BMIE Market 55127
Ramsey County, Minnesota · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 18,090 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±650 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 7,502 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±407 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 16,782 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 7,177 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $117,917 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,285 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 41.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,826 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±81 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $433,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23,979 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 13.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 29 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 55127 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 12.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +38.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +61.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +262.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 36 (range 33–39) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.0 per year, r² 0.83) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 74 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 84 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 73 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 58 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 55127. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.83, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Minnesota and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 715, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 74 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 83.8 | 84 | 40% | +33.5 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 72.8 | 73 | 35% | +25.5 |
| Market Momentum Score | 58.0 | 58 | 25% | +14.5 |
Consumer Market Score: 84 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 18,090 | 80 | 40% | +31.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 117,917 | 90 | 40% | +35.8 |
| Households (ACS) | 7,502 | 80 | 20% | +16.1 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 73 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 38.1 | 76 | 35% | +26.7 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 16.0 | 49 | 25% | +12.3 |
| Population (ACS) | 18,090 | 80 | 20% | +15.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 117,917 | 90 | 20% | +17.9 |
Market Momentum Score: 58 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 0 | 42 | 50% | +20.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 38.1 | 76 | 30% | +22.9 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 61.1 | 71 | 20% | +14.3 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (54)
By cuisine
Sandwiches 10 · American 8 · Bakery 8 · Pizza 8 · Coffee 7 · Burgers 3 · Dessert 3 · Italian 3 · Asian 2 · European 2 · Chicken / wings 1 · French 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Peruvian 1 · Sushi 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 27 · Quick service 14 · Bakery 8 · Bar 7 · Café 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Dessert 4 · Specialty food shop 4 · Casual dining 3 · Food truck 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $5 Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1011 Meadowlands Dr | open |
| Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 1018 Meadowlands Dr | open |
| Bamboo Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 116 Star Cir | open |
| Big Dipper Creamery | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 115 Village Center Dr | open |
| Big Wood Brewery | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 3429 Centerville Rd | open | |
| Brueggers Bagels Bruegger's Bagels | Bakery | Bakery · Sandwiches | 111 Village Center Dr | open |
| Caribou Coffee Caribou Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 4630 Centerville Rd | open |
| Caribou Coffee Caribou Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 113 Village Center Dr | open |
| CherryBerry | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Dessert | 925 County Road E E Ste 105 | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 925 County Road E E Ste 150 | open |
| Cooper's Kitchen & Spirits | Bar | 1190 County Rd J Suite700 | open | |
| Cousins Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 1150 County Road J | open |
| Culver's Culver's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 4485 Centerville Rd. | open |
| Divine Law Group Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 855 Village Center Dr | open | |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 1210 County Rd J Ste 102 | open |
| Dunn Bros Coffee | Coffee shop | Coffee | 955 County Road E E | open |
| Emmy’s Sweets and Such Home Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 4226 Bridgewood Ter | open |
| Erbert & Gerbert's | Other | Sandwiches | 1011 Meadowlands Dr | open |
| Floyd's Donuts | Bakery · Food truck · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | Meadowlands Dr | open |
| Founders Cigar Company | Bar | 855 Village Center Dr | open | |
| Giant Pizza Cutter | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 855 Village Center Dr PMB 164 | open |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 925 East County Rd E Suite 140 | open |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 119B Village Center Drive | open |
| Jimmy John's Jimmy John's | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 1048 Meadowlands Dr | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Sandwiches · American | 930 County Road E E | open |
| Lucy's Burgers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 1190 County Road J Ste 700 | open |
| Mad Jacks Sports Cafe of Vadnais Heights | Bar | 935 County Road E E | open | |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1081 Highway 96 E | open |
| Mi Causa Restaurant & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Peruvian · Latin American (other) | 1011 Meadowlands Dr | open |
| Noodles & Company Noodles & Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Noodles / ramen / pho · American | 1020 Hwy 96 E | open |
| Old Clover Inn | Bar | 705 County Rd F E | open | |
| Orchid Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American · European | 1190 County Rd J | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Fast casual | Bakery · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls | 959 County Road E | open |
| Panino's | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 857 Village Center Dr | open |
| Papa Murphy's | Take 'N' Bake Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 965 County Road E East | open |
| Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's | Quick service | open | ||
| Punch Neapolitan Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1018 Highway 96 E | open |
| Ricardo's Pub Pizza | Bar | Pizza · Italian | 1011 Meadowlands Dr Suite 7b | open |
| Sbarro | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches · Pizza | 1028 Meadowlands Dr | open |
| Smarte Carte | Food truck | 410 Oak Grove Pkwy | open | |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Café · Coffee shop · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 1016 Hwy 96 E | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 975 County Rd E E | open |
| Stonehouse Custom Catering | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4466 Centerville Rd | open | |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 1048 Hwy 96 | open |
| Suishin Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 125 Village Center Dr | open |
| Taste Of Scandanavia Bakery & Cafe Taste of Scandinavia | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Bakery · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 845 Village Center Dr | open |
| Tria Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | French · European · American | 5959 Centerville Rd | open |
| Vadnais Heights Punch Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1018 Highway 96 E | open |
| Walmart Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 850 County Road E E | open |
| Wendy's | Quick service | 940 County Road E E | open | |
| Wendy’s | Quick service | County Road E | open | |
| White Bear Lake Noodles & Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1020 Highway 96 East | open | |
| Your Mom's Basement | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 1011 Meadowlands Dr | open |
| Zen Asia | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese | 1011 Meadowlands Dr Ste 8 | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 8 | 8 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 10 | 9 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 8 | 6 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 8 | 7 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 17 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 19 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 22 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 28 | 26 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 27 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 27 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 27 | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 26 | 22 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 25 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 23 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 24 | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 22 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 21 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 24 | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 25 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 26 | 25 | 7 | 13 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 30 | 29 | 8 | 15 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 29 | 28 | 8 | 14 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 31 | 30 | 9 | 15 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 31 | 30 | 6 | 16 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 32 | 29 | 7 | 15 | 7 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 32 | 29 | 6 | 15 | 8 | — | NAICS2022 |