |
| Crumb Gourmet Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 3344 Promenade Ave | open |
| Crumbl - Eagan | Dessert | Dessert | 1270 Promenade Pl Ste 130 | open |
| CSM Bakery Products | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 1765 Yankee Doodle Rd | open |
| Dairy Queen Grill & Chill | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 3385 Denmark Ave | open |
| Dickey's Barbecue Pit Dickey's Barbecue Pit National | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 3090 Courthouse Ln Ste 100 | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 1266 Town Centre Drive | open |
| Don Pablo's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1280 Promenade Pl | open | |
| Eagan Piada Italian Street Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 3380 Central Park Village Drive, Eagan, MN 55121 | open |
| El Camino Gourmet Tacos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 3345 Central Park Village Dr #100 | open |
| El Loro El Loro Mexican Resteraunt | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 1428 Yankee Doodle Rd | open |
| Erbert & Gerbert's | Other | Sandwiches | 1270 Lone Oak Rd | open |
| Final Final Brewing Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2864 Highway 55 Ste 200 | open | |
| French Meadow Bakery | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Bakery | 1000 Apollo Rd | open |
| Frescados Tortillas | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | open | |
| Fuji Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 1466 Yankee Doodle Rd | open |
| Global Links Agency | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern | open | |
| Granite City Food & Brewery Granite City Food & Brewery | Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar | 3330 Pilot Knob Rd | open | |
| Gregory's Foods | Bakery | Bakery | 1301 Trapp Rd | open |
| Hawaii Poke Bowl Hawaii Poke Bowl | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hawaiian / Pacific · Seafood · Healthy / salads / bowls | 3345 Central Park Commons Dr | open |
| Hissho Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 1299 Promenade Pl | open |
| Houlihan's Houlihan's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1294 Promenade Pl | open |
| Ichiddo Ramen Ichiddo ramen Minneapolis | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian | 1400 Central Park Commons Dr #170 | open |
| Iowa Pizza Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3140 Neil Armstrong Blvd Ste 321 | open | |
| Jake's City Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1288 Promenade Pl | open |
| Jersey Mike's Subs | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 855 Vikings Pkwy | open |
| Jimmy John's Jimmy John's | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 3250 Denmark Rd | open |
| Jimmy John's Jimmy John's | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 2874 Highway 55 | open |
| Kitchen and Rail | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 3344 Promenade Ave | open |
| Kyndred Hearth | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2611 Nordic Way | open | |
| Lago Tacos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 730 Vikings Pkwy Ste 100 | open |
| Lone Oak Bar and Grill | Bar · Casual dining | American | 3010 Eagandale Pl | open |
| Lone Oak Store Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1286 Lone Oak Rd | open | |
| Mad Cow | Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar | American | 1288 Promenade Pl | open |
| Magic Thai | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai | 1258 Lone Oak Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 3045 Holiday Ln | open |
| My Burger - Eagan My Burger | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 855 Vikings Pkwy | open |
| Naf Naf Grill Naf Naf Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern · Mediterranean | 3340 Central Park Village Dr #100 | open |
| Nautical Bowls Nautical Bowls | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 3344 Promenade Ave | open |
| Olive Garden Olive Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 3290 Central Park Village Dr | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 1260 Promenade Place | open |
| Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3344 promenade ave | open |
| Piada Italian Street Food Piada Italian Street Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Sandwiches | 3380 Central Park Village Dr | open |
| Potbelly Sandwich Shop Potbelly Sandwich Shop | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 1298 Promenade Pl | open |
| Puffy Cream Donuts Plus | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 3390 Coachman Rd | open |
| Punch Pizza Eagan | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 3345 Central Park Village Dr | open |
| Qdoba Mexican Grill Qdoba | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 1298 Promenade Pl | open |
| Raising Cane's Raising Cane's Chicken Fingers | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 1525 Central Parkway | open |
| Red's Savoy Pizza Red's Savoy Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 3250 Denmark Ave | open |
| Rich Products Corporation Work | Bakery | Bakery | 1000 Apollo Rd | open |
| Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 3390 Coachman Road, Luckys Station | open |
| Saffron Indian Grill & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Indian | 845 Vikings Pkwy | open |
| Sam's Club Bakery Sam's Club | Bakery | Bakery | 3035 Denmark Ave | open |
| Semephore | Other | Sandwiches · Mexican · Latin American (other) | 2930 Waters Rd | open |
| Senser's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3010 Eagandale Pl | open | |
| Skp Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3390 Coachman Rd Ste 208 | open | |
| Smashburger | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 1270 Promenade Pl | open |
| Smashies & Frankies | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1278 Lone Oak Rd | open | |
| Solos Pizza Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1270 Promenade Pl | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 1030 Blue Gentian Rd | open |
| Starks Saloon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3125 Dodd Rd | open | |
| Stuart Anderson's Cattle Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 1288 Promenade Pl | open |
| SUBWAY Subway | Quick service · Other · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 3390 Coachman Rd #204 | open |
| Sushi Avenue | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 895 Blue Gentian Rd | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 3015 Holiday Lane | open |
| Taco John's Taco John's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 3385 Denmark Ave | open |
| Taco Libre | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1270 Promenade Pl Ste 140 | open |
| The Cluckery - Craveable Chicken Tenders The Cluckery | Quick service · Coffee shop · Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Bar | Coffee · Chicken / wings · Burgers | 1278 Lone Oak Rd | open |
| The Italian Pie Shoppe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 1438 Yankee Doodle Rd | open |
| Union 32 Craft House | Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar | 2864 Hwy 55 | open | |
| Valley Lounge | Bar | 3385 Sibley Memorial Hwy | open | |
| Wahlburgers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 1500 Central Park Commons Dr | open |
| Wayne Peterson Enterprises | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3140 Neil Armstrong Blvd Ste 321 | open | |
| Wildcats Bar and Grill | Casual dining · Bar | American | 1448 Yankee Doodle Rd | open |
| Yankee Tavern | Casual dining · Bar | American | 1755 Yankee Doodle Rd | open |
| ZZQ Smokehouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 3390 Coachman Rd #204 | open |
| Bluestone Steak & Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse | 2864 Highway 55 Ste 200 | closed |
| Rusty Taco | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 3345 Central Park Village Dr Ste 100 | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 19 | 17 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 21 | 19 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 20 | 19 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 28 | 27 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 28 | 22 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 30 | 22 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 28 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 32 | 24 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 31 | 24 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 32 | 26 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 35 | 28 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 33 | 27 | 14 | 12 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 33 | 26 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 39 | 28 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 41 | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 48 | 32 | 13 | 14 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 51 | 34 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 50 | 33 | 13 | 15 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 53 | 37 | 13 | 18 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 54 | 40 | 15 | 20 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 54 | 41 | 15 | 20 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 55 | 43 | 18 | 19 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 55 | 43 | 16 | 19 | 8 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 56 | 45 | 16 | 21 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 55 | 45 | 16 | 23 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 62 | 49 | 18 | 25 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 57 | 45 | 16 | 23 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 48 | 41 | 15 | 20 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 52 | 43 | 14 | 22 | 7 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 53 | 43 | 14 | 21 | 8 | — | NAICS2022 |