BMIE Market 56560
Clay County, Minnesota · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 44,405 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±201 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 18,941 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±267 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 40,766 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 16,298 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $75,406 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,485 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 32.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,035 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±50 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $253,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,297 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 157.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 49 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 56560 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 10.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -2.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +6.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +11.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +11.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 54 (range 50–58) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.54) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 64 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 80 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 65 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 36 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 56560. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.54, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Minnesota and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 715, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 64 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 79.9 | 80 | 40% | +31.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 65.2 | 65 | 35% | +22.8 |
| Market Momentum Score | 35.9 | 36 | 25% | +9.0 |
Consumer Market Score: 80 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 44,405 | 95 | 40% | +38.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 75,406 | 56 | 40% | +22.3 |
| Households (ACS) | 18,941 | 97 | 20% | +19.4 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 65 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 6.5 | 51 | 35% | +17.9 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 11.0 | 68 | 25% | +17.1 |
| Population (ACS) | 44,405 | 95 | 20% | +19.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 75,406 | 56 | 20% | +11.1 |
Market Momentum Score: 36 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -2 | 25 | 50% | +12.6 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 6.5 | 51 | 30% | +15.3 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 11.4 | 40 | 20% | +8.1 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (117)
By cuisine
American 16 · Coffee 15 · Pizza 14 · Sandwiches 12 · Burgers 9 · Mexican 8 · Dessert 7 · Bakery 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · BBQ 4 · Italian 4 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Asian 2 · Breakfast 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · African 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Indian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 66 · Quick service 26 · Bar 24 · Café 11 · Coffee shop 11 · Dessert 11 · Casual dining 9 · Bakery 6 · Other 4 · Specialty food shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Buffet 2 · Delivery-focused 2 · Food truck 2 · Catering 1 · Fast casual 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5th Element Cafe & Handmade Boutique | Café | Coffee | 106 5th St S | open |
| 7 Brew Coffee | Coffee shop | Coffee | 2401 8th Street South | open |
| Altony's Italian Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Italian · Coffee | 3102 Highway 10 E | open |
| Altony's Italian Cafe And Wine Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 800 Holiday Dr Ste 176 | open |
| Antojitos mexicanos doña lili | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 20 6th St S | open |
| Arby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 3108 Highway 10 E | open |
| Black Cat Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 801 Main Ave Ste 102 | open |
| Boulder Tap House - Moorhead | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Burgers | 3333 U S 10 Frontage Rd | open |
| Brickhouse Taverns | Casual dining · Bar | 937 37th AVE S | open | |
| Buddys Parfait | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 410 19th St S | open |
| Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings | Bar · Casual dining | American | 2201 1st Avenue North | open |
| Burger King | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 725 14TH St S | open |
| Burger King | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 100 21st St N | open | |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2412 Eighth St South | open |
| Burger Time | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1620 1st Ave N | open |
| Caribou Coffee Caribou Coffee | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 101 11th St S | open |
| Caribou Coffee | Coffee shop | Coffee | 2605 8th St S | open |
| Caribou Coffee Caribou Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 950 40th Ave S | open |
| Casey's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 203 21st St S | open |
| Casey's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 707 37th Ave S | open |
| Casey's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1702 30th Ave S | open |
| Casey's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3400 12th Ave S | open |
| China Buffet | Buffet | Chinese · Asian | 3246 US-10 East | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 3262 US-10 E | open |
| Crate & Compass | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 212 S 8th St | open | |
| Crave Burger Co. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 2501 8th St S | open |
| Dairy Queen Dairy Queen | Dessert · Quick service | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 24 S 8th St | open |
| Dairy Queen Dairy Queen | Quick service · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 802 30th Ave S 802 30th Ave S | open |
| Dave's Southside Tap | Bar · Casual dining | 803 Belsly Blvd | open | |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 935 37th Ave S | open |
| Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused | Pizza · Chicken / wings | 207 21st St S | open |
| Duane's House of Pizza - Moorhead Duane's House of Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Pizza · Italian · American | 2223 Center Ave | open |
| Erbert & Gerbert's Erbert & Gerbert's | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 212 8th St S | open |
| Everest Tikka House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 420 Center Ave | open |
| Evergreen Garden Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3246 Highway 10 E | open | |
| Fantasies in Frosting | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | 207 17th St S | open |
| Felton Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Café · Bar | Coffee | 1304 44th Ave S | open |
| Fryn' Pan Family Restaurant | Other | Sandwiches | 2920 Highway 10 E | open |
| Fryn' Pan Family Restaurant Fryn' Pan East 10th St. | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 2920 Highway 10 E | open |
| Fuel Haus | Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café | Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 640 Center Ave | open |
| Grand Junction Grand Junction Grilled Subs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches · American | 435 Main Ave | open |
| Hardee's | Quick service | 3108 Highway 10 E | open | |
| Hardee's Hardee's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 3402 28th Ave S | open |
| Harold's On Main | Bar | 1330 Main Ave | open | |
| Holiday Mall Noodles & Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 922 Holiday Drive | open | |
| Inside Edge Nutrition | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3501 S 8th St | open | |
| Jay's Smokin' BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 303 30th St N | open |
| Jay's Smokin' BBQ - Catering | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering | BBQ | open | |
| Jc Chumleys | Bar | 1608 Main Ave | open | |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 814 30th Avenue S | open |
| Jimmy John's Jimmy John's | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 920 Holiday Dr | open |
| Jolene's Cakes and Cupcakes | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 3830 41st Ave S | open |
| Junkyard Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 1416 1st Ave N | open | |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 719 Main Avenue | open |
| Kip Moore | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 403 Center Ave | open | |
| Kreps Family Farm | Bakery | Bakery | 510 Center Ave | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 800 Holiday Dr Ste 176 | open |
| Lockwood's Tavern & Grill at The Meadows GC | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 401 34th St S | open |
| Love Bug Farm MN | Dessert | 15856 50th St S | open | |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 220 8th St S | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 3009 Hwy 10 E | open |
| Mick's Office | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 10 8th St S | open |
| Moorhead 8th St Erbert & Gerbert's | Quick service | Sandwiches | 212 8th St. S. | open |
| Moorhead Freez | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 410 19th St S | open |
| Murphy's Pub Moorhead | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 808 30th Ave S | open |
| Newroz Kebab | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Middle Eastern | 2501 8th St S | open |
| Noodles & Company Noodles & Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Noodles / ramen / pho · American | 922 Holiday Dr | open |
| Northsider | Bar | 309 N 17th St | open | |
| O'Leary's Pub & Grill | Bar | 808 30th Ave S | open | |
| Pancheros Mexican Grill - Moorhead Pancheros Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 803 Belsly Blvd | open |
| Papa Johns Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 716 Main Ave | open |
| Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3316 US-10 | open |
| Papa Murphy's Papa Murphy's - Jefferson City | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2509 8th St S Suite 500 | open |
| Perkins Restaurant & Bakery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 3005 Highway 10 E | open |
| Pico Food Truck | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | open | |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 102 7th St S | open |
| Pizza Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2902 Highway 10 E | open |
| Pizza Patrol | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 104 4th St S | open |
| Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's | Quick service | open | ||
| Pretzel Maker | Other · Dessert · Quick service | Dessert | 420 Center Ave | open |
| Qdoba Mexican Grill Qdoba | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 910 Holiday Dr Moorhead | open |
| Rf Hospitality, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3027 S Frontage Rd | open | |
| Rustica Eatery & Tavern | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 315 Main Ave | open |
| Ruth's Food Cart - First Congregational UCC Moorhead | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | 406 S 8th St | open | |
| Ryan Alford Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 800 Holiday Dr Ste 176 | open | |
| Salad Makers | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Healthy / salads / bowls | 1820 1st Ave N | open |
| Shih Restaurant Group Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 625 30th Ave S | open | |
| Sifted & Sweet Baking Co | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 800 Holiday Dr Ste 176 | open |
| Sk Food Specialty Processing | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | 4210 US-75 N | open | |
| Snap Dragon Asian Buffet | Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 625 30th Ave S | open |
| Sol Ave. Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Sandwiches | 1408 1st Ave N | open |
| Starbird Lounge | Bar | 817 Center Ave | open | |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 3301 US-10 E | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 805 37th Ave S | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 906 Holiday Dr | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 903 Main Ave | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 805 30th Avenue S Suite 104 | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 201 34th St N | open |
| Swing Barrel Brewing | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 814 Center Ave | open | |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 321 South 8th Street | open |
| Taco John's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 801 Center Ave | open |
| Thai Orchid | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai | 420 Center Ave | open |
| The Backyard Grilling Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 303 30th St N | open | |
| The Clubhouse Indoor Golf Lounge | Bar | 805 30th Ave S | open | |
| The Golden Spoon Tea Cottage & Gathering Place | Café · Juice, smoothie, tea | Coffee · Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies | 1720 N 8th Ave | open |
| The Red Raven | Coffee shop | Coffee | 106 7th St S | open |
| The Sanctuary Bar & Bistro | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 9816 21st St N | open | |
| The Spice Grille | Casual dining · Bar | Caribbean · African | 28 Center Mall Ave | open |
| Third Drop Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · Sandwiches | 115 4th St S | open |
| Tutti Frutti Frozen Yogurt | Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies | 908 Holiday Dr | open |
| Twenty Below Coffee Co | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 600 8th St S | open |
| Usher's House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 700 1st Ave N | open |
| VFW Post 1223, Moorhead | Bar | 2223 US-10 E | open | |
| Vic's Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 1608 Main Ave SE | open | |
| Vic's Bar and Grill | Bar | Latin American (other) · Mexican | 52 US-10 | open |
| Village Inn Village Inn Restaurants | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 940 Holiday Dr | open |
| Jl Beers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 2902 Highway 10 E | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 50 | 44 | — | — | — | 6 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 46 | 41 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 43 | 37 | — | — | — | 6 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 56 | 48 | — | — | — | 8 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 53 | 42 | 14 | 20 | 8 | 7 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 53 | 42 | 13 | 21 | 8 | 7 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 48 | 39 | 13 | 20 | 6 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 47 | 38 | 11 | 20 | 7 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 54 | 44 | 14 | 23 | 7 | 7 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 28 | 4 | 10 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 52 | 39 | 13 | 23 | 3 | 10 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 47 | 37 | 14 | 21 | 2 | 8 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 48 | 40 | 12 | 23 | 5 | 6 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 53 | 43 | 12 | 24 | 7 | 7 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 52 | 43 | 13 | 25 | 5 | 6 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 49 | 40 | 13 | 22 | 5 | 6 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 53 | 43 | 16 | 23 | 4 | 7 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 53 | 44 | 17 | 23 | 4 | 8 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 50 | 44 | 15 | 24 | 5 | 6 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 52 | 46 | 17 | 23 | 5 | 6 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 50 | 43 | 15 | 24 | 4 | 6 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 55 | 46 | 14 | 27 | 5 | 8 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 54 | 45 | 13 | 27 | 5 | 9 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 56 | 49 | 15 | 29 | 5 | 7 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 58 | 50 | 19 | 26 | 5 | 7 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 56 | 50 | 16 | 29 | 5 | 6 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 58 | 51 | 17 | 30 | 4 | 6 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 56 | 49 | 16 | 28 | 5 | 5 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 56 | 49 | 19 | 25 | 5 | 6 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 57 | 49 | 13 | 30 | 6 | 7 | NAICS2022 |