BMIE Market 60433

Will County, Illinois · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	16,382 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,292 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,540 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±375 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	17,160 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,163 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$66,515 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,175 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,357 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±64 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$172,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,936 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	13.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	8 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 60433
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	5.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+14.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-11.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-38.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	8 (range 7–9) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.22) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	59 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	63 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	42 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 60433. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.22, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Illinois and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,016, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	62.9	63	40%	+25.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67.2	67	35%	+23.5
Market Momentum Score	41.6	42	25%	+10.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	16,382	78	40%	+31.2
Median household income (ACS)	66,515	41	40%	+16.6
Households (ACS)	5,540	76	20%	+15.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	14.3	58	35%	+20.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	4.9	92	25%	+23.0
Population (ACS)	16,382	78	20%	+15.6
Median household income (ACS)	66,515	41	20%	+8.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 42 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	14.3	58	30%	+17.4
20-year restaurant growth	-11.1	17	20%	+3.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (28)

By cuisine

Bakery 3 · Mexican 3 · American 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Coffee 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Caribbean 1 · Dessert 1 · Greek 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Seafood 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 16 · Bar 6 · Casual dining 4 · Quick service 4 · Bakery 3 · Dessert 2 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	48 E Laraway Rd	open
Bernies Jerk Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	312 Manhattan Rd	open
Chellino Cheese Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		505 Bennett Ave	open
Cinnabon	Bakery	Bakery	40 E Laraway Rd	open
Cupido Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	1704 E Washington St	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Burgers · Ice cream / frozen desserts	1410 E Washington St	open
Eden Bar And Grill	Casual dining · Bar		926 Gardner St	open
Gyro Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Middle Eastern · Greek	1700 E Washington St	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service		1501 New Lenox Rd	open
Home Cut Donuts Home Cut Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	1317 E Washington St	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1601 New Lenox Rd	open
Ingalls Park Food and Liquor	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining		1822 E Washington St	open
Ingalls Park Taco Truck	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	Washington St, Joliet, Illinois	open
Ivex Paper Mill Corporation	Restaurant (service type not stated)		292 Logan Ave	open
JJ Fish & Chicken	Quick service	Seafood · Chicken / wings	1220 Richards St	open
Kazan Kebab restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1220 Richards St	open
Linda's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2004 E Washington St	open
Louisiana Barbeque	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	1220 Richards St	open
Pitstop Corner Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	2050 S Chicago St	open
Pollo Veloz Carbonico	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	1826 E Washington St	open
Saloon2	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1827 E Washington St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	17100 W Laraway Rd	open
Taqueria El Rodeo	Food truck	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1826 E Washington St	open
Terrace Inn Lounge	Bar		630 Gardner St	open
The Blue Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		121 Richards St	open
Tony bar and grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	926 Gardner St	open
Woody's	Casual dining · Bar		1008 E Washington St	open
Jack's Chick'n Ribs	Quick service		124 Richards St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	18	13	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1995	15	10	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1996	15	10	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1997	14	10	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	11	9	3	5	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	12	10	3	6	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	12	10	3	6	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	11	10	3	5	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	7	6	1	4	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	12	9	1	7	1	2	NAICS2002
2004	12	9	1	7	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	10	8	2	5	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	8	6	1	4	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	9	7	1	4	2	1	NAICS2002
2008	9	8	2	5	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	10	8	2	5	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	11	9	3	5	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	8	7	—	6	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	8	7	—	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	9	7	—	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	9	7	—	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	8	6	—	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	9	6	—	5	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	12	6	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	12	8	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	11	7	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	11	7	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	9	7	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	10	7	—	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	10	8	—	6	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 60433. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
60432	3.2 mi	32	2023
60436	4.2 mi	21	2023
60451	4.3 mi	67	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.