BMIE Market 60471

Cook County, Illinois · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	12,848 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±472 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,597 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±442 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	14,101 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,574 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$64,494 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,632 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,307 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±119 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$222,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,422 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	4.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	15 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 60471
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	9.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+7.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+15.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+36.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	19 (range 17–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.57) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	55 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	60 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	45 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 60471. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.57, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Illinois and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,016, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	60.1	60	40%	+24.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56.9	57	35%	+19.9
Market Momentum Score	44.9	45	25%	+11.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	12,848	74	40%	+29.8
Median household income (ACS)	64,494	38	40%	+15.2
Households (ACS)	5,597	76	20%	+15.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	7.1	51	35%	+18.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.7	66	25%	+16.4
Population (ACS)	12,848	74	20%	+14.9
Median household income (ACS)	64,494	38	20%	+7.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	7.1	51	30%	+15.4
20-year restaurant growth	15.4	43	20%	+8.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (38)

By cuisine

Pizza 6 · Chicken / wings 4 · Coffee 4 · American 2 · Asian 2 · Bakery 2 · BBQ 2 · Dessert 2 · Mexican 2 · Seafood 2 · African 1 · Burgers 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chinese 1 · Greek 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 23 · Bar 9 · Quick service 7 · Bakery 4 · Café 3 · Casual dining 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Ambitions Bar & Grill	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		4024 Sauk Trail	open
Athens Gyros	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean	3941 Sauk Trail	open
Aurelio's Pizza Aurelio's Pizza LaPorte	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3740 Sauk Trail	open
Bea's Kitchen and Kocktails	Restaurant (service type not stated)	African · American	5091 Sauk Trail	open
Beggars Pizza - Richton Park	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	22149 Governors Hwy	open
Blue Sharks Of Richton Park	Quick service		5149 Sauk Trl	open
Candy's Place	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		5093 Sauk Trl	open
Chicago Dough Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3767 Sauk Trl	open
CustomMadePizzaGuy/noaddedsaltguy	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	22126 Richton Rd	open
Daddy Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	3724 Sauk Trl	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	4767 Sauk Trail	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Dessert · Bakery · Quick service · Coffee shop	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee	3937 Sauk Trl	open
Eduardo Leamon Cigars	Bar		3721 Sauk Trl	open
Flavor Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5091 Sauk Trl	open
Irie Jerk Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Seafood	3633 Sauk Trail	open
KATIE'S CONVENIENCE	Café · Casual dining · Bar	Coffee	22119 Governors Hwy	open
Katies Cafe Rp Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		22113 Governors Hwy	open
La Cafe 2	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	22325 Governors Hwy	open
Majestic Jazz Cafe	Bar		5111 Sauk Trl	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	4855 Sauk Trl	open
Mr keno's Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	5111 Sauk Trail	open
Nacho's Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	22105 Governors Hwy	open
Papa John's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	22242 Governors Hwy	open
Platinum Smokes Hookah & Cigar Lounge	Bar		22230 Governors Hwy	open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	22198 Governors Hwy	open
Ray Ray's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	4030 Sauk Trl	open
Rcd Management Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		22119 Governors Hwy	open
Rice King	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Asian	22244 Governors Hwy	open
Richton Park Chicken Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	22198 Governors Hwy	open
Sharks Fish & Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Chicken / wings	3730 Sauk Trail	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	4871 Sauk Trl	open
Subway Restaurants	Other	Sandwiches	22401 Central Ave	open
Sun-Sun	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	3710 Sauk Trail	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Quick service · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	4801 Sauk Trl	open
Uncle John's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	5103 Sauk Trl	open
Vee J's Sports Bar and Grill	Bar		22119 Govenors Hey	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	22401 Central Ave	open
X Factor Bar & Grill	Bar		5125 Sauk Trl	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	12	11	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	10	8	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	11	9	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	12	10	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	16	14	6	7	1	2	NAICS1997
1999	16	14	7	6	1	2	NAICS1997
2000	15	13	6	6	1	2	NAICS1997
2001	12	10	3	6	1	2	NAICS1997
2002	14	12	4	6	2	2	NAICS1997
2003	14	13	4	7	2	1	NAICS2002
2004	15	14	4	8	2	1	NAICS2002
2005	16	15	5	8	2	1	NAICS2002
2006	12	12	5	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	16	16	6	8	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	16	16	6	9	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	15	15	6	8	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	13	13	5	7	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	15	15	4	10	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	16	16	5	9	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	14	14	4	8	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	13	13	4	6	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	14	13	5	5	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	15	14	5	6	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	15	14	—	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	17	15	4	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	17	15	4	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	20	18	5	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	19	17	5	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	19	17	5	10	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	18	15	5	8	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 60471. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
60443	1.9 mi	40	2023
60466	2.3 mi	6	2023
60484	2.7 mi	3	2023
60461	3.6 mi	7	2023
60422	4.7 mi	11	2023
60449	5.0 mi	14	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.