BMIE Market 60156
McHenry County, Illinois · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 28,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±51 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 9,692 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±296 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 28,987 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 9,894 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $117,151 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,438 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 36.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,689 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±127 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $321,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,706 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 10.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 29 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 60156 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 7.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +31.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +20.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +163.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +314.3% DERIVED: 2000 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 32 (range 28–36) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.62) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 82 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 88 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 76 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 79 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 60156. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.62, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Illinois and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,016, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 82 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 88.0 | 88 | 40% | +35.2 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 75.9 | 76 | 35% | +26.6 |
| Market Momentum Score | 79.1 | 79 | 25% | +19.8 |
Consumer Market Score: 88 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 28,800 | 88 | 40% | +35.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 117,151 | 89 | 40% | +35.8 |
| Households (ACS) | 9,692 | 85 | 20% | +17.0 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 76 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 20.8 | 64 | 35% | +22.4 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 10.1 | 72 | 25% | +18.0 |
| Population (ACS) | 28,800 | 88 | 20% | +17.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 117,151 | 89 | 20% | +17.9 |
Market Momentum Score: 79 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 31.8 | 84 | 50% | +41.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 20.8 | 64 | 30% | +19.2 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 163.6 | 90 | 20% | +17.9 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (56)
By cuisine
Bakery 10 · American 9 · Pizza 6 · Asian 5 · Coffee 5 · Dessert 5 · Italian 5 · Mexican 5 · Burgers 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Japanese 3 · Chinese 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Hot dogs 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Noodles / ramen / pho 2 · Sushi 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Filipino 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 26 · Quick service 12 · Bakery 11 · Dessert 9 · Bar 5 · Casual dining 4 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Catering 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 251 Pub, Inc. Dba Woods Creek Tavern | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 251 N Randall Rd | open | |
| 5 o'clock Bake Shoppe | Bakery | Bakery | 3 Raxburg Ct | open |
| Alfredo's Pizza & Pasta | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 4560 Algonquin Rd | open |
| Amba Investment Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 471 N Randall Rd | open | |
| Arby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 320 N Randall Rd | open |
| Bistro Wasabi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 4590 Algonquin Rd | open |
| Cappy's Cantina | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | open | |
| Chen Chinese Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 270 N Randall Rd | open |
| Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 339 N Randall Rd | open |
| Culver's Culver's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 251 N Randall Rd | open |
| D.M. Prime Burgers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 9441 Ackman Rd | open |
| Dairy Queen (Treat) Dairy Queen | Dessert · Quick service | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 4710 Algonquin Rd | open |
| Dino's Pizza & Pasta | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 6 Miller Rd | open |
| Dominick's Finer Foods - Lake In The Hills | Bakery | Bakery | 101 N Randall Rd | open |
| Dotty's Dotty's | Casual dining | American | 144 N Randall Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 280 N Randall Rd | open |
| Einstein Bros. Bagels Einstein Bros. Bagels | Bakery | Bakery · Breakfast | 289 N Randall Rd | open |
| El Cochino | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 4580 W Algonquin Rd | open |
| Fannie May | Dessert | 290 N Randall Rd Ste D | open | |
| Firehouse Subs Lake in the Hills Firehouse Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 313 Randall Rd | open |
| IPasrty2020 | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 3216 Harvard Ln | open |
| Jack in the Box | Quick service | 320 N Randall Rd | open | |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 285 N. Randall Road Suite A-2 | open |
| Jimmybread | Bakery | Bakery | 3907 Algonquin Rd | open |
| Kaminari | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 2124 W Algonquin Rd | open |
| Kona Ice of McHenry County Kona Ice | Dessert · Food truck · Catering | 8485 Pyott Rd | open | |
| Konrad's Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 9531 Ackman Rd | open |
| Liki Tiki Lounge | Bar | 902 McPhee Dr | open | |
| Lily Garden Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 2106 Algonquin Rd | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 327 N Randall Rd | open |
| Lucky Lucys 3 | Bar | Pizza | 4560 W Algonquin Rd | open |
| May's | Bar | 273 N Randall Rd | open | |
| Moretti's Moretti's Edison Park | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 220 N Randall Rd | open |
| Noodles & Company Noodles & Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Noodles / ramen / pho · American | 315 N Randall Rd | open |
| Papa Saverio's Papa Saverios of Huntley | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 471 N Randall Rd | open |
| PB's Treats | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 1089 Heavens Gate | open |
| Pita Kabobs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean | 335 N Randall Rd | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service | Pizza · Italian | 158 N Randall Rd | open |
| Poke Bros Poke Bros. Polaris | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hawaiian / Pacific · Japanese · Healthy / salads / bowls · Asian | 277 N Randall Rd | open |
| Rinconcito de Veracruz | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 2122 Algonquin Rd | open |
| Rock N Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Hot dogs · Burgers | 335 N Randall Rd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 343 N Randall Rd The Shops On Randall Rd. | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop | Coffee | 4501 W Algonquin Rd | open |
| Steak 'n Shake Steak 'n Shake | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 211 N Randall Rd | open |
| Stella's Place | Café | Coffee | 319 N Randall Rd | open |
| Stix and Noodles | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Filipino · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian | 1510 Industrial Dr | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 231 N Randall Rd | open |
| Tacos El Norte | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 2122 W Algonquin Rd | open |
| The Annex Restaurant & Lounge | Bar · Casual dining | American | 2104 Algonquin Rd | open |
| The Lovely Candy Company | Dessert | 960 E Oak St Ste 1 | open | |
| Tommy's Red Hots Tommy's Red Hots | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hot dogs · American | 191 N Randall Rd | open |
| Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 290 N Randall Rd | open |
| Uprising Bakery And Cafe | Bakery | Bakery | 2104 W Algonquin Rd | open |
| Vinny B's pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop · Quick service · Bakery | Sandwiches · Pizza · Bakery | 9471 Ackman Rd | open |
| White Castle White Castle | Quick service | Burgers · American | 241 N Randall Rd | open |
| Yumz Gourmet Frozen Yogurt Lake in the Hills | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 277 N Randall Rd | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 4 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 16 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 22 | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 20 | 19 | 7 | 11 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 24 | 23 | 8 | 14 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 20 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 19 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 22 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 24 | 24 | 9 | 13 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 20 | 20 | 5 | 13 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 25 | 24 | 6 | 15 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 21 | 21 | 7 | 12 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 23 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 23 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 26 | 25 | 8 | 15 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 23 | 22 | 5 | 15 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 28 | 26 | 10 | 14 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 29 | 27 | 10 | 15 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 27 | 24 | 7 | 15 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 30 | 29 | 9 | 18 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 31 | 29 | 9 | 18 | — | — | NAICS2022 |