BMIE Market 55126

Ramsey County, Minnesota · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	27,456 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±333 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	11,602 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±375 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	25,140 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	10,866 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$108,217 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,898 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,678 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±162 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$384,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,192 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	13.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	36 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 55126
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+12.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+9.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+89.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	36 (range 33–39) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.30) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	87 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	63 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 55126. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.30, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Minnesota and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 715, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	86.8	87	40%	+34.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69.2	69	35%	+24.2
Market Momentum Score	63.4	63	25%	+15.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 87 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	27,456	87	40%	+34.8
Median household income (ACS)	108,217	86	40%	+34.3
Households (ACS)	11,602	88	20%	+17.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	12.5	56	35%	+19.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.1	60	25%	+15.0
Population (ACS)	27,456	87	20%	+17.4
Median household income (ACS)	108,217	86	20%	+17.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	20	77	50%	+38.7
10-year restaurant growth	12.5	56	30%	+16.9
20-year restaurant growth	9.1	39	20%	+7.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (78)

By cuisine

Pizza 14 · American 10 · Sandwiches 8 · Asian 7 · Chinese 7 · Coffee 7 · Dessert 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Healthy / salads / bowls 4 · Mexican 4 · Bakery 3 · Burgers 3 · Italian 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Indian 1 · Japanese 1 · Korean 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 49 · Quick service 15 · Dessert 8 · Café 7 · Casual dining 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Bar 4 · Bakery 3 · Other 3 · Fast casual 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Absolute Nutrition	Café	Coffee	5999 Rice Creek Pkwy, Shoreview, MN 55126	open
Arby's	Quick service		3751 Lexington Ave N	open
Best Asian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Chinese	1035 Hwy 96 W	open
Burger King	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3333 Rice St	open
Burger King	Quick service		3751 Lexington Ave N	open
Carbone's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3150 Lexington Ave N	open
Caribou Coffee Caribou Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	3354 Rice St	open
Caribou Coffee Caribou Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	3673 Lexington Ave N	open
Chanticlear Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3551 Lexington Ave N	open
Chick-fil-A Arden Hills Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Breakfast	3855 Lexington Ave N	open
China Express I	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	3673 Lexington Ave N Ste F	open
China Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	3673 Lexington Ave N	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1021 Red Fox Rd	open
Churchill St.	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	4606 Churchill St	open
Cousins Subs	Quick service		5979 Rice Creek Pkwy	open
Crumbl Cookies Crumbl	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	3833 Lexington Ave N, Ste 104	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts	4615 Hodgson Rd	open
Davanni's Pizza and Hot Hoagies Davanni's Pizza and Hot Hoagies	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian	3673 Lexington Ave N	open
Dong Hae II Korean Grill and Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean · Sushi · Japanese · Asian	3845 Lexington Ave N	open
Five Guys Five Guys	Quick service	Burgers · American	1021 Red Fox Rd #150	open
Fox Hollow Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	4704 Kent St	open
Fresh Picked Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1048 Highway 96 W	open
Gacha Gelato	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	3340 Rice St	open
Gacha Gelato	Dessert	Dessert	3340 Rice St	open
Garden Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1050 Gramsie Rd	open
Great China Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Chinese · Asian	3547 Lexington Ave N	open
Green Mill Restaurant And Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4105 Lexington Ave N	open
Green Mill Restaurant and Bar Green Mill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1000 Gramsie Rd	open
Hippo Pockets Hippo Pockets	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3673 Lexington Ave N # F	open
Jade House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	3999 Rice St	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	3845 Lexington Ave N	open
Jumm	Food truck	Asian	4957 Hanson Rd	open
Kozlak's Royal Oak Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4785 Hodgson Rd	open
Leeann Chin Leeann Chin	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1021 Red Fox Rd	open
Lhasa Cafe Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3547 Lexington Ave N	open
Luke's Soups	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	American · Healthy / salads / bowls	1037 County Hwy 96	open
Mansetti's Pizza & Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	3999 Rice St	open
Namaste India Grill & Brewhouse	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Indian	3673 Lexington Ave N suite l	open
Noodles And Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3833 Lexington Ave N	open
Nutmeg Brewhouse	Brewery / taproom		3673 Lexington Ave N	open
Nutrition Spot	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	3470 Lexington Ave N	open
Old Southern BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern	3845 Lexington Ave N	open
Oliver's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	159 Grass Lake Pl	open
Pacabelly's Treat Shop	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	5932 Lexington Ave N	open
Pancheros Mexican Grill Pancheros Mexican Grill	Quick service	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	3845 Lexington Ave N	open
Papa John's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	169 County Road E W	open
Papa John's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3833 Lexington Ave N	open
Papa Murphy's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3781 Lexington Ave N	open
Papa Murphy's \| Take 'N' Bake Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3673 Lexington Avenue North, Suite D	open
Perkins Restaurant & Bakery	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3855 Lexington Ave N	open
Pizza Hut Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3800 Lexington Ave N	open
Pizza Man	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5999 Rice Creek Pkwy	open
Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's	Quick service			open
POP Culture Frozen Yogurt	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	1048 Hwy 96 W	open
Pop Culture Frozen Yogurt, Ice Cream & Gourmet Popcorn	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	3833 Lexington Ave N	open
Potbelly Potbelly Sandwich Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	3833 Lexington Ave N	open
Quiznos Quiznos	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	5999 Rice Creek Pkwy Ste 106	open
Raising Cane's Raising Cane's Chicken Fingers	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	3780 Lexington Ave N	open
Red Ginger China Bistro Minnesota	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	5999 Rice Creek Pkwy Ste 102	open
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Red Robin Gourmet Burgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Burgers	1090 Gramsie Rd	open
Rocco's Pizza Rocco's Pizza Ickenham	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	5916 Lexington Ave N	open
Shore 96	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		1056 Hwy 96 W	open
Stanshore Enterprises	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1056 Highway 96 W	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	3833 Lexington Ave N	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls	441 Hwy 96 W	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3340 Rice St, Suite 1	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	3673 Lexington Ave N Ste C	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	1036 Highway 96 W	open
Sweet Chocolat	Dessert	Dessert	3537B Lexington Ave N	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	3464 N. Rice Street	open
Taco John's Taco John's	Quick service	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	3340 Rice St	open
The Tavern Grill Arden Hills The Tavern Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	3561 Lexington Ave N	open
The Winkin' Rooster	Fast casual · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	3600 Lexington Ave N Ste 106	open
Uffda Gals	Bakery	Bakery	4701 Hodgson Rd	open
Vadnais Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3364 Rice St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1051 Red Fox Rd	open
Wok Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1035 Highway 96 W	open
Orchid Bar And Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese	3845 Lexington Ave N Ste 107	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	20	19	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	26	25	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	27	26	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	31	31	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	30	26	10	16	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	33	27	10	17	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	32	26	10	16	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	36	31	11	19	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	41	32	10	20	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	37	33	13	18	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	39	33	12	18	3	1	NAICS2002
2005	39	36	13	20	3	1	NAICS2002
2006	36	33	13	17	3	1	NAICS2002
2007	41	33	11	18	3	2	NAICS2002
2008	38	32	10	20	2	2	NAICS2007
2009	40	32	12	18	2	2	NAICS2007
2010	38	30	12	16	2	2	NAICS2007
2011	41	34	12	20	2	2	NAICS2007
2012	43	35	12	21	2	2	NAICS2012
2013	41	32	11	18	3	2	NAICS2012
2014	40	33	11	18	4	1	NAICS2012
2015	39	32	10	19	3	1	NAICS2012
2016	40	32	9	20	3	1	NAICS2012
2017	42	34	9	22	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	38	30	8	19	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	39	32	9	20	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	38	32	10	18	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	39	33	11	19	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	40	36	10	23	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	40	36	9	24	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 55126. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
55112	2.5 mi	54	2023
55127	3.1 mi	29	2023
55113	4.9 mi	125	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.