BMIE Market 55421

Anoka County, Minnesota · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	30,843 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±652 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	12,726 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±500 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	27,035 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	12,360 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$70,772 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,298 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,279 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±67 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$277,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,633 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	6.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	54 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 55421
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	17.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+1.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+14.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+28.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	59 (range 54–65) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.8 per year, r² 0.52) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	73 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	60 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 55421. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.52, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Minnesota and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 715, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	73.1	73	40%	+29.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59.0	59	35%	+20.7
Market Momentum Score	59.7	60	25%	+14.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	30,843	89	40%	+35.8
Median household income (ACS)	70,772	48	40%	+19.3
Households (ACS)	12,726	90	20%	+18.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	14.9	59	35%	+20.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	17.5	44	25%	+11.0
Population (ACS)	30,843	89	20%	+17.9
Median household income (ACS)	70,772	48	20%	+9.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	1.9	58	50%	+29.2
10-year restaurant growth	14.9	59	30%	+17.6
20-year restaurant growth	50	65	20%	+13.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (119)

By cuisine

American 18 · Pizza 15 · Coffee 12 · Burgers 11 · Mexican 10 · Bakery 9 · Latin American (other) 9 · Asian 8 · Sandwiches 7 · Dessert 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 6 · Chinese 5 · Mediterranean 5 · Middle Eastern 5 · Chicken / wings 4 · Italian 4 · Seafood 4 · BBQ 3 · Indian 3 · Thai 3 · Breakfast 2 · Halal / kosher 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · African 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Greek 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Korean 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 73 · Quick service 18 · Bar 14 · Bakery 10 · Café 10 · Casual dining 10 · Coffee shop 10 · Dessert 9 · Specialty food shop 4 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Buffet 2 · Food truck 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
3 Guys Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Sandwiches	4921 Central Ave NE	open
A & W KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Burgers	5060 Central Ave NE	open
Adama Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	African	3970 Central Ave NE	open
Afandina Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Middle Eastern	4001 University Ave NE	open
Al Baraka Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Halal / kosher · Middle Eastern · Burgers	4110 Central Ave NE	open
Albert's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Burgers	547 40th Ave NE	open
Amos and Amos Barbeque	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	4000 6th St NE	open
Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar	Casual dining · Bar	American	5277 Central Ave. NE	open
Applebee's	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		2800 39th Ave NE	open
Asia Chow Mein	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	4905 Central Ave NE	open
Big Eagle Ice Cream Company	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	834 40th Ave NE	open
Big Marina Grill and Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Casual dining · Bar	Mediterranean · Sandwiches	4755 Central Ave NE	open
Capone’s Italian Specialties	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	2700 39th Ave Ne Ste A118	open
Carbone's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2700 39th Ave NE	open
Caribou Coffee Caribou Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	2700 39th Ave NE	open
Central Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	4633 Central Ave NE	open
Chimney Cake House	Dessert · Coffee shop · Café	Dessert · Coffee	4110 Central Ave NE Ste 205	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	5200 Central Ave NE	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2701 39th Ave NE Ste E128	open
Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	2700 39th Ave NE Ste A116	open
Community Grounds	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	560 40th Ave NE	open
Crafty Crab Crafty Crab - Melbourne	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	4920 Central Ave NE	open
Crescent Moon Pizza Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3701 Central Ave NE	open
Culver's Culver's	Quick service	Burgers · American	4004 Silver Lake Road	open
Dairy Queen (Treat) Dairy Queen	Dessert · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	3959 Central Ave NE	open
Dero Coffee Shop	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	838 40th Ave NE	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	5164 Central Ave	open
Don Goyo Don goyo 2 Bar and Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2301 37th Pl NE	open
Doña Mary	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	4929 Central Ave NE	open
Dong Yang Oriental Foods & Deli menu	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Korean · Asian	735 45th Ave NE	open
Dosa South Indian Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Asian	765 53rd Ave NE	open
Dragon House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	3970 Central Ave NE	open
Dulceria La Central y mas	Dessert	Dessert	4220 Central Ave NE	open
El Taco Loco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4220 Central Ave NE	open
Espresso Partners	Coffee shop	Coffee	5155 E River Rd Ste 411	open
Fat Nat's Eggs St Anthony Village	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	2700 39th Ave NE	open
Fiestas Independencia Ecuador	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4005 Central Ave NE	open
Filfillah Mediterranean Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Middle Eastern	4301 Central Ave NE	open
Five Hole Sports Bar and Grill	Bar · Casual dining		3701 Stinson Blvd NE	open
Fixx Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	4028 Central Ave NE	open
Flameburger	Casual dining	Burgers · American	4800 Central Ave NE	open
Forgotten Star Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom · Bar		38 Northern Stacks Dr	open
Godfather's Pizza Express	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · American	3701 Central Ave NE	open
Great Moon Buffet	Buffet	Chinese · Asian	4029 Central Ave NE	open
Gyros King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Halal / kosher	4633 Central Ave NE	open
Haagen Dazs	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	5400 Main St NE	open
Hangar 45	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	875 45th Ave NE	open
Heights Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	4925 Central Ave NE	open
Heights Coffee Bar	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	850 40th Ave NE	open
Hook Fish & Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Seafood · Chicken / wings	3854 Central Ave NE	open
Hookah Kingdom	Bar		4921 Central Ave NE	open
IHOP	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	3701 Stinson Blvd	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	5300 Central Ave NE	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	4955 Central Ave	open
Karta Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	3800 Central Ave NE	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	332 40th Ave NE	open
La Casita La Casita Mexican Restaurant - Columbia Heights, MN	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	5085 Central Ave NE	open
Las Americas Ecuadorian Bakery	Bakery	Bakery · Latin American (other)	4355 Central Ave NE	open
Latin Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4005 Central Ave NE	open
Leeann Chin Leeann Chin	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	2603 39th Ave NE	open
Little Caesars Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4872 Central Ave NE	open
Los Cactus	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4905 Central Ave NE	open
Magic Food	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Burgers	4901 University Ave NE	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	4605 Central Ave NE	open
Mekong River	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	4022 Central Ave NE	open
Micholandia Michoacan a pedir de boca	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Mexican	861 45th Ave NE	open
Monte Horeb Church	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1555 40th Ave NE	open
Mr Fuego Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · BBQ	4001 University Ave NE	open
New York Gyro New York Gyro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Greek · German / Eastern European	4621 Central Ave NE	open
Noodles & Company Noodles & Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Noodles / ramen / pho · American	5220 Central Ave NE	open
Nothing Bundt Cakes Nothing Bundt Cakes	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	2701 39th Avenue Northeast Suite E116	open
Panaderia Loma Bonita 3	Bakery	Bakery	855 45th Ave NE	open
Papa John's Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5098 Central Ave NE	open
Paradise Biryani Pointe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	765 53rd Ave NE	open
Pei Wei Asian Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	2603 39th Ave NE	open
Phoever	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Thai · Asian	4022 Central Ave NE	open
Pizza 5 Dollar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4633 Central Ave NE	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5220 Central Ave NE #220 # 220	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3854 Central Ave NE	open
Pizza Man	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	4045 Central Ave NE	open
Rail Werks Brewing Depot	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		4055 Central Ave NE	open
Restaurante Hondureño 504	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual · Bar	Pizza · Latin American (other) · Healthy / salads / bowls	3701 Central Ave NE	open
Retro Bakery - Local Delivery Only	Bakery	Bakery	4110 Central Ave NE	open
Ricky's Embers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	5400 Central Ave NE	open
Roman's Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	513 40th Ave NE	open
Sah Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5085 Central Ave NE	open
Sarna's Classic Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3939 University Ave NE	open
Silverbird Roasting Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other	American	3901 Foss Rd	open
Silverwood Park Cafe	Café	Coffee	2500 County Rd E	open
Smashburger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	3900 Silver Lake Rd NE	open
Sofra Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Middle Eastern	3900 Silver Lake Rd NE	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4910 Central Ave NE	open
Starbar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4005 Central Ave NE	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Pizza · Coffee · Bakery	5300 Central Ave NE	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	3704 Silver Lake Rd NE	open
Steele & Hops	Casual dining · Bar	American	2800 39th Ave NE	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	4757 Central Ave NE	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	4900 Central Ave NE	open
Taco way	Food truck		5151 Central Ave NE	open
Tasty Pizza Tasty Pizza - Hangar 45	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian · American	875 45th Ave NE	open
The Dive Sports Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	3701 Stinson Blvd NE	open
The Hyderabad Indian Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	765 53RD Ave	open
The Jungle	Bar	Seafood	500 Summit St NE	open
The Unofficial	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	3701 Stinson Blvd	open
Thyme Machine Thyme Machine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern	4801 Central Ave NE	open
Thyme Machine Mn	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Seafood	4707 Central Ave NE	open
Tikka Masala Grill & Buffet	Buffet	Indian · Asian	4811 Central Ave NE	open
Uprising Bread Company	Bakery	Bakery	4301 Benjamin St NE	open
Waddup Dough!	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	2700 39th Ave NE	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	5050 Central Avenue Ne	open
Wendy's	Quick service		3704 Silver Lake Rd NE	open
White Castle White Castle	Quick service	Burgers · American	5055 Central Ave NE #270919	open
WorldWide Cellars, Inc.	Winery / distillery / taproom		5320 Main St NE	open
Yafa Hookah Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4110 Central Ave NE	open
Yummy Bites	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	4230 Central Ave NE	open
Basha Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean	4920 Central Ave NE	closed
Hookahkingdom1inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4919 Central Ave NE	closed
Rubber Research Elastomerics	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4500 Main St NE	closed
Unclaimed Freight Discount	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4801 Central Ave Ne Ste 200	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	44	42	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	44	41	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	47	43	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	48	44	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	44	39	15	21	2	3	NAICS1997
1999	49	42	15	24	2	4	NAICS1997
2000	49	43	16	25	2	3	NAICS1997
2001	51	45	17	25	3	3	NAICS1997
2002	42	38	13	22	3	2	NAICS1997
2003	41	36	12	22	2	2	NAICS2002
2004	45	40	15	23	2	2	NAICS2002
2005	48	41	17	21	3	2	NAICS2002
2006	43	37	13	22	2	2	NAICS2002
2007	45	39	16	19	3	1	NAICS2002
2008	44	39	16	19	3	—	NAICS2007
2009	49	44	19	20	4	1	NAICS2007
2010	51	46	17	24	4	1	NAICS2007
2011	47	42	17	21	4	1	NAICS2007
2012	51	47	19	23	4	—	NAICS2012
2013	51	47	17	24	4	—	NAICS2012
2014	47	44	18	21	4	—	NAICS2012
2015	51	47	22	19	5	—	NAICS2012
2016	60	55	26	24	5	—	NAICS2012
2017	59	54	20	28	6	—	NAICS2017
2018	58	53	20	28	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	56	52	20	28	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	58	54	20	30	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	59	55	19	31	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	56	53	17	30	6	—	NAICS2022
2023	57	54	17	30	7	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 55421. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
55418	2.1 mi	47	2023
55430	2.6 mi	32	2023
55412	3.1 mi	6	2023
55432	3.2 mi	40	2023
55112	3.5 mi	54	2023
55413	3.7 mi	50	2023
55411	4.2 mi	26	2023
55429	4.5 mi	17	2023
55401	4.6 mi	67	2023
55444	4.7 mi	10	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.