BMIE Market 55311
Hennepin County, Minnesota · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 38,472 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,561 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 14,080 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±569 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 32,788 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 11,985 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $153,568 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,114 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 41.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,911 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±114 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $487,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,498 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 16.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 27 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 55311 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 5.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -15.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +170.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +200.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 26 (range 22–31) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 72 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 94 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 71 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 36 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 55311. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Minnesota and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 715, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 72 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 94.4 | 94 | 40% | +37.8 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 71.3 | 71 | 35% | +25.0 |
| Market Momentum Score | 36.1 | 36 | 25% | +9.0 |
Consumer Market Score: 94 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 38,472 | 93 | 40% | +37.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 153,568 | 97 | 40% | +38.6 |
| Households (ACS) | 14,080 | 92 | 20% | +18.5 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 71 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 0 | 35 | 35% | +12.3 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 7.0 | 84 | 25% | +21.1 |
| Population (ACS) | 38,472 | 93 | 20% | +18.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 153,568 | 97 | 20% | +19.3 |
Market Momentum Score: 36 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -15.6 | 15 | 50% | +7.6 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 0 | 35 | 30% | +10.5 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 170 | 90 | 20% | +18.0 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (65)
By cuisine
American 10 · Coffee 8 · Pizza 7 · Sandwiches 6 · Asian 5 · Burgers 5 · Chinese 5 · Bakery 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Mexican 4 · BBQ 2 · Breakfast 2 · Dessert 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Japanese 2 · Sushi 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Korean 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 35 · Quick service 18 · Bar 10 · Coffee shop 6 · Bakery 5 · Café 5 · Casual dining 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Dessert 3 · Delivery-focused 2 · Food truck 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Buffet 1 · Fast casual 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akame Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 13751 Grove Dr | open |
| Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar | Casual dining · Bar | American · Burgers | 14400 Weaver Lake Road | open |
| Bruegger's Bruegger's Bagels | Bakery | Bakery · Breakfast | 13384 Bass Lake Rd | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 13840 Grove Dr | open |
| CafeDonuts | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 9408 Dunkirk Lane N | open | |
| Caribou Coffee Caribou Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 16393 County Rd 30 | open |
| Chanticlear Pizza Bar & Grill Chanticlear Pizza Grill - Coon Rapids | Delivery-focused · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 16415 County Rd 30 | open |
| Chez Arnaud | Bakery | Bakery | 13332 Bass Lake Rd | open |
| Cizadlos Deck & Grill Dining | Casual dining · Bar | American | open | |
| Culver's Culver's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 16380 96th Ave N | open |
| Culver's Culver's | Quick service | open | ||
| Dragon’s Lair Axe & Tap | Bar | American | 16415 County Rd 30 | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 13530 Grove Drive | open |
| Eco Parque Del Tanama | Coffee shop | Coffee | 9660 Vagabond Ln N | open |
| Foodgod Truffle Fries | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 13603 Grove Dr | open | |
| Golden Corral Golden Corral Buffet & Grill | Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 13603 Grove Dr | open |
| Great Harvest Bread Co. | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 13714 Grove Dr | open |
| Hong Kong Seafood and Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 13631 Grove Dr | open |
| Hyder Investments Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7088 E Fish Lake Rd | open | |
| J. Cousineau's | Bar | 13540 Grove Dr | open | |
| Jamba Jamba | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Juice / smoothies | 11632 Fountains Dr Ste 403 | open |
| Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs | Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 16375 County Rd 30 | open |
| Jet's Pizza Jet's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 16338 County Rd 30 | open |
| Jimmy John's Jimmy John's | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 13300 Bass Lake Rd N | open |
| Jimmy John's Jimmy John's | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 9513 Blackoaks Ln N | open |
| Johnson Party Deck | Bar | Near Bass Lake | open | |
| KPOT Korean BBQ & Hot Pot KPOT Korean BBQ & Hot Pot-Orlando,FL | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Korean · Asian | 13601 Grove Dr N | open |
| Larray's Loaded Mac | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 13603 Grove Dr | open | |
| Leeann Chin Leeann Chin | Quick service | Chinese · Asian | 9428 Dunkirk Ln N | open |
| Mama G's | Casual dining · Bar | 9705 County Rd 101 | open | |
| Maple Grove Uffda Donuts | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 13716 Grove Dr | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 9530 Blackoaks Ln N | open |
| Nella's Barbecue | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | BBQ | 1200 west Broadway | open |
| Old Country Buffet | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 13603 Grove Dr | open |
| Orient Buffet & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 16314 County Road 30 | open |
| Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 9416 dunkirk ln n | open |
| Papa Murphy's Papa Murphy's - Jefferson City | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 9511 Blackoaks Lane N | open |
| Papa Murphy's | Take 'N' Bake Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 8097 Wedgewood Lane North | open |
| Paradise Smoothie Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 13647 Grove Dr | open |
| Piata Noir Roast | Coffee shop | Coffee | 11159 Meadow View Ln | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 6342 Vinewood Ln N | open |
| Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's | Quick service | open | ||
| PKWY Nutrition | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls | 16385 County Rd 30 | open |
| Punch Pizza Punch Pizza | Quick service | Pizza | 15484 Weaver Lake Rd | open |
| Risa's Pastry and Decor | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 7426 Vinewood Ln N | open |
| Rusty Taco Rusty Taco | Quick service | Mexican | 6346 Vinewood Ln N | open |
| Salad Creations | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Healthy / salads / bowls | 13324 Bass Lake Rd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 18755 70th Wy N | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 9404 Dunkirk Ln N | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 9451 Dunkirk Ln N | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 13910 Grove Dr | open |
| TACOS Y CARNITAS LOS GARCIA Food Truck | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 16505 96th Ave N | open |
| Ten Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 16362 County Rd 30 | open |
| Teresa's Mexican Restaurant Teresa's Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 16314 County Rd 30 | open |
| The Corner Pocket Bar & Grille | Casual dining · Quick service · Bar | 6445 Xenium Ln N | open | |
| The Highlander at Rush Creek | Bar | 7801 Troy Ln N | open | |
| The Original Pancake House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 6322 Vinewood Ln N | open |
| The Paint Pub | Bar | Grove | open | |
| Wet Bar | Casual dining · Bar | 7790 Merrimac Ln N | open | |
| Wgs Investments, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7012 E Fish Lake Rd | open | |
| Which Wich Superior Sandwiches | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 9416 Dunkirk Ln N | open |
| White Castle White Castle | Quick service | Burgers · American | 9480 Maple Grove Pkwy | open |
| Ysh, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7088 E Fish Lake Rd | open | |
| Yu Fong | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 6330 Vinewood Ln N | open |
| Z's Smokin Bonez | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 16362 County Road 30 | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 9 | 9 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 13 | 13 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 18 | 18 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 14 | 14 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 16 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 19 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 24 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 25 | 20 | 4 | 14 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 25 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 24 | 18 | 4 | 11 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 24 | 18 | 2 | 13 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 21 | 17 | 2 | 12 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 29 | 27 | 6 | 16 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 29 | 27 | 5 | 18 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 28 | 27 | 6 | 16 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 27 | 26 | 6 | 16 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 27 | 27 | 6 | 16 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 31 | 30 | 7 | 18 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 33 | 32 | 9 | 17 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 30 | 29 | 5 | 18 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 17 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 28 | 26 | 4 | 17 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 27 | 26 | 4 | 17 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 28 | 27 | 5 | 15 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |