BMIE Market 55378

Scott County, Minnesota · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	32,162 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±238 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	11,786 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±286 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	26,958 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,417 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$124,871 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,904 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,766 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±73 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$430,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,256 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	14.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	56 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 55378
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	14.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+7.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+30.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+75.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+300.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	67 (range 64–71) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.7 per year, r² 0.93) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	79 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	91 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	72 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	69 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 55378. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.93, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Minnesota and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 715, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	90.5	91	40%	+36.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	72.4	72	35%	+25.4
Market Momentum Score	68.9	69	25%	+17.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 91 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	32,162	90	40%	+36.1
Median household income (ACS)	124,871	92	40%	+36.7
Households (ACS)	11,786	89	20%	+17.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	30.2	71	35%	+24.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	17.4	44	25%	+11.1
Population (ACS)	32,162	90	20%	+18.0
Median household income (ACS)	124,871	92	20%	+18.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	7.7	65	50%	+32.4
10-year restaurant growth	30.2	71	30%	+21.4
20-year restaurant growth	75	76	20%	+15.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (95)

By cuisine

American 13 · Coffee 13 · Pizza 10 · Asian 9 · Mexican 9 · Sandwiches 9 · Burgers 6 · Chinese 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Italian 4 · Bakery 3 · BBQ 3 · Breakfast 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Japanese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Thai 2 · Vietnamese 2 · African 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Caribbean 1 · Dessert 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Greek 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Indian 1 · Korean 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 58 · Quick service 18 · Bar 11 · Café 9 · Coffee shop 8 · Casual dining 7 · Dessert 5 · Bakery 3 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Food truck 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Applebee's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		14425 Highway 13 S	open
Arby's Arby's	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	8400 Egan Dr Egan Dr & Virginia Avenue	open
Asian Bowl	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	5737 Egan Dr	open
Billy G's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4000 Egan Dr	open
Bimbo Bakeries USA Bimbo Bakeries USA	Bakery	Bakery	12965 Eagle Creek Pkwy	open
Boards By Brock	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5505 123rd St W	open
Bonfire Wood Fire Cooking	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	14120 Highway 13 S	open
BREAKtheFAST	Catering · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	14526 Princeton Ave	open
Buffalo Tap	Casual dining · Bar		4990 123rd St W	open
Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings	Bar · Casual dining	American	7551 Egan Drive Savage Crossings	open
Carbone's Pizza Savage	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4046 W County Road 42	open
Caribou Coffee Caribou Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	7745 Egan Dr	open
Caribou Coffee Caribou Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	4905 Hwy 13 W	open
Casa Deli Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop · Quick service · Café	Thai · Sandwiches · Coffee · Mexican · American	4800 123rd St W	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	14008 Highway 13 S	open
Cold Stone Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	14839 Overlook Dr	open
Crooked Pint Ale House Crooked Pint	Casual dining · Bar		14120 State Hwy 13	open
Culver's Culver's	Dessert	Burgers · Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	4725 Hwy. 13 W.	open
D. Fong's Chinese Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	4321 Egan Dr	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	3939 Egan Dr	open
Davanni's Pizza and Hot Hoagies Davanni's Pizza and Hot Hoagies	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian	14125 State Hwy 13	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	5805 Egan Drive	open
Dunn Brothers Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	5801 Egan Dr	open
El Guanaco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4749 Highway 13 W	open
El Parian Mexican Restaurant Savage	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4000 Egan Dr	open
Enjoy Shawarma	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern		open
Epic Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	4735 W 123rd St	open
Fagan's River Rib Shack & Smoke Pit	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	4275 S River Run	open
Featherstone Brewing Featherstone Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		6827 Featherstone Dr	open
Freddy's Frozen Custard & Steakburgers Freddy's Frozen Custard & Steakburgers	Quick service	Burgers · American	14165 Hwy 13 S.	open
GOGI Korean BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean · BBQ · Asian	4207 Hwy 13 W	open
I Wok Pho	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Asian	4391 Hwy 13 W	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	7444 Egan Drive	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	14351 Highway 13 S	open
Jimmy John's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	4111 Highway 13 W Ste A	open
Kentucky Fried Chicken (KFC) / A&W	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	14165 Highway 13 S	open
Kyoto Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	5721 Egan Dr	open
La Michoacana Savage	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Latin American (other)	4395 Hwy 13 W	open
Leeann Chin Leeann Chin	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	14140 State Hwy 13	open
LifeCafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	6554 Loftus Ln W	open
Live Life Cafe	Café	Coffee	4401 Egan Dr	open
Loons Landing Brewery	Brewery / taproom		12925 Eagle Creek Pkwy	open
Los Sanchez Food Truck Los Sánchez Mexican Restaurant & bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Mexican	4445 Hwy 13 W	open
Maggios Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)		14247 Oconnell Ct	open
Mamama's & Checo's Kitchen Street Food	Food truck		6403 Egan Dr	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	3990 Egan Dr	open
McHugh's Public House	Bar	British / Irish pub food	5715 Egan Dr	open
Ming Dragon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	4391 Highway 13 W	open
Nautical Bowls Nautical Bowls	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	14020 State Hwy 13	open
Niesens	Casual dining · Bar	American	4800 123rd St W	open
Noodles & Company Noodles & Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Noodles / ramen / pho · American	14000 State Hwy 13	open
Nothing Bundt Cakes Nothing Bundt Cakes	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	14150 State Hwy 13	open
Novus Franchising Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		12800 Highway 13 S Ste 500	open
Oishii Japanese Ramen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	7711 Egan Dr	open
Pannekoeken Huis	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5721 Egan Dr	open
Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	14160 State Hwy 13	open
Papa Murphy's \| Take 'N' Bake Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8200 West County Road 42, Suite 200	open
Pau Hana	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific	14435 State Hwy 13	open
Perkins Restaurant & Bakery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	14435 Highway 13 S	open
Pharaoh's Gyro's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean · German / Eastern European	4817 W 124th St	open
Pizza Man	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	4381 Highway 13 W	open
Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's	Quick service			open
PolJam	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		8754 Egan Dr	open
Que Taco Que Taco Burnsville	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	5741 Egan Dr	open
Sambosa Restuarant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	African	3995 Egan Dr	open
Song Tea & Poke Savage	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	14049 MN-13 S	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4233 Egan Dr	open
Spice Thai Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	3989 County Rd 42 W	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	13945 Frontage Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	5900 Egan Dr	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Pizza · Coffee	14333 Hwy 13	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	8160 County Rd 42 Ste 600, Space #9	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3965 Egan Dr.	open
Sunset's Bar	Bar		1234 Rock and Roll Way	open
Super Dragon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	14121 State Hwy 13	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	14040 S Hwy 13	open
Taco John's Taco John's	Quick service	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	4111 Egan Dr	open
Tacos el viejon	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Mexican	14307 Huntington Ave	open
The Best Pho	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese	4207 Highway 13 Frontage Rd S	open
The Italian Butcher	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Italian · Pizza · BBQ · American	14425 State Hwy 13	open
The Naughty Squash Pub	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
The Savage Tap	Brewery / taproom · Bar		12925 Eagle Creek Pkwy	open
Thrive Healing Arts Center	Restaurant (service type not stated)		14535 Kentucky Ave	open
Thrive Wellness Center	Café	Coffee	5741 Egan Dr	open
Tim Hortons	Coffee shop	Coffee	14008 Hwy. 13,	open
Tin Shed Tavern & Pizza	Casual dining · Bar	Pizza · American	12250 Zinran Ave	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	8330 Egan Dr.	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	8330 Egan Dr	open
Wahlburgers @ Hy-vee	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	6150 Egan Dr	open
Walk Off Hits	Bar		4823 W 123rd St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	7611 Egan Drive	open
Which Wich Superior Sandwiches	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	7711 Egan Dr	open
Windmill Cafe	Casual dining · Café	American · Coffee · Breakfast	5367 State Hwy 13	open
Wingstop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	14103 State Hwy 13, Ste 103	open
Woodland pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	5745 Egan Dr	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	15	15	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	18	18	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	18	16	8	8	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	19	18	9	8	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	30	27	11	14	1	2	NAICS1997
2001	24	22	8	13	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	33	31	13	17	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	34	32	13	19	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	36	34	12	20	2	1	NAICS2002
2005	39	38	13	21	4	—	NAICS2002
2006	40	38	14	19	5	—	NAICS2002
2007	38	35	12	18	5	—	NAICS2002
2008	40	37	15	18	4	—	NAICS2007
2009	40	36	15	17	4	—	NAICS2007
2010	41	38	15	20	3	—	NAICS2007
2011	41	39	15	21	3	—	NAICS2007
2012	45	41	14	23	4	1	NAICS2012
2013	47	43	14	25	4	1	NAICS2012
2014	44	41	14	22	5	1	NAICS2012
2015	48	44	15	25	4	1	NAICS2012
2016	51	47	19	24	4	1	NAICS2012
2017	51	47	18	25	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	57	52	24	24	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	57	53	24	25	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	60	54	26	25	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	60	54	24	27	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	62	58	23	30	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	60	56	21	31	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 55378. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
55306	4.1 mi	20	2023
55438	4.6 mi	7	2023
55437	4.6 mi	18	2023
55337	4.7 mi	87	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.