BMIE Market 60422

Cook County, Illinois · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,542 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±583 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,592 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±311 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,403 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,668 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$134,477 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±27,332 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	47.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,164 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,288 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$343,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,829 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	4.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 60422
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	14.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+57.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+120.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	14 (range 11–17) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.18) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	79 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	45 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 60422. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.18, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Illinois and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,016, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	79.5	79	40%	+31.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61.6	62	35%	+21.6
Market Momentum Score	45.3	45	25%	+11.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,542	70	40%	+28.0
Median household income (ACS)	134,477	94	40%	+37.6
Households (ACS)	3,592	69	20%	+13.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.5	66	25%	+16.6
Population (ACS)	9,542	70	20%	+14.0
Median household income (ACS)	134,477	94	20%	+18.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	57.1	70	20%	+13.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (32)

By cuisine

American 6 · Bakery 6 · Coffee 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Dessert 3 · Italian 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Pizza 2 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Thai 1 · Vegan 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 18 · Bakery 6 · Bar 6 · Dessert 5 · Quick service 5 · Casual dining 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Café 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Buffet 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Angelo's Fresh Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	1044 Sterling Ave	open
Bakewell Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	1050 Sterling Ave	open
Baskin-Robbins	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	3608 Vollmer Rd	open
Ben's Soft Pretzels	Quick service · Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Dessert	3800 Vollmer Rd	open
Beyond Borders Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	1036 Sterling Ave Ste 2	open
Confections	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	2115 Evans Rd	open
CREED-Flossmoor	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	3331 Vollmer Rd	open
D's Cookie Dough Company	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	2601 Flossmoor Rd	open
Dessertitude	Bakery	Bakery	2550 Central Dr	open
Dunkin'	Coffee shop	Coffee	3608 Vollmer Rd	open
Dunning's Gourmet Market and Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	1050 Sterling Ave	open
Dusties Southern Style Buffet	Buffet	Chinese	19815 Governors Hwy	open
ExecuSweets	Bakery	Bakery	19710 Kedzie Ave #1122	open
Flavor Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	3315 Vollmer Rd	open
Flossmoor Social	Bar · Casual dining		1040 Sterling Ave	open
Flossmoor Station Restaurant and Brewery	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1035 Sterling Ave	open
Gourmet Pizza By Carlo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3331 Vollmer Rd	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	3760 Vollmer Road Unit B-102	open
Karyn's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegan	3331 Vollmer Rd	open
Kenny Kares	Restaurant (service type not stated)		19815 Governors Hwy	open
Kingsberry Waffle House Waffle House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · American	3345 Vollmer Rd	open
Lou Malnati's Pizzeria Lou Malnati's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3315 Vollmer Rd	open
PoppinCorks Bistro	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	3311 Vollmer Rd	open
QS Chop Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	1630 Tina Ln	open
Ruby Ella Sweets, Llc	Dessert		1056 Sterling Ave Ste 2	open
Siam Thai Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	3311 Vollmer Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	3760 Vollmer Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3323 Vollmer Rd	open
The Bistro On Sterling	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1040 Sterling Ave	open
The Embassy Cigar Lounge	Bar		1615 Vollmer Rd	open
The Original Rainbow Cone - Flossmoor Buona	Quick service · Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Sandwiches	19801 Crawford Ave	open
Pop' N By	Other · Dessert	Dessert	2550 Central Dr	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	11	10	6	3	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	9	8	6	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	9	8	6	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	8	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	8	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	11	7	4	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	21	19	11	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	19	17	9	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	17	16	9	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	18	16	9	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	17	14	7	5	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	17	14	8	4	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	17	14	8	4	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	17	14	7	5	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	14	12	6	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	13	11	7	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	11	9	6	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	14	11	7	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	15	12	9	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	15	13	9	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	11	7	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	17	13	7	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	16	13	6	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	15	12	6	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	16	12	6	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	15	11	5	5	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 60422. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
60461	1.2 mi	7	2023
60430	1.8 mi	57	2023
60429	2.4 mi	18	2023
60478	2.9 mi	21	2023
60425	3.8 mi	11	2023
60466	4.1 mi	6	2023
60443	4.2 mi	40	2023
60428	4.2 mi	5	2023
60471	4.7 mi	15	2023
60476	4.8 mi	3	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.