BMIE Market 55446

Hennepin County, Minnesota · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	28,247 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,558 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	10,681 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±432 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	18,695 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,757 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$170,625 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,716 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,983 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±179 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$583,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±25,549 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	10.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	15 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 55446
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	4.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+66.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+87.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+87.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+400.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	17 (range 13–20) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.68) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	91 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	92 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	91 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	89 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 55446. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.68, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Minnesota and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 715, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 91 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	91.5	92	40%	+36.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	91.1	91	35%	+31.9
Market Momentum Score	89.1	89	25%	+22.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 92 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	28,247	88	40%	+35.0
Median household income (ACS)	170,625	98	40%	+39.1
Households (ACS)	10,681	87	20%	+17.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 91 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	87.5	90	35%	+31.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	5.3	91	25%	+22.7
Population (ACS)	28,247	88	20%	+17.5
Median household income (ACS)	170,625	98	20%	+19.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 89 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	66.7	93	50%	+46.5
10-year restaurant growth	87.5	90	30%	+26.9
20-year restaurant growth	87.5	79	20%	+15.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (15)

By cuisine

Bakery 3 · Coffee 3 · American 2 · Asian 2 · French 2 · Pizza 2 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Peruvian 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 10 · Bakery 3 · Café 2 · Quick service 2 · Bar 1 · Casual dining 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Annapurna Foods - Indian Groceries	Restaurant (service type not stated)		15755 61st Ave N	open
Caribou Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	4130 Berkshire Ln N Unit E	open
Cousins Subs	Other	Sandwiches	4140 Berkshire Ln N	open
Cowboy Jack's Jack's	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	4120 Berkshire Ln N	open
Crepe and Cake	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea	Bakery · Juice / smoothies · French	3600 Plymouth Blvd	open
Culver's Culver's	Quick service	Burgers · American	4335 Peony Lane	open
ElMar's New York Pizza	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Bakery	15725 37th Ave N Ste 5	open
La Cocina de Ana La Cocina de Ana- Plymouth Oakwood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	15725 37th Ave N Ste 4	open
Leeann Chin	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	4130 Berkshire Ln N	open
Life Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3600 Plymouth Blvd	open
Oyama Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	4130 Berkshire Ln N Ste D	open
The Fox and Pantry	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	15725 37th Ave N	open
Toppers Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Pizza	4130 Berkshire Ln N	open
Tous les Jours Bakery Café - Plymouth Tous les Jours - Willow Grove	Bakery · Café	Bakery · French · Coffee	4130 Berkshire Ln N B	open
Un Rincon Peruano en Minnesota	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Peruvian · Seafood	14340 40th Pl N	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	5	4	1	2	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	4	4	1	1	2	—	NAICS1997
2000	5	5	2	1	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	6	6	2	2	2	—	NAICS1997
2002	7	6	1	3	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	9	8	1	5	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	10	9	2	4	3	—	NAICS2002
2005	12	11	2	6	3	—	NAICS2002
2006	9	8	—	4	4	—	NAICS2002
2007	9	8	—	5	3	—	NAICS2002
2008	8	7	—	4	3	—	NAICS2007
2009	9	8	—	5	3	—	NAICS2007
2010	9	8	—	5	3	—	NAICS2007
2011	8	7	1	3	3	—	NAICS2007
2012	10	9	3	3	3	—	NAICS2012
2013	10	8	2	3	3	1	NAICS2012
2014	11	8	1	4	3	1	NAICS2012
2015	10	8	2	3	3	—	NAICS2012
2016	10	8	2	3	3	—	NAICS2012
2017	8	7	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	10	9	4	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	12	11	3	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	13	10	—	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	10	3	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	17	16	3	11	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	16	15	5	7	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 55446. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
55447	2.6 mi	51	2023
55442	3.0 mi	16	2023
55441	3.6 mi	27	2023
55311	4.7 mi	27	2023
55340	4.8 mi	7	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.