BMIE Market 55128
Washington County, Minnesota · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 29,384 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±271 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 11,901 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±434 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 28,113 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 11,690 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $93,210 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,699 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 39.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,476 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±111 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $312,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,358 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 11.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 39 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 55128 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 11.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +11.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +18.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +77.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +69.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 41 (range 39–42) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.86) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 75 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 84 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 69 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 68 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 55128. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.86, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Minnesota and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 715, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 75 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 83.6 | 84 | 40% | +33.5 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 69.2 | 69 | 35% | +24.2 |
| Market Momentum Score | 68.4 | 68 | 25% | +17.1 |
Consumer Market Score: 84 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 29,384 | 88 | 40% | +35.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 93,210 | 76 | 40% | +30.5 |
| Households (ACS) | 11,901 | 89 | 20% | +17.8 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 69 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 18.2 | 62 | 35% | +21.5 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 13.3 | 59 | 25% | +14.8 |
| Population (ACS) | 29,384 | 88 | 20% | +17.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 93,210 | 76 | 20% | +15.2 |
Market Momentum Score: 68 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 11.4 | 69 | 50% | +34.7 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 18.2 | 62 | 30% | +18.5 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 77.3 | 76 | 20% | +15.3 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (72)
By cuisine
Coffee 11 · American 10 · Pizza 9 · Mexican 7 · Asian 4 · Breakfast 4 · Burgers 4 · Chinese 3 · Italian 3 · Japanese 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Dessert 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Sushi 2 · Bakery 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 45 · Quick service 15 · Bar 12 · Café 8 · Coffee shop 8 · Casual dining 7 · Food truck 3 · Bakery 2 · Dessert 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3a Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7157 10th St N | open | |
| Baja Sol | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 8364 3rd St N | open |
| Bambu Kitchen & Sushi Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Sushi · Japanese | 7061 10th St N | open |
| Bento Moto | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 7017 10th St N | open |
| BooT Hill EaTs | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | 6013 Upper 44th St N | open | |
| Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings | Bar · Casual dining | American | 8346 3rd Street North Oakdale Village | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 7051 10th St N | open |
| Cajun Crave | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 7165 10th St N | open |
| Caribou Coffee | Café | Coffee | 8360 3rd St N | open |
| Caribou Coffee Caribou Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee · Breakfast | 6014 MN-36 | open |
| Caribou Coffee Caribou Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 7009 10th St N | open |
| Catrinas Cerveza & Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 1091 Geneva Ave N | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle | Quick service | 3480 Highpoint Dr N | open | |
| Crak-D at D-Spot | Bar | American | 7129 10th St N | open |
| D-spot | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 7129 10th St N | open |
| DoubleShotz Liquor | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1021 Helmo Ave N | open | |
| Dukes Pizza-Pub-Grill | Bar · Casual dining | Pizza | 1285 Geneva Ave N | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Quick service | 1055 Helmo Avenue North | open | |
| Dunn Bros Coffee | Coffee shop | Coffee | 6970 33rd St N | open |
| Faribault Real Estate Management Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 600 Inwood Ave N Ste 230 | open | |
| Five Guys Five Guys | Quick service | Burgers · American | 8360 3rd Street North | open |
| Four Crown | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7002 6th St N | open | |
| Global Wok | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 8368 3rd St N | open |
| Hardee’s | Quick service | 7099 11th St N | open | |
| Hunan Palace Chinese Restaurant & Bar Hunan Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 7061 10th St N | open |
| IHOP IHOP | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 7680 10th St N | open |
| International House of Pancakes | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 7680 10th St N | open |
| Jade 88 Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1181 Geneva Ave N | open |
| JW's Bierstube Bierstube Steakhouse & Grill | Bar | German / Eastern European | 7121 10th St N | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 7037 10th Street North | open |
| Knowfat Lifestyle Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8364 3rd St N | open | |
| Los Comales Taqueria | Food truck | Mexican | 3205 Hadley Ave N | open |
| Mana Brewing - Oakdale | Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar | Pizza | 7600 2nd St N Unit C | open |
| Margie's Jager Bar and Alehouse | Bar | 6585 2nd St N | open | |
| MC's Pub MC's Pub - Elk River | Bar | American | 1267 Geneva Ave N | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 7830 32nd St N | open |
| McDuvie | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 600 Hayward Ave N | open | |
| Oakdale Food & Bev-250 | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining · Bar | 5677 Hadley Ave N | open | |
| Olive Garden Olive Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 8367 3rd St N | open |
| Papa Murphy's Take 'N' Bake Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 7017 10th St N | open |
| Phonomenal Cafe/Bar | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee · Thai | 1055 Helmo Ave N | open |
| Pizza Hut Express Starbucks | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café | Pizza · Coffee | 7900 32nd St N | open |
| Pizza Man | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1025 Helmo Ave N | open |
| Premier Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Healthy / salads / bowls · Pizza | 6030 50th St N | open |
| Ray's Pizza & Deli | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5699 Geneva Ave N | open |
| Red Lobster Red Lobster | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 8350 3rd St N | open |
| Rocco's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1951 Geneva Ave N | open |
| Rum Bum Liquor Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8366 3rd St N | open | |
| Sarpino's Pizzeria Sarpino's Pizzeria - USA | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1803 Geneva Ave N | open |
| Sgt. Peppers Grille and Bar | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 930 Helena Ave N | open |
| Shar'els Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · Breakfast | 6030 50th St N | open |
| Snackluxe Baking Company | Coffee shop · Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert | Dessert · Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 7061 10th St N | open |
| St. Paul Grill, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 600 Inwood Ave N Ste 230 | open | |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop | Coffee | 3450 High Point Dr N | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 7120 10th St N | open |
| Stp Jj Team I, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7845 3rd St N | open | |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 6952 33rd St N | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 1191 Geneva Ave | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 7049 10th St N | open |
| Taco John's Taco John's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 1010 Gershwin Ave N | open |
| Taco Libre | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 8364 3rd St N | open |
| Take Five | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | 5677 Hadley Ave N | open | |
| Teriyaki Madness Teriyaki Madness | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Asian | 8366 3rd St N | open |
| The Salsa Spot | Food truck · Catering | Mexican | 760 Guthrie Ave N | open |
| Titan's Sports Saloon | Casual dining · Bar | 1267 Geneva Ave N | open | |
| Tous les Jours Tous les Jours | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 8368 3rd St N, Oakdale, MN 55128 | open |
| Wahlburgers @ Hy-vee | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 7180 10th St N | open |
| Warrior Nutrition | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 7173 10th St N | open |
| Wild Bill's Sports Saloon - Hospitality Management | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 600 Inwood Ave N Ste 230 | open | |
| Wild Boar Bar and Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 950 Helena Ave N | open |
| Woodbury Grill, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 600 Inwood Ave N Ste 230 | open | |
| Hollywood Café | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5677 Hadley Ave N | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 26 | 23 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 24 | 21 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 29 | 28 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 27 | 27 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 25 | 24 | 11 | 12 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 24 | 23 | 11 | 11 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 26 | 23 | 11 | 10 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 26 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 22 | 19 | 12 | 7 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 28 | 22 | 13 | 9 | — | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 29 | 24 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 32 | 27 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 34 | 29 | 14 | 12 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 32 | 28 | 16 | 10 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 31 | 27 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 28 | 25 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 33 | 31 | 17 | 13 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 30 | 29 | 16 | 11 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 32 | 30 | 16 | 10 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 35 | 33 | 15 | 13 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 34 | 32 | 16 | 11 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 37 | 33 | 17 | 12 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 37 | 33 | 17 | 12 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 39 | 33 | 17 | 12 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 43 | 35 | 18 | 13 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 44 | 36 | 18 | 15 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 41 | 35 | 16 | 17 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 47 | 36 | 17 | 17 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 48 | 37 | 18 | 17 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 50 | 39 | 18 | 19 | — | — | NAICS2022 |