BMIE Market 60041

Lake County, Illinois · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,024 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±945 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,706 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±500 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,250 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,823 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$93,396 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,365 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$970 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±253 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$245,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,684 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	9.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	4 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 60041
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	4.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-20.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	5 (range 3–6) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.42) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	78 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	54 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 60041. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.42, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Illinois and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,016, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	72.2	72	40%	+28.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	78.2	78	35%	+27.4
Market Momentum Score	53.8	54	25%	+13.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,024	69	40%	+27.7
Median household income (ACS)	93,396	76	40%	+30.5
Households (ACS)	3,706	70	20%	+14.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	33.3	73	35%	+25.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	4.4	94	25%	+23.4
Population (ACS)	9,024	69	20%	+13.8
Median household income (ACS)	93,396	76	20%	+15.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	33.3	73	30%	+22.0
20-year restaurant growth	33.3	54	20%	+10.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (21)

By cuisine

American 4 · BBQ 1 · Coffee 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Italian 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Bar 13 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 7 · Casual dining 5 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Café 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Anders Brewery	Brewery / taproom		26075 Cooney Island Rd	open
Big E's	Bar		800 Rollins Rd	open
Dwight house pub	Bar		rt12	open
Fanella's Pizza & Pub	Bar · Casual dining	Pizza	26842 IL-134	open
Greg's House of Beer, Bacon, Wings & Debauchery	Bar		Hunt Ave	open
Hilltop Lounge	Bar		25944 W Rollins Rd	open
J's Sports Bar & Grill J's Sports Bar & Grill	Bar · Casual dining		816 Grand Ave	open
Kross Inn	Casual dining · Bar		26185 W Grand Ave	open
Lakeshore Lounge	Bar		25526 W Lake Shore Dr	open
Miller's Dog N Suds Drive In	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	517 Washington St	open
Porch Beers	Bar		26257 W Wooster Lake Ave	open
Rancho los Torres	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	36532 N Fairfield Rd	open
Rookies Sports Bar & Grill Rookies Restaurant and Bar	Bar · Casual dining	American	26440 W Wooster Lake Dr	open
Roy's Long Lake Inn, Home of Nascar	Bar		25368 Main St	open
Sara Lee Bakery Group	Restaurant (service type not stated)		33841 N Fischer Dr	open
Smiles & Sass	Food truck · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Hot dogs · Sandwiches	Inside Home Depot, 2731 Hartigan Rd	open
Stormy Monday	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		36930 N Stanton Point Rd	open
The Bandits' Smoke Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	35366 US-12	open
The Black Dog Cafe The Black Dog Tavern	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	25947 W Highpoint Rd	open
Yvonne's the Other Place	Bar		25376 W Main St	open
Zaza's Steakhouse and Italian Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Italian · American	69 Washington St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	11	5	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1995	9	5	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	15	8	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1997	14	8	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1998	12	6	4	2	—	6	NAICS1997
1999	8	3	2	1	—	4	NAICS1997
2000	8	3	2	1	—	4	NAICS1997
2001	10	3	2	1	—	6	NAICS1997
2002	8	2	1	1	—	5	NAICS1997
2003	9	3	2	1	—	5	NAICS2002
2004	8	1	—	1	—	6	NAICS2002
2005	6	1	—	1	—	4	NAICS2002
2006	7	2	1	1	—	4	NAICS2002
2007	7	2	1	1	—	4	NAICS2002
2008	6	2	1	1	—	2	NAICS2007
2009	8	2	1	1	—	2	NAICS2007
2010	9	4	2	2	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	7	2	—	2	—	2	NAICS2007
2012	10	2	—	2	—	4	NAICS2012
2013	11	3	1	2	—	4	NAICS2012
2014	11	3	1	2	—	4	NAICS2012
2015	12	4	2	2	—	5	NAICS2012
2016	12	3	2	1	—	6	NAICS2012
2017	12	4	—	—	—	6	NAICS2017
2018	12	4	—	—	—	6	NAICS2017
2019	11	4	—	—	—	6	NAICS2017
2020	11	5	3	—	—	5	NAICS2017
2021	10	4	—	—	—	5	NAICS2017
2022	11	4	—	—	—	6	NAICS2022
2023	10	4	—	—	—	5	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 60041. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
60020	2.0 mi	31	2023
60073	2.8 mi	72	2023
60051	3.7 mi	31	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.