BMIE Market 60428
Cook County, Illinois · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 10,927 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±451 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 3,544 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±284 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 12,203 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 4,278 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $60,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,047 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 34.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,599 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±213 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $136,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,026 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 5.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 5 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 60428 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 5.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -50.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -28.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +400.0% DERIVED: 2004 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 5 (range 2–9) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.24) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 40 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 55 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 47 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 6 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence Medium · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 60428. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.24, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Illinois and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,016, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 40 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 54.5 | 55 | 40% | +21.8 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 47.2 | 47 | 35% | +16.5 |
| Market Momentum Score | 6.3 | 6 | 25% | +1.6 |
Consumer Market Score: 55 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 10,927 | 72 | 40% | +28.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 60,000 | 30 | 40% | +11.8 |
| Households (ACS) | 3,544 | 69 | 20% | +13.9 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 47 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -28.6 | 10 | 35% | +3.6 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 4.6 | 93 | 25% | +23.3 |
| Population (ACS) | 10,927 | 72 | 20% | +14.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 60,000 | 30 | 20% | +5.9 |
Market Momentum Score: 6 (Medium confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -50 | 4 | 50% | +2.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -28.6 | 10 | 30% | +3.9 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (28)
By cuisine
American 5 · Burgers 4 · Chicken / wings 4 · Pizza 3 · Seafood 3 · Coffee 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chinese 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Italian 1 · Mexican 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 14 · Quick service 6 · Bar 4 · Casual dining 2 · Bakery 1 · Café 1 · Catering 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrianna's Sports Bar | Bar | American | 16300 Dixie Hwy | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 15901 Kedzie Ave | open |
| Captain Hooks Fish & Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 15914 Kedzie Ave | open |
| Chicago Beer Distributing Co | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2064 W 167th St | open | |
| Danny T's Tap | Bar · Casual dining | 3442 W 159th St | open | |
| Dream's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 15743 Crawford Ave | open |
| Dunkin' | Coffee shop | Coffee | 3011 W 159th St | open |
| Encore | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 16711 Richmond Ave | open | |
| Envys Pub | Bar | 3625 W 159th St | open | |
| Exsenator's Ribs and Chicken | Quick service | BBQ · American | 3349 W 159th St | open |
| Idella's Chicago Style Popcorn | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop | 3328 W 159th St | open | |
| J& J Fish | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 16007 Kedzie Ave | open |
| Jerk Flavors Restaurant & Lounge | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 3039 W 159th St Ste B | open |
| Jimmy's Famous Burgers - Markham, Il | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 15910 Kedzie Ave | open |
| Jimmy's Fish, Chicken & Grill | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Seafood | 16007 Kedzie Ave | open |
| Jimmy`s Fish, Chicken & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Seafood · Chicken / wings | 16007 Kedzie Ave | open |
| Johnny's Wee Nee Wagon | Quick service | 15743 Crawford Ave | open | |
| Markham International Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2024 W 163rd St | open |
| Mr.Craves Treats-N-Eats | Food truck | Burgers · Hot dogs | 16657 Dixie Hwy | open |
| New Wok | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 16015 Kedzie Ave | open |
| Ok Corral Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 15915 Crawford Ave | open |
| On The 9 Sports Bar and Grill | Bar · Casual dining | 15743 Crawford Ave | open | |
| Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 3040 W 159th St | open |
| Rae's The Bar | Bakery · Catering · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 3350 W 159th St | open |
| Shamrock Tbc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2945 W 159th St | open | |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 3067 W 159th St | open |
| Vero's Tacos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 3553 W 159th St | open |
| White Castle White Castle | Quick service | Burgers · American | 15902 Kedzie Ave | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 3 | 3 | — | 3 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 3 | 3 | — | 3 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 8 | 6 | — | 5 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 14 | 10 | — | 7 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 14 | 10 | — | 7 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 12 | 9 | — | 7 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 12 | 10 | — | 7 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 10 | 8 | — | 5 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 8 | 6 | — | 5 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 6 | 5 | — | 3 | — | — | NAICS2022 |