BMIE Market 60051
McHenry County, Illinois · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 24,621 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,007 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 10,054 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±463 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 25,192 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 10,202 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $100,762 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,207 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 44.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,637 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±88 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $278,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,398 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 33.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 31 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 60051 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 6.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +47.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +19.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +675.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +1,450.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 28 (range 22–34) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.09) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 79 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 84 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 71 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 83 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 60051. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.09, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Illinois and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,016, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 79 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 83.7 | 84 | 40% | +33.5 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 70.6 | 71 | 35% | +24.7 |
| Market Momentum Score | 82.9 | 83 | 25% | +20.7 |
Consumer Market Score: 84 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 24,621 | 85 | 40% | +34.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 100,762 | 81 | 40% | +32.6 |
| Households (ACS) | 10,054 | 86 | 20% | +17.2 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 71 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 19.2 | 62 | 35% | +21.8 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 12.6 | 62 | 25% | +15.5 |
| Population (ACS) | 24,621 | 85 | 20% | +17.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 100,762 | 81 | 20% | +16.3 |
Market Momentum Score: 83 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 47.6 | 89 | 50% | +44.4 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 19.2 | 62 | 30% | +18.7 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 675 | 99 | 20% | +19.8 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (83)
By cuisine
American 12 · Coffee 9 · Dessert 7 · Sandwiches 7 · Pizza 6 · Mexican 5 · Bakery 4 · Burgers 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Chicken / wings 3 · Asian 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Italian 2 · Japanese 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Sushi 2 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · French 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 35 · Bar 29 · Quick service 16 · Casual dining 12 · Dessert 9 · Café 7 · Bakery 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Fast casual 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Other 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Bar Blues Bar | Bar | 1512 Hickory St | open | |
| All Inn Pub & Grub | Casual dining · Bar | 1502 Jones Ave | open | |
| Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 1700 N Richmond Rd | open |
| BBQ King Smokehouse Food Truck | Food truck | open | ||
| BIGGBY COFFEE Biggby | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 3523 Diamond Dr | open |
| Bru Crew Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | American | 614 Bald Knob Rd | open |
| Buffalo Wild Wings | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Chicken / wings | 3343 Shoppers Dr | open |
| Buona | Quick service · Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 31500 N US Highway 12 | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2180 N Richmond Rd | open |
| Butch's Tiki Bar | Bar | 6001 Crosswind Ct | open | |
| Cabana's On the Chain | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 614 Bald Knob Rd | open |
| Casey's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1901 N Richmond Rd | open |
| Catch 22 Tap and Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 4000 N Johnsburg Rd A | open | |
| Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 1911 N Richmond Rd | open |
| China Town | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 2054 N Richmond Rd | open |
| Chinabar | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3312 Chapel Hill Rd | open | |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 2304 N Richmond Rd | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 27400 IL RTE 120 | open |
| Countrytime Creamery | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 3709 Miller Rd | open |
| Cousins Subs | Quick service | 1720 N Richmond Rd | open | |
| Dairy Queen (Treat) Dairy Queen | Dessert · Quick service | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 2640 Schaid Ct | open |
| Dark Horse Saloon | Casual dining · Bar | 3400 N Richmond Rd | open | |
| Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 2208 N Richmond Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 209 W Rand Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 2911 North Richmond Road | open |
| Epic Deli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 2616 Schaid Ct | open |
| Firewood | Bar | 2314 W Il Route 120 | open | |
| Good Mornings | Coffee shop · Café | Breakfast · Coffee | 3622 Chapel Hill Rd | open |
| Grandma Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 3312 N Chapel Hill Rd | open |
| Grandma's Wine Bar | Bar · Casual dining | 28924 W IL Route 120 | open | |
| Halftime Bar & Grill | Bar · Casual dining | 2405 W Johnsburg Rd | open | |
| Harbor Lights | Bar | 1009 Bay Rd | open | |
| Henny Penny Family Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1709 W IL Route 120 | open |
| Jenny's Restaurant & Lounge | Bar | 2500 N Chapel Hill Rd | open | |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 1787 N. Richmond Road | open |
| Jersey Mike's Subs | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 27450 IL Route 120 | open |
| Johnsburg Tavern & Sweetwater | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3622 Chapel Hill Rd Ste 2 | open | |
| Kings Den | Bar | 28975 W Il Route 120 | open | |
| Kujo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 5303 Wilmot Rd | open |
| La Familia | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 103 Rand Rd | open |
| Lakeview Lounge | Casual dining · Bar | 4218 N Johnsburg Rd | open | |
| Le Vichyssois | Restaurant (service type not stated) | French | 220 Rand Rd | open |
| Legacy Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2894 Commerce Dr | open | |
| Mackey's Hideout | Bar | 2601 S River Rd | open | |
| Margaritas Restaurant Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2314 W Il Route 120 | open | |
| Mary's Hideaway Bar & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4000 N Johnsburg Rd Ste A | open | |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1904 Richmond Rd | open |
| Meg’s Den Neighborhood Bar | Bar · Casual dining | 906 Porten Rd | open | |
| My Couch, In Front of The TV | Bar | 28806 Bakers Dr | open | |
| Oak Park Lounge | Bar | 801 Oak Grove Rd | open | |
| Olive Garden Italian Restaurant Olive Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Italian · Healthy / salads / bowls | 3451 Shoppers Dr | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Fast casual | Bakery · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls | 1850 N Richmond Rd | open |
| Papa Saverio's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1777 N Richmond Rd | open |
| Pizza House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4216 N Johnsburg Rd | open |
| Red House Bar | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Coffee · American | 620 W Rand Rd | open |
| Riverside Chocolate Factory | Dessert | Dessert | 2102 IL-120 | open |
| Rockin The Chain | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 801 N River Rd | open |
| Rosatis Of Lakemoor | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian · American | 28948 W IL-120 | open |
| SN OASIS | Café | Coffee | 1611 Bay Rd | open |
| Sports Page North | Bar | 2314 IL-120 | open | |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 2318 Richmond Road | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 31600 Us Highway 12 | open |
| Stella's Place | Café | Coffee | 1720 N Richmond Rd | open |
| Stucky's Bar And Grille | Bar | 4000 N Johnsburg Rd | open | |
| Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 3661 W. Grand Street | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 2070 N Richmond Rd | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 3801 Running Brook Farm Blvd | open |
| Sugar Buzz | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | 2210 W IL Route 120 | open |
| Sunnyside Tavern | Bar | 4206 N Johnsburg Rd | open | |
| Sushi King Sushi King | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 2078 N Richmond Rd #5419 | open |
| Sweet Melissa's Pizza & Pub | Bar · Casual dining | Pizza | 134 W Rand Rd | open |
| Taco Bell | Quick service | 27625 W Il Route 120 | open | |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 27625 W IL-120 | open |
| Tasty Tumblers | Dessert | 2808 IL-120 | open | |
| The Longshot | Bar | 615 IL-120 | open | |
| The Wave Bar & Grill | Bar | 3309 Chapel Hill Rd | open | |
| Tondaonaroll Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2308 N Richmond Rd | open | |
| UpRooted Restaurant and Bar | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 2816 IL-120 | open | |
| Vickie's Place | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American · Burgers | 1211 N River Rd | open |
| Walmart Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 3801 Running Brook Farm Blvd | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2433 N Richmond Rd | open |
| Wingstop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 27450 IL-120 | open |
| Yogeez | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 2914 Commerce Dr | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 2001 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 21 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 6 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 24 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 23 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 6 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 14 | 3 | 5 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 32 | 26 | 7 | 16 | 3 | 6 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 31 | 24 | 10 | 12 | 2 | 7 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 32 | 25 | 11 | 12 | 2 | 7 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 34 | 27 | 11 | 15 | 1 | 7 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 33 | 23 | 11 | 12 | — | 9 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 11 | — | 9 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 36 | 24 | 10 | 13 | — | 11 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 33 | 21 | 6 | 14 | — | 11 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 35 | 24 | 9 | 13 | — | 10 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 40 | 29 | 9 | 17 | 3 | 10 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 15 | 5 | 10 | NAICS2022 |