BMIE Market 60436

Will County, Illinois · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	19,423 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,695 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,615 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±473 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	18,315 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,926 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$62,961 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,748 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	34.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,306 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±118 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$180,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,125 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	18.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	21 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 60436
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	9.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-25.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-8.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+40.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-8.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	25 (range 19–30) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	47 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	62 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	23 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 60436. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Illinois and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,016, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	62.1	62	40%	+24.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47.2	47	35%	+16.5
Market Momentum Score	22.8	23	25%	+5.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	19,423	81	40%	+32.4
Median household income (ACS)	62,961	35	40%	+14.1
Households (ACS)	6,615	78	20%	+15.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-8.7	19	35%	+6.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.8	69	25%	+17.3
Population (ACS)	19,423	81	20%	+16.2
Median household income (ACS)	62,961	35	20%	+7.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 23 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-25	11	50%	+5.4
10-year restaurant growth	-8.7	19	30%	+5.7
20-year restaurant growth	40	58	20%	+11.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (50)

By cuisine

American 8 · Mexican 5 · Coffee 4 · Dessert 4 · Breakfast 3 · Burgers 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Bakery 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Hot dogs 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Seafood 2 · Latin American (other) 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 23 · Bar 13 · Quick service 11 · Casual dining 6 · Dessert 6 · Bakery 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Food truck 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Buffet 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
AeroTruck Solutions Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2250 S Chicago St	open
All That And A Touch of Soul	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	318 S Chicago St	open
Bar La oficina Moroleon	Bar · Casual dining	Mexican	211 S Stryker Ave	open
Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee	20 S Larkin Ave	open
BihlerTech Towers	Dessert		411 S Reedwood Dr	open
Bob Evans	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	1776 Mcdonough St	open
Bozo's Hot Dogs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	1601 S Chicago St	open
Brown's Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Chicken / wings	18 S Larkin Ave	open
Brown’s Chicken Joliet	Restaurant (service type not stated)		410 S Chicago St	open
Chick-fil-A	Quick service		201 S Larkin Ave	open
Cinnabon Cinnabon	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	3340 Mall Loop Dr	open
Culver's Culver's	Quick service	Burgers · American	219 S. Larkin Ave	open
DOGGY DOGS	Quick service	Hot dogs · Sandwiches	1601 S Chicago St	open
Dunkin Donuts Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	422 S Chicago St	open
Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	3201 Channahon Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	2401 S Chicago St	open
E Street Bar And Grill	Bar		400 Moen Ave	open
El Comal	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	309 Moen Ave	open
For The Love Of Soul	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	318 S Chicago St	open
Herbalife Club Rockdale Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	105 Stillwell Ave	open
Joliet Convention Center Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		411 S Larkin Ave	open
Joliet Hope Center Inc.	Food truck		511 Oak Leaf Ct	open
KC'S Lounge	Bar		126 129th Infantry Dr	open
La Michoacana Premium Joliet	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	18 S Larkin Ave	open
Lil' Deb's	Quick service		401 S Larkin Ave	open
Louie's Waffle House	Casual dining	American	1776 McDonough St	open
Louie's Waffle House Waffle House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	1776 McDonough St	open
Lugan's Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		480 S Hammes Ave	open
Milano Bakery Inc	Bakery	Bakery	427 S Chicago St	open
Mischa's Gaming Lounge	Bar			open
Neovia Logistics Joliet	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3930 Cedar Creek Dr	open
Pop's Italian Beef	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Burgers	2401 S Chicago St	open
RJ's Place	Casual dining · Bar		201 Moen Ave	open
Roc City Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	508 Moen Ave	open
Rockdale Pancake House	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	400 Moen Ave	open
Shark's Fish & Chicken	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Seafood	410 S Chicago St	open
Shep's Tavern	Bar		1500 Belleview Ave	open
Steak 'n Shake	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	201 S Larkin Ave	open
Super Jj Fish & Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	213 S Larkin Ave	open
Ta Canijo Ta Canijo Taco Trucks	Food truck	Mexican	328 McDonough St	open
Tacos Maui	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1913 S Chicago St	open
The cellar	Bar		111 Patterson Rd	open
TKS DEEP END	Bar · Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	504 McDonough St	open
Tortazo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican		open
VIP Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Buffet · Bar		777 Hollywood Blvd	open
Waters Edge	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Bar		334 Water St	open
Wendy's	Quick service		110 S Larkin Ave	open
Whiskey River Bar & Grill Joliet	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	411 S Larkin Ave	open
El Pique Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	48 McDonough St	closed
South End Famous Steak & Lemonade	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	48 Mcdonough St # 2257	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	30	23	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1995	23	17	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1996	24	17	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1997	28	19	—	—	—	9	SIC1987
1998	29	16	5	10	—	11	NAICS1997
1999	26	15	7	7	—	9	NAICS1997
2000	22	12	5	6	—	8	NAICS1997
2001	24	13	4	7	1	9	NAICS1997
2002	31	16	6	7	3	11	NAICS1997
2003	31	15	5	7	2	10	NAICS2002
2004	29	17	7	7	2	9	NAICS2002
2005	31	20	9	9	1	8	NAICS2002
2006	27	16	7	7	1	8	NAICS2002
2007	25	17	7	8	2	6	NAICS2002
2008	28	20	8	9	3	6	NAICS2007
2009	28	20	8	9	3	6	NAICS2007
2010	26	17	6	8	3	7	NAICS2007
2011	25	16	5	8	3	7	NAICS2007
2012	27	19	6	10	3	6	NAICS2012
2013	30	23	7	12	4	6	NAICS2012
2014	29	22	6	13	3	6	NAICS2012
2015	28	21	5	13	3	6	NAICS2012
2016	28	21	5	13	3	6	NAICS2012
2017	31	24	5	16	3	6	NAICS2017
2018	35	28	5	19	4	6	NAICS2017
2019	33	26	5	17	4	6	NAICS2017
2020	31	24	4	16	4	6	NAICS2017
2021	32	27	5	17	5	4	NAICS2017
2022	24	20	3	13	4	3	NAICS2022
2023	25	21	—	14	5	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 60436. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
60431	3.7 mi	37	2023
60435	4.1 mi	110	2023
60433	4.2 mi	8	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.