BMIE Market 55412

Hennepin County, Minnesota · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	24,460 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,494 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,966 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±520 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	22,148 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,193 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$68,682 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,465 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	35.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,401 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±109 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$232,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,578 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	3.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	6 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 55412
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	3.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-33.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-14.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-40.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-40.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	9 (range 6–11) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.09) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	50 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	69 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	10 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 55412. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.09, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Minnesota and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 715, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	68.6	69	40%	+27.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56.2	56	35%	+19.7
Market Momentum Score	10.5	10	25%	+2.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	24,460	85	40%	+34.0
Median household income (ACS)	68,682	45	40%	+18.0
Households (ACS)	8,966	83	20%	+16.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-14.3	16	35%	+5.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	2.5	98	25%	+24.6
Population (ACS)	24,460	85	20%	+17.0
Median household income (ACS)	68,682	45	20%	+9.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 10 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-33.3	8	50%	+4.1
10-year restaurant growth	-14.3	16	30%	+4.9
20-year restaurant growth	-40	7	20%	+1.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (32)

By cuisine

American 6 · Bakery 2 · Breakfast 2 · Burgers 2 · Coffee 2 · Dessert 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Seafood 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 20 · Bar 6 · Quick service 4 · Bakery 2 · Casual dining 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Food truck 2 · Café 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Advanced Allstate Restoration	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3201 N 3rd St	open
Brickhouse BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	4330 Lyndale Ave N	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	3200 N Washington Ave	open
Camden Coffee Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1500 44th Ave N	open
Camden Tavern and Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		4601 Lyndale Ave N	open
Corner Coffee Camden Corner Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	4155 N Thomas Ave	open
Cuencano Food Truck	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		3203 N Lyndale Ave	open
Dancing Bear Chocolate	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	4367 N Thomas Ave	open
Domino's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Pizza	2147 44th Ave N	open
EL-Amin's Fish House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Seafood	4414 Humboldt Ave N	open
Emily's F & M Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2124 44th Ave N	open
Feedin The Streetz	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	4151 Fremont Ave N	open
Heal Mpls (herbs, Eats, All Love)	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	4171 Lyndale Ave N	open
Joy Luck Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	4201 Webber Pkwy	open
Mama Donato's Woodfired Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2124 N 44th Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · Breakfast	4435 Lyndale Ave N	open
MotoGP Disco Lounge.	Bar		3801 N Dupont Ave	open
North Side Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4330 Lyndale Ave N	open
Papa's Restaurant & Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4159 Thomas Ave N	open
Sandwich Club MPLS	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Sandwiches	4499 Victory Ave	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	4207 Webber Pkwy	open
Super Usa	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3807 Fremont Ave N	open
T-Shoppe Bar	Bar		4154 Fremont Ave N	open
The Camden Social	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	4601 N Lyndale Ave	open
The Get Down Coffee Co.	Coffee shop	Coffee	1500 44th Ave N	open
The Juice	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	3860 Thomas Ave N	open
Thirsty Whale Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	4149 Fremont Ave N	open
Tori 44	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Noodles / ramen / pho	2203 44th Ave N	open
Victory 44	Casual dining · Bar		2203 44th Ave N	open
Washburn	Bar		3950 N Washburn Ave	open
WENDY'S HOUSE OF SOUL, INC.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	4414 N Humboldt Ave	open
Kids Zone Daycare Center Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4324 Lyndale Ave N	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	12	10	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	8	5	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	10	7	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	12	9	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	15	11	2	8	1	3	NAICS1997
1999	12	9	2	6	1	2	NAICS1997
2000	10	7	1	5	1	2	NAICS1997
2001	12	8	1	6	1	3	NAICS1997
2002	16	12	4	6	2	3	NAICS1997
2003	12	10	2	6	2	2	NAICS2002
2004	13	10	4	6	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	12	10	5	5	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	14	11	6	5	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	10	8	5	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	10	9	6	3	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	10	9	6	3	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	9	8	4	4	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	11	9	3	5	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	10	8	5	3	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	11	7	3	4	—	2	NAICS2012
2014	11	7	3	4	—	2	NAICS2012
2015	9	6	3	3	—	2	NAICS2012
2016	10	7	3	4	—	2	NAICS2012
2017	8	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	10	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	10	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	10	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	10	8	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	11	8	3	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	8	6	—	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 55412. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
55411	1.9 mi	26	2023
55422	2.2 mi	28	2023
55430	2.5 mi	32	2023
55418	3.0 mi	47	2023
55421	3.1 mi	54	2023
55429	3.1 mi	17	2023
55401	3.3 mi	67	2023
55413	3.6 mi	50	2023
55405	3.8 mi	39	2023
55402	3.9 mi	83	2023
55403	4.1 mi	54	2023
55427	4.1 mi	48	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.