BMIE Market 55306
Dakota County, Minnesota · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 16,830 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,120 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 6,603 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±393 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 15,935 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 6,776 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $100,515 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,364 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 36.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,622 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±62 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $374,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,710 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 6.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 20 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 55306 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 20.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -37.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -33.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | -4.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +400.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 24 (range 15–33) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.4 per year, r² 0.12) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 52 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 80 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 51 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 10 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 55306. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.12, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Minnesota and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 715, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 52 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 79.6 | 80 | 40% | +31.8 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 51.4 | 51 | 35% | +18.0 |
| Market Momentum Score | 10.2 | 10 | 25% | +2.6 |
Consumer Market Score: 80 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 16,830 | 78 | 40% | +31.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 100,515 | 81 | 40% | +32.5 |
| Households (ACS) | 6,603 | 78 | 20% | +15.7 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 51 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -33.3 | 9 | 35% | +3.2 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 11.9 | 65 | 25% | +16.3 |
| Population (ACS) | 16,830 | 78 | 20% | +15.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 100,515 | 81 | 20% | +16.3 |
Market Momentum Score: 10 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -37.5 | 7 | 50% | +3.7 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -33.3 | 9 | 30% | +2.8 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | -4.8 | 19 | 20% | +3.7 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (66)
By cuisine
American 11 · Coffee 7 · Dessert 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Bakery 4 · Japanese 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Sushi 4 · Burgers 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Mediterranean 3 · Pizza 3 · Mexican 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Filipino 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Greek 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Indian 1 · Italian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 40 · Dessert 10 · Quick service 10 · Bar 8 · Café 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 6 · Coffee shop 5 · Bakery 4 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Casual dining 2 · Fast casual 2 · Catering 1 · Food truck 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdallah Inc. | Dessert | German / Eastern European | 3501 County Road 42 W | open |
| Anderson's Sports Bar | Bar | American | 157th street | open |
| Applebee's Grill + Bar | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 2152 Burnsville Ctr | open |
| BB Skewer | Bakery | Bakery · Mediterranean · American | 1178 Burnsville Ctr | open |
| Bidhipur Brewing Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1905 County Road 42 W | open | |
| Blue Ox Sandwich Factory | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 14270 Buck Hill Rd #115 | open |
| Buca Di Beppo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 14300 Burnhaven Dr | open | |
| Buck 54 Bar and Grill Buck Hill Ski & Snowboard Area | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 15400 Buck Hill Rd | open | |
| Burger Jones | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 1617 Co Rd 42 W | open |
| Burnhaven | Bar | 15001 Burnhaven Dr | open | |
| Café Zupas Café Zupas | Quick service | 1825 County Rd 42 W | open | |
| Caribou Coffee Caribou Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 401 Co Rd 42 | open |
| Caribou Coffee Caribou Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 2351 County Road 42 W | open |
| Checkerboard Internet Services, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 14400 W Burnsville Pkwy | open | |
| Cinnabon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1078 Burnsville Ctr | open | |
| Cinnabon Cinnabon | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 1078 Burnsville Ctr | open |
| Fairy Wren Dessert & Tea Bar | Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Dessert · Coffee | 1178 Burnsville Center | open |
| Foodgod Truffle Fries | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 14300 Burnhaven Dr | open | |
| Gaona's Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 1178 Burnsville Center #36 | open |
| Gloria Jean's Gourmet Coffees | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1085 Burnsville Ctr | open | |
| Greek Place & Fry Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Mediterranean | 915 County Road 42 W | open |
| Hechizo de Luna | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 15728 Forest Cir | open | |
| India Palace Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Indian · American | 1905 County Rd 42 W | open |
| Ineffable Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 1905 County Rd 42 W #100 | open | |
| Jamba | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 2111 County Road 42W | open |
| Jimmy John's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 1615 County Road 42 W | open |
| Jimmy John's Jimmy John's | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 1615 County Rd 42 W | open |
| Kemps Ice Cream Cafe | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 915 County Road 42 W | open |
| Kyo Matcha KyoMatcha MN | Dessert · Café | Dessert · Coffee | 915 County Rd 42 W | open |
| Level up Nutrition | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 14709 W Burnsville Pkwy | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 14230 Burnhaven Dr | open |
| Lucky's 13 Pub | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 1178 Burnsville Ctr | open | |
| Manila Sizzling Wok and Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Filipino · BBQ · Asian | Food Court Inside the Mall, 1178 Burnsville Center | open |
| Mariah's Cookies | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 14300 Burnhaven Dr | open | |
| Maui Wowi Hawaiian Coffees & Smoothies | Coffee shop | Coffee | 15 Burnsville Ctr | open |
| Mr. Beast Burger | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 14300 Burnhaven Dr | open | |
| Noodles and Company Noodles & Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Noodles / ramen / pho · American | 901 County Rd 42 W | open |
| Nutmeg Brewhouse | Brewery / taproom | 1905 County Road 42 W Suite 100 | open | |
| Olive Garden Italian Restaurant Olive Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Mediterranean | 1451 County Rd 42 W | open |
| Osaka | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 915 County Road 42 W | open |
| P.ZA Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 14300 Burnhaven Dr | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Fast casual | Bakery · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls | 901 County Road 42 W | open |
| Philly Station Taste Of Philly | Food truck · Dessert | Sandwiches | 1178 Burnsville Center #16 | open |
| Pink Cow Ice Cream | Dessert · Quick service · Juice, smoothie, tea | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies | 1530 Viewcrest Ln | open |
| Porter Creek Hardwood Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Steakhouse | 14201 Burngarten Dr | open |
| Pretzelmaker Burnsville Mall | Quick service · Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Dessert | 2045 Burnsville Ctr | open |
| Raising Cane's Raising Cane's Chicken Fingers | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 1501 County Road 42 W | open |
| Red Lobster Red Lobster | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 1301 County Road 42 W | open |
| Sbarro | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls | 1178 Burnsville Ctr | open |
| Scooter's Coffee Scooter's Coffee | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 1825 County Rd 42 W | open |
| Shogun Sushi and Hibachi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Steakhouse | 1025 County Road 42 W | open |
| Smokin Hottdish | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering | open | ||
| Starbucks Starbucks | Café · Coffee shop · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 1603 County Road 42 W | open |
| Super Star Sushi | Quick service | Japanese · Thai · Sushi | 1601 County Road 42 W | open |
| T&J Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 1601 County Road 42 W | open |
| Taco John's Taco John's | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 15 Burnsville Ctr | open |
| Te Pari Products Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 14250 Judicial Rd | open | |
| Teavana | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 1178 Burnsville Ctr #2010 | open |
| Teddy B's Gourmet Popcorn | Dessert | Dessert | 1178 Burnsville Center | open |
| TGI Friday's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 14400 Buck Hill Rd | open |
| The Landing Zone | Bar | 14814 County Road 5 | open | |
| The Original Pancake House Original Pancake House - Eden Prairie | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 14351 Nicollet Ct | open |
| Trove Brewing | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 1719 County Rd 42 W | open | |
| Tsunami Japanese Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Healthy / salads / bowls · Hawaiian / Pacific | 1601 County Rd 42 W | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2101 W. County Road 42 | open |
| Wonders Ice Cream Co. | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 1058 Burnsville Ctr | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 8 | 8 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 9 | 8 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 12 | 12 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 13 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 14 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 19 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 25 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 22 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 24 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 25 | 22 | 5 | 12 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 24 | 21 | 5 | 13 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 24 | 21 | 5 | 13 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 27 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 35 | 33 | 12 | 14 | 7 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 34 | 32 | 12 | 14 | 6 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 32 | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 31 | 30 | 11 | 14 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 31 | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 27 | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 24 | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 29 | 28 | 10 | 14 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 33 | 32 | 10 | 17 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 34 | 33 | 10 | 17 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 33 | 32 | 13 | 14 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 29 | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 27 | 24 | 11 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 22 | 20 | 10 | 8 | — | — | NAICS2022 |