BMIE Market 55123

Dakota County, Minnesota · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	26,501 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,065 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	10,162 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±430 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	26,030 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,533 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$139,215 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,445 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,654 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±61 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$461,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,122 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	10.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	41 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 55123
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+17.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+51.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+64.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+192.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	42 (range 37–47) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.0 per year, r² 0.69) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	83 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	90 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	79 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	77 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 55123. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.69, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Minnesota and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 715, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 83 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	89.6	90	40%	+35.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	78.6	79	35%	+27.5
Market Momentum Score	77.4	77	25%	+19.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 90 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	26,501	86	40%	+34.5
Median household income (ACS)	139,215	95	40%	+37.9
Households (ACS)	10,162	86	20%	+17.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	51.9	85	35%	+29.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	15.5	51	25%	+12.8
Population (ACS)	26,501	86	20%	+17.3
Median household income (ACS)	139,215	95	20%	+18.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	17.1	75	50%	+37.6
10-year restaurant growth	51.9	85	30%	+25.4
20-year restaurant growth	64	72	20%	+14.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (71)

By cuisine

American 13 · Sandwiches 7 · Burgers 6 · Mexican 6 · Pizza 6 · Asian 5 · Bakery 5 · Coffee 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Chicken / wings 4 · Dessert 4 · Chinese 3 · Tea / bubble tea 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Indian 2 · Japanese 2 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Korean 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 42 · Quick service 13 · Bar 7 · Dessert 7 · Bakery 5 · Café 4 · Casual dining 4 · Other 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Food truck 2 · Brewery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
721 Sports Bar & Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		4250 Lexington Ave S	open
Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar	Casual dining · Bar	American · Burgers	1335 Town Centre Drive	open
Arby's Arby's	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	1279 Town Centre Dr	open
Bay Leaf Indian Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Asian	1260 Town Centre Dr	open
Big Apple Bagels	Coffee shop	Coffee	1380 Duckwood Dr	open
Blimpie	Quick service		1264 Town Centre Dr	open
Bonchon Bonchon Chicken Philippines	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean · Chicken / wings · Asian	1348 Town Centre Dr	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	1275 Town Centre Dr	open
California Dip & Eat	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4325 KIRSTEN Ct	open
Caribou Coffee Caribou Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1380 Duckwood Dr #101	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	3420 Promenade Ave	open
China Gourmet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1095 Diffley Rd	open
Cici's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1292 Town Centre Dr	open
Classic Saigon Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Asian	1272 Town Centre Dr	open
Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1264 Town Centre Dr, Bldg C	open
Cooper's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	4185 S Robert Trl	open
Culver's Culver's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	3445 O'Leary Lane	open
DC Donuts Dream Cafe	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	1095 Diffley Rd	open
Dunn Brothers Coffee Dunn Brothers Coffee	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	1012 Diffley Rd	open
Eagan Arms Public House	Bar	British / Irish pub food	4250 Lexington Ave S	open
El Compa Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1380 Duckwood Dr	open
Fiesta Cancun Mexican Grill & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4250 Lexington Ave S	open
Genghis Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	1278 Town Centre Dr Ste 175	open
Ghilani Group, Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3432 Denmark Ave PMB 300	open
Golden Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	4250 Lexington Ave S #108	open
Hope Breakfast Bar Hope Breakfast Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	1012 Diffley Rd #700	open
J&j Bhakta Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1278 Town Centre Dr Ste 175	open
Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service · Other	Sandwiches · American	3405 Promenade Ave	open
Junior's Cafe & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	1340 Duckwood Dr	open
KFC KFC	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	1287 Town Centre Dr	open
Kyoto Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	1250 Town Centre Dr	open
Kyuramen Kyuramen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	1278 Town Centre Dr #175	open
Little Cafe de Paris	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Bakery · Tea / bubble tea · Ice cream / frozen desserts	3436 Denmark Ave	open
Maison Du Lac	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar			open
Mazidar Grill & Groceries	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern	3446 Denmark Ave	open
McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1075 Diffley Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1351 Town Centre Dr	open
MrBeast Burger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Sandwiches	1345 Town Centre Dr	open
New Bohemia - Eagan	Restaurant (service type not stated)	German / Eastern European	1278 Town Centre Dr Ste 195	open
No More Zees Cafe Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3448 Denmark Ave	open
Old Chicago	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1312 Town Centre Dr	open
Oryza Poke & Ramen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific · Healthy / salads / bowls	1016 Diffley Rd Ste C100	open
Perkins at 1345 Town Centre Drive Eagan, MN Perkins	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1345 Town Centre Drive	open
Perkins Restaurant and Bakery Perkins American Food Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Bakery	1345 Town Centre Dr	open
Persis Indian Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	1282 Town Centre Dr # 1282-A	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1325 Town Centre Dr	open
Pizza Man	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3442 Denmark Ave	open
Pizza N Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4250 Lexington Ave S	open
Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's	Quick service			open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1300 Town Center Dr	open
Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	Diffley Marketplace, 1016 Diffley Rd #300	open
Rita’s of Eagan MN Rita's Italian Ice	Dessert · Bar	Dessert		open
Simek's	Quick service	Chinese		open
Step Up Nutrition	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	1095 Diffley Rd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	4250 Lexington Ave S	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	Cliff Rd.	open
Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1360 Town Center Drive	open
T-rex Cookie Company	Bakery	Bakery	525 Diffley Rd Ste 2080	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1325 Town Centre Dr	open
Tacos La Mexicana 2	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1276 Town Centre Dr	open
Tbaar - Eagan	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	1278 Town Centre Dr Ste 175	open
Teresa's Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1008 Diffley Rd	open
Teresa's Mexican Restaurant Teresa's Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	1008 Diffley Rd	open
The Brick Oven Bus	Food truck · Brewery / taproom	Pizza		open
The Tea Time	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	3436 Denmark Ave	open
Trail Stop Tavern	Bar		525 Diffley Rd	open
Tres Amigos Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1008 Diffley Rd	open
Wingstop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1278 Town Centre Dr #190	open
Yogurt Beach Yogurt Beach	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	4250 Lexington Ave S	open
Ze's Diner Ze's Diner Eagan	Casual dining	American	3448 Denmark Ave	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other	Sandwiches	610 Opperman Dr Fl 2	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	17	17	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	20	20	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	27	27	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	27	24	8	14	2	—	NAICS1997
1999	25	22	6	11	5	—	NAICS1997
2000	26	23	8	10	5	—	NAICS1997
2001	24	22	9	8	5	—	NAICS1997
2002	32	25	9	11	5	—	NAICS1997
2003	28	25	8	14	3	—	NAICS2002
2004	36	33	9	18	6	—	NAICS2002
2005	32	29	8	15	6	—	NAICS2002
2006	32	28	7	15	6	—	NAICS2002
2007	34	30	9	16	5	—	NAICS2002
2008	34	29	8	17	4	—	NAICS2007
2009	31	28	9	16	3	—	NAICS2007
2010	29	27	10	14	3	—	NAICS2007
2011	29	27	10	14	3	—	NAICS2007
2012	28	25	9	13	3	—	NAICS2012
2013	30	27	9	14	4	—	NAICS2012
2014	33	29	10	15	4	—	NAICS2012
2015	32	29	11	13	5	1	NAICS2012
2016	33	30	13	12	5	—	NAICS2012
2017	37	32	12	15	5	—	NAICS2017
2018	41	35	12	19	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	40	33	12	18	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	39	30	10	17	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	39	32	12	16	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	45	37	15	17	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	50	41	17	17	7	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 55123. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
55122	2.8 mi	49	2023
55121	3.2 mi	43	2023
55077	3.2 mi	7	2023
55124	4.9 mi	93	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.