BMIE Market 55437

Hennepin County, Minnesota · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	18,881 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,087 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,508 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±489 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	17,484 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,174 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$95,718 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,550 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	46.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,625 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±95 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$381,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,445 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	6.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	18 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 55437
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-10.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-18.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+5.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-10.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	15 (range 12–18) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.5 per year, r² 0.63) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	57 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	80 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	21 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 55437. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.63, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Minnesota and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 715, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	79.9	80	40%	+32.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55.2	55	35%	+19.3
Market Momentum Score	21.2	21	25%	+5.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	18,881	80	40%	+32.2
Median household income (ACS)	95,718	78	40%	+31.2
Households (ACS)	8,508	83	20%	+16.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-18.2	14	35%	+5.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	9.5	74	25%	+18.5
Population (ACS)	18,881	80	20%	+16.1
Median household income (ACS)	95,718	78	20%	+15.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 21 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-10	19	50%	+9.3
10-year restaurant growth	-18.2	14	30%	+4.3
20-year restaurant growth	5.9	37	20%	+7.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (43)

By cuisine

American 8 · Coffee 5 · Sandwiches 4 · Burgers 3 · Dessert 3 · Italian 3 · Mexican 3 · Steakhouse 3 · Bakery 2 · BBQ 2 · Pizza 2 · Asian 1 · Brazilian 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 27 · Bar 10 · Quick service 7 · Café 4 · Casual dining 4 · Bakery 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Dessert 3 · Other 2 · Buffet 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
5120 Restaurant & Onyx Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		5120 American Blvd W	open
Bloomington ChopHouse Marcus Hotels & Resorts	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Steakhouse · American	3900 American Blvd W	open
Bullvino's Churrascaria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Brazilian · BBQ	5121 W 98th St	open
Cafe Fusion	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8300 Norman Center Dr	open
Cafe I494	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5601 Green Valley Dr Ste 130	open
Capitol City Cafe, Inc.	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	8500 Normandale Lake Blvd Ste 350	open
Caribou Coffee Caribou Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	5159 W 98th St	open
Caribou Coffee Caribou Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	8000 Norman Center Dr	open
Carmine's Bar and Grille	Casual dining · Bar	Italian · American	9805 Normandale Blvd	open
Culver's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	10900 Nesbitt Ave S	open
Dairy Queen Food And Treat	Quick service	Burgers · American	8000 Tower Ste 700	open
Dontcha Know Whoopie Pies	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	9033 Kell Ave S	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	10606 France Ave S Bay 49A	open
El Loro Bloomington	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	5001 American Blvd W	open
Famous Dave's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	5101 W 98th St	open
Firehouse Subs Park Place on France	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	10700 France Ave S Ste 116	open
Full Tilt Tavern	Bar	American	8301 Normandale Blvd	open
Holiday Companies Corporate Office	Buffet		4567 American Blvd W	open
International Dairy Queen, Inc.	Quick service		8000 Norman Center Dr Ste 700	open
Jimmy John's	Other	Sandwiches	5234 W 84th St	open
Joe Senser's Sports Theater	Bar		4217 American Blvd W	open
Kincaid's Kincaid's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Seafood · American	8400 Normandale Lake Blvd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	4000 W Old Shakopee Rd	open
No More Retail	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4801 W 81st St	open
North Restaurant & Cocktail Lounge	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	5401 Green Valley Dr	open
NorthStar Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		5101 W 98th St	open
Olive Garden Olive Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	4701 American Blvd W	open
P.T. Bar N Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	9901 Harrison Rd	open
Pancheros Mexican Grill Pancheros Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	5200 W 84th St	open
Parma 8200	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	5600 W 83rd St	open
Perkins Restaurant & Bakery	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9805 Normandale Blvd	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5101 W 98th St	open
Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's	Quick service			open
Poor Richard's Commonhouse	Bar		8301 Normandale Blvd	open
Poseidon Asian Fusion & Lounge	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Sushi · Japanese	5600 W 83rd St Ste 130	open
Ryan's Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	8400 Normandale Lake Blvd #70	open
Saku Asian Bowls	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5113 W 98th St	open
Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	5125 West 98th Street	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	Highway 5	open
Teddy B's Popcorn	Quick service		5113 W 98 St	open
The Burger Den	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4209 W. American Blvd	open
To The Moon & Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	10231 Rich Cir	open
Tony Roma's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8301 Normandale Blvd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	20	20	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	18	18	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	20	20	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	22	22	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	24	22	13	8	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	27	24	13	10	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	25	21	13	7	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	25	23	13	8	2	—	NAICS1997
2002	18	16	10	4	2	1	NAICS1997
2003	20	17	9	6	2	1	NAICS2002
2004	18	14	7	4	3	1	NAICS2002
2005	19	14	7	4	3	1	NAICS2002
2006	18	15	8	4	3	1	NAICS2002
2007	20	18	10	5	3	1	NAICS2002
2008	20	18	10	5	3	1	NAICS2007
2009	16	16	8	5	3	—	NAICS2007
2010	23	23	15	5	3	—	NAICS2007
2011	27	27	17	6	3	—	NAICS2007
2012	22	22	11	7	4	—	NAICS2012
2013	23	22	9	9	4	—	NAICS2012
2014	22	22	9	9	4	—	NAICS2012
2015	24	24	10	10	4	—	NAICS2012
2016	22	22	9	9	4	—	NAICS2012
2017	20	19	7	8	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	22	20	8	8	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	21	19	7	8	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	20	18	7	7	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	19	17	6	7	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	22	20	7	10	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	21	18	4	11	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 55437. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
55431	1.5 mi	44	2023
55438	2.2 mi	7	2023
55420	3.3 mi	52	2023
55435	3.5 mi	60	2023
55439	3.7 mi	17	2023
55378	4.6 mi	56	2023
55337	4.7 mi	87	2023
55423	4.7 mi	61	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.