BMIE Market 60096

Lake County, Illinois · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,527 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±88 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,854 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±232 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,897 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,755 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$95,601 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,810 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	53.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,313 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±175 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$249,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,339 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	4.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	10 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 60096
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+42.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+42.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+66.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+42.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	14 (range 11–17) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.56) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	73 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	82 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 60096. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.56, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Illinois and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,016, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	70.2	70	40%	+28.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	68.8	69	35%	+24.1
Market Momentum Score	82.2	82	25%	+20.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,527	65	40%	+25.8
Median household income (ACS)	95,601	78	40%	+31.1
Households (ACS)	2,854	66	20%	+13.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	42.9	78	35%	+27.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	15.3	52	25%	+12.9
Population (ACS)	6,527	65	20%	+12.9
Median household income (ACS)	95,601	78	20%	+15.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	42.9	88	50%	+44.1
10-year restaurant growth	42.9	78	30%	+23.5
20-year restaurant growth	66.7	73	20%	+14.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (27)

By cuisine

American 6 · Coffee 3 · Bakery 2 · Hot dogs 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Mexican 2 · Pizza 2 · Dessert 1 · Greek 1 · Indian 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Bar 9 · Casual dining 4 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Quick service 2

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Cindy's Petite Sweets	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1700 7th St	open
Deck Of Flavors - Bubble Tea & Frozen Treats	Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	1217 Sheridan Rd	open
Delhi Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	1016 Sheridan Rd	open
Droopy Dogs	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Hot dogs · Greek · American	1275 Sheridan Rd	open
Harbor Brewing Co	Brewery / taproom		811 Sheridan Rd	open
Harbor Brewing Co. Lakefront Biergarten	Brewery / taproom · Bar		701 North Point Dr	open
He Brews Coffee Shop	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	211 Sheridan Rd	open
J,Jireh's Cafe and Gift Shop	Coffee shop	Coffee	1704 7th St	open
Joe's Place	Bar		728 Sheridan Rd	open
Kimmie Rose's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1211 Sheridan Rd	open
Lighthouse Pub And Grill	Bar		935 Sheridan Rd	open
Linda's Mexican American Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · American	1707 7th St	open
Living Full Kombucha	Brewery / taproom · Juice, smoothie, tea · Bar	Juice / smoothies	811 Sheridan Rd	open
Other Place Pizza at the Lighthouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	935 Sheridan Rd	open
Roma Pizza & Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	801 Sheridan Rd	open
Sophistikated Smokes Lounge	Bar		1275 Sheridan Rd Ste L	open
State Farm Insurance Companies	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1145 Sheridan Rd	open
Stone Creek Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	206 Sheridan Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	644 Sheridan Rd	open
The Tavern On Sheridan	Casual dining · Bar		728 Sheridan Rd	open
The Tropics	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	301 North Point Dr	open
Timeout Sport Pub	Bar		1706 7th St	open
Tipsi Monkey	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1016 Sheridan Rd	open
Wild Crab Boil	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1039 Sheridan Rd	open
Wild Rose Family Restaurant & Banquet Hall	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1707 7th St	open
Winthrop Harper Vape Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1275 Sheridan Rd Ste J	open
Yacht Dawgs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	701 N Point Dr	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	7	5	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	8	6	3	3	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	7	6	4	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	8	6	3	3	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	10	7	4	3	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	14	10	5	5	—	3	NAICS1997
2003	12	6	3	3	—	4	NAICS2002
2004	13	8	4	3	1	3	NAICS2002
2005	13	8	4	2	2	3	NAICS2002
2006	11	6	3	2	1	3	NAICS2002
2007	13	8	4	3	1	3	NAICS2002
2008	11	7	4	3	—	3	NAICS2007
2009	9	6	3	3	—	3	NAICS2007
2010	10	6	4	2	—	4	NAICS2007
2011	9	7	5	2	—	2	NAICS2007
2012	10	8	6	2	—	2	NAICS2012
2013	9	7	5	2	—	2	NAICS2012
2014	9	8	6	2	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	10	9	7	2	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	10	9	7	2	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	11	10	8	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	8	7	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	11	10	6	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	11	10	6	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	11	6	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	15	12	6	6	—	3	NAICS2022
2023	14	10	5	5	—	4	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 60096. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
60099	2.3 mi	33	2023
60075	4.1 mi	1	2006
53158	4.2 mi	25	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.